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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest FILM predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB (coming soon)
To see old predictions and commentary, click the OSCARS PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
Link to TV awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB

UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

With “The Fabelmans” set to debut at TIFF, it could start the coronation of Michelle Williams (depending on the categorization of the performance). Also, with the trailer for “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” dropping, showcasing a brief but passionate showing of Angela Bassett, who’s only been nominated once for “What’s Love Got to Do With It?” (1993), rumors say she could be one to watch on the circuit.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:
Rank Name Film Distributor
1 Michelle Williams* “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.
2 Jessie Buckley “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.
3 Dolly De Leon “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island.
4 Vanessa Kirby “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
Peter as his busy life with new partner Emma and their baby is thrown into disarray when his ex-wife Kate turns up with their teenage son, Nicholas.
5 Angela Bassett “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.
Next in Line
6 Janelle Monáe “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Sequel to the 2019 film “Knives Out.”
7 Jean Smart “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.
8 Jamie Lee Curtis “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
9 Stephanie Hsu “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
10 Sadie Sink “The Whale” A24
A reclusive English teacher suffering from severe obesity attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter for one last chance at redemption.
Other Top-Tier Contenders
11 Griselda Sicillani “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
12 Jennifer Ehle “She Said” Universal Pictures
13 Joely Richardson “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
14 Kerry Condon “The Banshees of Inisherin” Searchlight Pictures
15 Keke Palmer* “Nope” Universal Pictures
16 Nina Hoss “TÁR” Focus Features
17 Lashana Lynch “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
18 Rooney Mara “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
19 Claire Foy “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
20 Hong Chau “The Whale” A24
Also In Contention
21 Sally Field “Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies” Focus Features
22 Patricia Clarkson “She Said” Universal Pictures
23 Laura Dern “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
24 Whoopi Goldberg “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
25 Dakota Johnson “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Apple Original Films
26 Julia Butters “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
27 Anne Hathaway* “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
28 Lucy Boynton “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
29 Tamara Lawarance* “The Silent Twins” Focus Features
30 Doona Bae “Broker” Neon
Other Awards Possibilities
31 Anya Taylor-Joy “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
32 Nicole Kidman “The Northman” Focus Features
33 Olivia DeJonge “Elvis” Warner Bros.
34 Thuso Mbedu “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
35 Kate Winslet “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
36 Zoe Saldaña “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
37 Taylor Swift “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
38 Danai Gurira “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
39 Lupita Nyong’o “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
40 Samara Weaving “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)
Aimee Carrero “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
Aimee Lou Wood* “Living” Sony Pictures Classics
Andrea Riseborough “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
Angela Bassett “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Anne Hathaway* “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
Anya Taylor-Joy “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
Billie Piper “Catherine, Called Birdy” Amazon Studios
Bria Danielle Singleton “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Sony Pictures
Camille Cottin “Golda” Bleecker Street
Candice Bergen “As They Made Us” Quiver
Carey Mulligan* “Spaceman” Netflix
CCH Pounder “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
Charlotte Gainsbourg “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
Chloë Sevigny “Bones & All” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Claire Foy “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Crystal Clarke “Empire of Light” Searchlight Pictures
Dakota Johnson “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Apple Original Films
Danai Gurira “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Dolly De Leon “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
Dominique Thorne “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Doona Bae “Broker” Neon
Edie Falco “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
Elizabeth Olsen “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” Marvel Studios
Ella Hunt “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
Emma Corrin* “My Policeman” Amazon Studios
Emma Thompson “What’s Love Got to Do With It?” No U.S. Distribution
Florence Kasumba “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Frances McDormand* “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Gabrielle Union “Strange World” Walt Disney Pictures
Gabrielle Union “The Inspection” A24
Gemma Chan “Don’t Worry Darling” Warner Bros
Gillian Anderson “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
Grace Caroline Currey “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
Greta Gerwig* “White Noise” Netflix
Griselda Sicillani “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
Haley Bennett “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
Helen Mirren “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
Hong Chau “The Whale” A24
Iris Berben “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
Isabella Rossellini “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” A24
Jamie Lee Curtis “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
Janelle Monáe “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Janet McTeer “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
Jayme Lawson “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
Jean Smart “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
Jennifer Connelly “Top Gun: Maverick” Paramount Pictures
Jennifer Ehle “She Said” Universal Pictures
Jessica Chastain “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
Jessica Hardwick “The Lost King” Warner Bros.
Jessica Henwick “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Jessie Buckley “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Jodie Turner-Smith “White Noise” Netflix
Joely Richardson “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
Judi Dench “Allelujah” No U.S. Distribution
Judith Ivey “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Judith Light “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
Julia Butters “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
Julianne Nicholson “Blonde” Netflix
Kaitlyn Dever “Ticket to Paradise” Netflix
Kate Hudson “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Kate Winslet “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
Kathryn Hahn “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Keke Palmer* “Nope” Universal Pictures
Kerry Condon “The Banshees of Inisherin” Searchlight Pictures
Kim Cattrall “About My Father” Lionsgate
Kim Dickens “The Good Nurse” Netflix
Kristen Stewart “Crimes of the Future” Neon
Lashana Lynch “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
Laura Dern “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
Léa Seydoux “Crimes of the Future” Neon
Letitia Wright* “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Lucy Boynton “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
Lucy Boynton “The Pale Blue Eye” Netflix
Lucy Lui “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
Lupita Nyong’o “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Madelyn Cline “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Mar Carrera “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
Margot Robbie* “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
Maria Bakalova “Bodies Bodies Bodies” A24
Marsha Stephanie Blake “Brother” No U.S. Distribution
Meagan Good “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
Meteora Fontana “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
Mia Wasikowska “Blueback” No U.S. Distribution
Michelle Williams “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
Minnie Driver “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
Niamh Algar “The Wonder” Netflix
Nicole Kidman “The Northman” Focus Features
Nina Hoss “TÁR” Focus Features
Noémie Merlant “TÁR” Focus Features
Octavia Spencer “Spirited” Apple Original Films
Olivia DeJonge “Elvis” Warner Bros.
Olivia Wilde “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
Olivia Wilde “Don’t Worry Darling” Warner Bros
Patricia Clarkson “Monica” No U.S. Distribution
Patricia Clarkson “She Said” Universal Pictures
Quintessa Swindell “Black Adam” Warner Bros
Rachel Keller “Butcher’s Crossing” Saban Films
Rachel Keller “A Man Called Otto” Sony Pictures
Rachel Zegler “Shazam! Fury of the Gods” Warner Bros.
Radha Mitchell “Blueback” No U.S. Distribution
Raffey Cassidy “White Noise” Netflix
Rooney Mara “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Ruth Wilson “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
Sadie Sink “The Whale” A24
Sally Field “Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies” Focus Features
Samantha Morton “She Said” Universal Pictures
Samantha Morton “The Whale” A24
Samara Weaving “Chevalier” Searchlight Pictures
Saoirse Ronan* “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
Sheila Atim “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
Sian Clifford “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
Sigourney Weaver “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
Sigourney Weaver “Call Jane” Roadside Attractions
Sigourney Weaver “Master Gardener” No U.S. Distribution
Sophie Okonedo “Raymond & Ray” Apple Original Films
Stephanie Hsu “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
Tamara Lawarance* “The Silent Twins” Focus Features
Tamara Tunie “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Sony Pictures
Tanya Moodie “Empire of Light” Searchlight Pictures
Taylor Swift “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
Tessa Thompson “Thor: Love and Thunder” Marvel Studios
Thusa Mbedu “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
Vanessa Kirby “The Son” Sony Pictures Classics
Vicki Berlin “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
Whoopi Goldberg “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
Wunmi Mosaku “Alice, Darling” Lionsgate
Ximena Lamadrid “Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)” Netflix
Zoë Kravitz “The Batman” Warner Bros.
Zoe Saldaña “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
Zooey Deschanel “Dreamin’ Wild” No U.S. Distribution

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC