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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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UPDATED: March 24, 2022


Hans Zimmer is finally going to win his overdue second Oscar statuette for “The Lion King” (1994), although he won’t be in attendance for the ceremony because he’s on tour. This is one of the categories that will be pre-taped to streamline the ceremony.

Dune,“ adapted from Frank Herbert’s novels, leads with the most precursor prizes this season for production design, cinematography, editing, sound, visual effects and score. It’s second for costumes (behind “Cruella”) and makeup (behind “The Eyes of Tammy Faye”). It’s undoubtedly highly competitive in each of its artisan races, but only “Titanic” nearly pulled off the sweep, losing makeup to “Men in Black.”

Germaine Franco’s work on “Encanto” is the upset waiting in the wings. “Encanto” is the 10th animated film since 1989 nominated for both original song and original score. Seven of them walked away with one of the two categories on Oscar night, and five of those seven won both categories. 

There’s also the prospect of Jonny Greenwood, once nominated for “Phantom Thread,” to pick up a statuette for “The Power of the Dog.”

Will win: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Hans Zimmer
Could win: “Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Germaine Franco
Should win: “Parallel Mothers” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Alberto Iglesias
Should have been here: “Spencer” (Neon/Topic Studios) – Jonny Greenwood

Precursor Awards Leader: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Hans Zimmer
Awards Season Calendar

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1 “Dune” Warner Bros Hans Zimmer
2 “Encanto” Walt Disney Pictures Germaine Franco
3 “The Power of the Dog” Netflix Jonny Greenwood
4 “Parallel Mothers” Sony Pictures Classics Alberto Iglesias
5 “Don’t Look Up” Netflix Nicholas Britell


The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most significant Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022