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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest FILM predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB (coming soon)
To see old predictions and commentary, click the OSCARS PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
Link to TV awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB

UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

With “The Fabelmans” set to debut at TIFF, it could start the coronation of Michelle Williams (depending on the categorization of the performance). Also, with the trailer for “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” dropping, showcasing a brief but passionate showing of Angela Bassett, who’s only been nominated once for “What’s Love Got to Do With It?” (1993), rumors say she could be one to watch on the circuit.

Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:
Rank Name Film Distributor
1 Michelle Williams* “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.
2 Jessie Buckley “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.
3 Dolly De Leon “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island.
4 Vanessa Kirby “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
Peter as his busy life with new partner Emma and their baby is thrown into disarray when his ex-wife Kate turns up with their teenage son, Nicholas.
5 Angela Bassett “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.
Next in Line
6 Janelle Monáe “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Sequel to the 2019 film “Knives Out.”
7 Jean Smart “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.
8 Jamie Lee Curtis “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
9 Stephanie Hsu “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
10 Sadie Sink “The Whale” A24
A reclusive English teacher suffering from severe obesity attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter for one last chance at redemption.
Other Top-Tier Contenders
11 Griselda Sicillani “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
12 Jennifer Ehle “She Said” Universal Pictures
13 Joely Richardson “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
14 Kerry Condon “The Banshees of Inisherin” Searchlight Pictures
15 Keke Palmer* “Nope” Universal Pictures
16 Nina Hoss “TÁR” Focus Features
17 Lashana Lynch “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
18 Rooney Mara “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
19 Claire Foy “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
20 Hong Chau “The Whale” A24
Also In Contention
21 Sally Field “Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies” Focus Features
22 Patricia Clarkson “She Said” Universal Pictures
23 Laura Dern “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
24 Whoopi Goldberg “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
25 Dakota Johnson “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Apple Original Films
26 Julia Butters “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
27 Anne Hathaway* “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
28 Lucy Boynton “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
29 Tamara Lawarance* “The Silent Twins” Focus Features
30 Doona Bae “Broker” Neon
Other Awards Possibilities
31 Anya Taylor-Joy “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
32 Nicole Kidman “The Northman” Focus Features
33 Olivia DeJonge “Elvis” Warner Bros.
34 Thuso Mbedu “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
35 Kate Winslet “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
36 Zoe Saldaña “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
37 Taylor Swift “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
38 Danai Gurira “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
39 Lupita Nyong’o “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
40 Samara Weaving “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)
— Aimee Carrero “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
— Aimee Lou Wood* “Living” Sony Pictures Classics
— Andrea Riseborough “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
— Angela Bassett “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
— Anne Hathaway* “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
— Anya Taylor-Joy “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
— Billie Piper “Catherine, Called Birdy” Amazon Studios
— Bria Danielle Singleton “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Sony Pictures
— Camille Cottin “Golda” Bleecker Street
— Candice Bergen “As They Made Us” Quiver
— Carey Mulligan* “Spaceman” Netflix
— CCH Pounder “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
— Charlotte Gainsbourg “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
— Chloë Sevigny “Bones & All” MGM/United Artists Releasing
— Claire Foy “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
— Crystal Clarke “Empire of Light” Searchlight Pictures
— Dakota Johnson “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Apple Original Films
— Danai Gurira “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
— Dolly De Leon “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
— Dominique Thorne “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
— Doona Bae “Broker” Neon
— Edie Falco “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
— Elizabeth Olsen “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” Marvel Studios
— Ella Hunt “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
— Emma Corrin* “My Policeman” Amazon Studios
— Emma Thompson “What’s Love Got to Do With It?” No U.S. Distribution
— Florence Kasumba “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
— Frances McDormand* “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
— Gabrielle Union “Strange World” Walt Disney Pictures
— Gabrielle Union “The Inspection” A24
— Gemma Chan “Don’t Worry Darling” Warner Bros
— Gillian Anderson “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
— Grace Caroline Currey “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
— Greta Gerwig* “White Noise” Netflix
— Griselda Sicillani “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
— Haley Bennett “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
— Helen Mirren “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
— Hong Chau “The Whale” A24
— Iris Berben “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
— Isabella Rossellini “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” A24
— Jamie Lee Curtis “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
— Janelle Monáe “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
— Janet McTeer “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
— Jayme Lawson “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
— Jean Smart “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
— Jennifer Connelly “Top Gun: Maverick” Paramount Pictures
— Jennifer Ehle “She Said” Universal Pictures
— Jessica Chastain “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
— Jessica Hardwick “The Lost King” Warner Bros.
— Jessica Henwick “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
— Jessie Buckley “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
— Jodie Turner-Smith “White Noise” Netflix
— Joely Richardson “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
— Judi Dench “Allelujah” No U.S. Distribution
— Judith Ivey “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
— Judith Light “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
— Julia Butters “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
— Julianne Nicholson “Blonde” Netflix
— Kaitlyn Dever “Ticket to Paradise” Netflix
— Kate Hudson “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
— Kate Winslet “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
— Kathryn Hahn “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
— Keke Palmer* “Nope” Universal Pictures
— Kerry Condon “The Banshees of Inisherin” Searchlight Pictures
— Kim Cattrall “About My Father” Lionsgate
— Kim Dickens “The Good Nurse” Netflix
— Kristen Stewart “Crimes of the Future” Neon
— Lashana Lynch “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
— Laura Dern “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
— Léa Seydoux “Crimes of the Future” Neon
— Letitia Wright* “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
— Lucy Boynton “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
— Lucy Boynton “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
— Lucy Lui “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
— Lupita Nyong’o “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
— Madelyn Cline “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
— Mar Carrera “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
— Margot Robbie* “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
— Maria Bakalova “Bodies Bodies Bodies” A24
— Marsha Stephanie Blake “Brother” No U.S. Distribution
— Meagan Good “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
— Meteora Fontana “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
— Mia Wasikowska “Blueback” No U.S. Distribution
— Michelle Williams “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
— Minnie Driver “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
— Niamh Algar “The Wonder” Netflix
— Nicole Kidman “The Northman” Focus Features
— Nina Hoss “TÁR” Focus Features
— Noémie Merlant “TÁR” Focus Features
— Octavia Spencer “Spirited” Apple Original Films
— Olivia DeJonge “Elvis” Warner Bros.
— Olivia Wilde “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
— Olivia Wilde “Don’t Worry Darling” Warner Bros
— Patricia Clarkson “Monica” No U.S. Distribution
— Patricia Clarkson “She Said” Universal Pictures
— Quintessa Swindell “Black Adam” Warner Bros
— Rachel Keller “Butcher’s Crossing” Saban Films
— Rachel Keller “A Man Called Otto” Sony Pictures
— Rachel Zegler “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
— Radha Mitchell “Blueback” No U.S. Distribution
— Raffey Cassidy “White Noise” Netflix
— Rooney Mara “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
— Ruth Wilson “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
— Sadie Sink “The Whale” A24
— Sally Field “Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies” Focus Features
— Samantha Morton “She Said” Universal Pictures
— Samantha Morton “The Whale” A24
— Samara Weaving “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
— Saoirse Ronan* “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
— Sheila Atim “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
— Sian Clifford “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
— Sigourney Weaver “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
— Sigourney Weaver “Call Jane” Roadside Attractions
— Sigourney Weaver “Master Gardener” No U.S. Distribution
— Sophie Okonedo “Raymond & Ray” Apple Original Films
— Stephanie Hsu “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
— Tamara Lawarance* “The Silent Twins” Focus Features
— Tamara Tunie “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Sony Pictures
— Tanya Moodie “Empire of Light” Searchlight Pictures
— Taylor Swift “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
— Tessa Thompson “Thor: Love and Thunder” Marvel Studios
— Thusa Mbedu “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
— Vanessa Kirby “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
— Vicki Berlin “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
— Whoopi Goldberg “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
— Wunmi Mosaku “Alice, Darling” Lionsgate
— Ximena Lamadrid “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
— Zoë Kravitz “The Batman” Warner Bros.
— Zoe Saldaña “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
— Zooey Deschanel “Dreamin’ Wild” No U.S. Distribution

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC
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