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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Jan. 19, 2023

2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Costume Design

CATEGORY COMMENTARY: Ruth Carter could be a packaged deal with Angela Bassett for “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.”

Catherine Martin could spoil the celebration for “Elvis.”

Expecting “Don’t Worry Darling” by Arianne Phillips (or any other movie) to surprise in the lineup.

NOTE: All credited nominees are ultimately determined by the Academy.

You can read the final Variety Awards Circuit column before nominations here. Nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Jan. 24.

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:
RankFilmCostume Designer(s)Distributor
1“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”Ruth E. CarterMarvel Studios
The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.
2“Elvis”Catherine MartinWarner Bros.
The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.
3“Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”Jenny BeavenFocus Features
A widowed cleaning lady in 1950s London falls madly in love with a couture Dior dress, and decides that she must have one of her own.
4“Babylon”Mary ZophresParamount Pictures
Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.
5“Don’t Worry Darling”Arianne PhillipsWarner Bros
A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community begins to worry that his glamorous company could be hiding disturbing secrets.
Next in Line
6“Everything Everywhere All at Once”Shirley KurataA24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
7“Living”Sandy PowellSony Pictures Classics
In 1950s London, a humorless civil servant decides to take time off work to experience life after receiving a grim diagnosis.
8“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”Jenny EaganNetflix
Famed Southern detective Benoit Blanc travels to Greece for his latest case.
9“The Woman King”Gersha PhillipsTriStar Pictures
A historical epic inspired by true events that took place in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.
10“The Banshees of Inisherin”Eimer Ni MhaoldomhnaighSearchlight Pictures
Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.
Other Top-Tier Contenders
11“Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore”Colleen AtwoodWarner Bros.
12“All Quiet on the Western Front”Lisy ChristiNetflix
13“Women Talking”Quita AlfredMGM/United Artists Releasing
14“Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical”Rob HowellNetflix
15“The Fabelmans”Mark BridgesUniversal Pictures
16“Amsterdam”J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky20th Century Studios
17“Empire of Light”Alexandra ByrneSearchlight Pictures
18“Avatar: The Way of Water”Deborah L. Scott20th Century Studios
19“Till”Marci RodgersOrion/United Artists Releasing
20“The Wonder”Odile Dicks-MireauxNetflix

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

2022 category winner: “Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Jenny Beavan

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.