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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest FILM predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB (coming soon)
To see old predictions and commentary, click the OSCARS PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
Link to TV awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB

UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST ACTRESS

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Multiple former winners could be in the running this year such as Cate Blanchett (“TAR”), Viola Davis (“The Woman King”) and Frances McDormand (“Women Talking”), with plenty of former nominees and possible breakthroughs on the horizon.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:
Rank Name Film Distributor
1 Michelle Yeoh “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
2 Cate Blanchett “TÁR” Focus Features
Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.
3 Danielle Deadwyler “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
The story of Emmett Louis Till and the legacy of his mother who pursued justice for her lynched son.
4 Florence Pugh “Don’t Worry Darling” Warner Bros.
A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community begins to worry that his glamorous company may be hiding disturbing secrets.
5 Frances McDormand* “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.
Next in Line
6 Olivia Colman “Empire of Light” Searchlight Pictures
“Empire of Light” is a love story set in and around a beautiful old cinema on the South Coast of England in the 1980s.
7 Viola Davis “The Woman King” Sony Pictures
A historical epic inspired by the true events that happened in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.
8 Carey Mulligan* “She Said” Universal Pictures
New York Times reporters Megan Twohey and Jodi Kantor break one of the most important stories in a generation — a story that helped launch the #MeToo movement and shattered decades of silence around the subject of sexual assault in Hollywood.
9 Zoe Kazan* “She Said” Universal Pictures
New York Times reporters Megan Twohey and Jodi Kantor break one of the most important stories in a generation — a story that helped launch the #MeToo movement and shattered decades of silence around the subject of sexual assault in Hollywood.
10 Margot Robbie “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.
Other Top-Tier Contenders
11 Michelle Williams* “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
12 Greta Gerwig* “White Noise” Netflix
13 Florence Pugh “The Wonder” Netflix
14 Naomi Ackie “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Sony Pictures
15 Jennifer Lawrence “Causeway” A24/Apple Original Films
16 Da’Vine Joy Randolph “On the Come Up” Paramount Pictures
17 Margot Robbie* “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
18 Regina King “Shirley” Netflix
19 Helen Mirren “Golda” Bleecker Street
20 Emma Corrin “Lady Chatterly’s Lover” Netflix
Also In Contention
21 Janelle Monáe* “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
22 Zar Amir Ebrahimi “Holy Spider” Utopia
23 Letitia Wright* “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
24 Sally Hawkins “The Lost King” Warner Bros
25 Ana de Armas “Blonde” Netflix
26 Anna Diop “Nanny” Amazon Studios
27 Jessica Chastain “The Good Nurse” Netflix
28 Thandiwe Newton “God’s Country” IFC Films
29 Léa Seydoux “One Fine Morning” Sony Pictures Classics
30 Emma Corrin “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
Other Awards Possibilities
31 Julia Roberts “Ticket to Paradise” Universal Pictures
32 Zoe Saldaña “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios
33 Tilda Swinton “Three Thousand Years of Longing” MGM/United Artists Releasing
34 Haley Lu Richardson “Montana Story” Bleecker Street
35 Bella Ramsey “Catherine, Called Birdy” Amazon Studios
36 Tang Wei “Decision to Leave” Mubi
37 Aimee Lou Wood* “Living” Sony Pictures Classics
38 Taylor Russell “Bones & All” Amazon Studios
39 Charibi Dean “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
40 Anna Kendrick “Alice, Darling” Lionsgate
Unranked Possible Contenders
Aimee Lou Wood “Living” Sony Pictures Classics
Amandla Stenberg “Bodies Bodies Bodies” A24
Ana de Armas “Blonde” Netflix
Anamaria Vartolomei “Happening” IFC Films
Anna Kendrick “Alice, Darling” Lionsgate
Anne Hathaway* “Armageddon Time” Focus Features
Anya Taylor-Joy* “The Menu” Searchlight Pictures
Anya Taylor-Joy* “The Northman” Focus Features
Ariel Donoghue “Blueback” No U.S. Distribution
Aubrey Plaza “Emily the Criminal” Roadside Attractions
Bella Ramsey “Catherine, Called Birdy” Amazon Studios
Bérénice Bejo “The Hummingbird” No U.S. Distribution
Carey Mulligan* “She Said” Universal Pictures
Cate Blanchett “TÁR” Focus Features
Charibi Dean “Triangle of Sadness” Neon
Da’Vine Joy Randolph “On the Come Up” Paramount Pictures
Dakota Johnson “Am I OK?” HBO Max
Dakota Johnson “Persuasion” Netflix
Dakota Johnson* “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Apple Original Films
Danielle Deadwyler “Till” Orion/United Artists Releasing
Dianna Agron “As They Made Us” Quiver
Elizabeth Banks “Call Jane” Roadside Attractions
Elizabeth Olsen* “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” Marvel Studios
Emily Browning “Monica” No U.S. Distribution
Emma Corrin “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” Netflix
Emma Corrin* “My Policeman” Amazon Studios
Florence Pugh “The Wonder” Netflix
Florence Pugh “Don’t Worry Darling” Warner Bros
Frances McDormand* “Women Talking” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Greta Gerwig* “White Noise” Netflix
Haley Lu Richardson “Montana Story” Bleecker Street
Helen Mirren “Golda” Bleecker Street
Jane Fonda “Moving On” No U.S. Distribution
Janelle Monáe “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Netflix
Jennifer Lawrence “Causeway” A24/Apple Original Films
Jennifer Lopez “The Mother” Netflix
Jenny Slate “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” A24
Jessica Chastain “The Good Nurse” Netflix
Jessica Chastain* “The Forgiven” Roadside Attractions
Jessie Buckley “Men” A24
Jodie Turner-Smith “After Yang” A24
Julia Roberts “Ticket to Paradise” Universal Pictures
Julianne Moore “When You Finish Saving the World” A24
Juliette Binoche “Both Sides of the Blade” IFC Films
Kaitlyn Dever “Rosaline” Hulu
Kate Beckinsale “Prisoner’s Daughter” No U.S. Distribution
Keke Palmer* “Nope” Universal Pictures
Léa Seydoux “One Fine Morning” Sony Pictures Classics
Léa Seydoux* “Crimes of the Future” Neon
Lesley Manville “Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris” Focus Features
Letitia Wright* “The Silent Twins” Focus Features
Letitia Wright* “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” Marvel Studios
Lily James “What’s Love Got to Do With It?” No U.S. Distribution
Lily Tomlin “Moving On” No U.S. Distribution
Manal Issa “The Swimmers” Netflix
Margot Robbie “Amsterdam” 20th Century Studios
Margot Robbie “Babylon” Paramount Pictures
Melissa Barrera “Carmen” Sony Pictures Classics
Michelle Williams* “The Fabelmans” Universal Pictures
Michelle Yeoh “Everything Everywhere All at Once” A24
Naomi Ackie “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Sony Pictures
Natalie Portman* “Thor: Love and Thunder” Marvel Studios
Olivia Colman “Empire of Light” Searchlight Pictures
Penélope Cruz “Official Competition” IFC Films
Regina Hall “Master” Amazon Studios
Regina King “Shirley” Netflix
Sally Hawkins “The Lost King” Warner Bros.
Sandra Drzymalska “EO” Janus Films and Sideshow
Saoirse Ronan* “See How They Run” Searchlight Pictures
Sara Serraiocco “Il Signore Delle Formiche” No U.S. Distribution
Tamara Lawrance* “The Silent Twins” Focus Features
Tang Wei “Decision to Leave” Mubi
Taylor Russell “Bones & All” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Thandiwe Newton “God’s Country” IFC Films
Tilda Swinton “The Eternal Daughter” A24
Tilda Swinton “Three Thousand Years of Longing” MGM/United Artists Releasing
Vicky Krieps “Corsage” IFC Films
Viola Davis “The Woman King” TriStar Pictures
Virginie Efira “Paris Memories” Pathé
Zar Amir Ebrahimi “Holy Spider” Utopia
Zoe Kazan* “She Said” Universal Pictures
Zoe Saldaña “Avatar: The Way of Water” 20th Century Studios

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC