Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
Welcome to THE COLLECTIVE, all the latest predictions for the upcoming Academy Awards in one place. See the top 10 best picture awards contenders, with the top 5 prospects in all categories. Check back Thursdays for the latest updates.
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Link to television awards is at
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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
UPDATED: March 24, 2022
The latest updates:
It’s all come down to this. Ninety-four years of Oscar history have been digested and cross-examined to help yield the critical answer: Which films and performances will win Academy Awards on March 27?
All the statistics that could be broken with “CODA,” “The Power of the Dog” or “Belfast” winning the top prize include:
- The eleventh film to win without a nomination for best editing.
- The second film to win best picture without a DGA nomination. The first was “Driving Miss Daisy” (1989).
- No film has won best picture without a nomination for directing or editing (since the two have co-existed).
- It would be the third film directed by a woman to win best picture
- Sixth film to win without a best director nomination: “Wings” (1927/28), “Grand Hotel” (1931/32), “Driving Miss Daisy” (1989), “Argo” (2012) and “Green Book” (2018).
By the sheer scope of its nomination tally, Netflix is the closest it’s ever been to taking home the statuette for the Academy’s most prestigious prize. Jane Campion’s “The Power of the Dog” has won the most critics’ awards for best picture, and the film has walked away with the top honor at the BAFTA and DGA ceremonies, which have Oscar-voter crossover. However, in what feels like an even divide, some Academy members told Variety they were ranking it at No. 1 on their preferential ballot, while others were putting it toward the bottom of that category.
The individual category predictions with the full rankings are on the individual pages.
Friendly reminder: all predictions on the 2022 Oscars Collective are in alphabetical order.
NOTE: All final credits are determined by the Academy and will be announced with nominations on Feb. 8.
*** = PREDICTED WINNER