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Oscars Predictions: Best Live Action Short – Riz Ahmed and a Student Academy Award Winner Lead the Field

Other notable contenders include "Ala Kachuu - Take and Run," "Censor of Dreams, "Frimas," "Under the Heavens" and "You're Dead Helen."

The Long Goodbye - Riz Ahmed

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB
Revisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVE
Link to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB

2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

UPDATED: Jan 13, 2022

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: More commentary to be added.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.

Precursor Awards Leader: None
Awards Season Calendar


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK FILM DISTRIBUTOR DIRECTOR
1 “The Long Goodbye” WePresent Aniel Karia
2 “When the Sun Sets” HBO Phumi Morare
3 “Under the Heavens” The New Yorker Gustavo Milan
4 “Ala Kachuu – Take and Run” Salaud Morisset Maria Brendle
5 “Censor of Dreams” Salaud Morisset Raphaël Rodriguez, Léo Berne
NEXT IN LINE
6 “You’re Dead Helen” Daylight Films and Formosa Productions Michiel Blanchart
7 “Frimas” H264 Distribution Marianne Farley
8 “The Criminals” Lights On Serhat Karaaslan
9 “Tala’vision” Filmakademie Baden-Württemberg Murad Abu Eisheh
10 “Distances” Cine Comunidad de Madrid Susan Bejar
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11 “The Dress” DOBRO, MIŁO and GŁOSNO Tadeusz Lysiak
12 “Les Grandes Claques” The New Yorker Annie St. Pierre
13 “Please Hold” Scavenger Entertainment KD Davila
14 “Stenofonen” M&M Productions Nicolaj Kopernikus
15 “On My Mind” Benzona Film Martin Strange-Hansen

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022