Oscars Predictions: Best International Feature – Denmark, Italy and Norway Are the Next Countries to Watch for Official Submissions

Other awards contenders include "Compartment No. 6," "A Hero," "Flee," "I'm Your Man" and "Worst Person in the World"

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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UPDATED: Oct 21, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: “Titane” has officially been submitted and goes for the Oscar shortlist to accompany its historic Palme d’Or win. The top contenders include “A Hero” and “Drive Your Car” but we’re waiting on the official submissions for Denmark, Italy and Norway, which will shake things up (if they choose what is expected). “The Worst Person in the World” could be the one to beat (for the moment).

The deadline for submissions to the Academy is Nov. 1. The shortlist of fifteen finalists is scheduled to be announced on Dec. 21.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, March 27, 2022.

Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)

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The Match Factory


1 The Worst Person in the World Norway Joachim Trier
2 A Hero Iran* Asghar Farhadi
3 Flee Denmark Jonas Poher Rasmussen
4 Compartment No. 6 Finland* Juho Kuosmanen
5 Titane France* Julia Ducournau
6 The Hand of God Italy Paolo Sorrentino
7 I’m Your Man Germany* Maria Schrader
8 Drive My Car Japan* Ryusuke Hamaguchi
9 Prayers for the Stolen Mexico* Tatiana Huezo
10 The Good Boss Spain* Fernando León de Aranoa
11 A Chiara Italy Jonas Carpignano
12 Private Desert Brazil* Aly Muritiba
13 Memoria Colombia* Apichatpong Weerasethakul
14 Fever Dream Chile Claudia Llosa
15 Casablanca Beats Morocco* Nabil Ayouch
16 Hive Kosovo* Blerta Basholli
17 Lamb Iceland* Valdimar Jóhannsson
18 Powerful Chief Peru* Henry Vallejo
19 Zatopek Czech Republic* David Ondříček
20 Leave No Traces Poland* Jan P. Matuszyński
21 Oasis Serbia* Ivan Ikić
22 Sumergible Ecuador* Alfredo León León
23 Luzzu Malta* Alex Camilleri
24 Olga Switzerland* Elie Grappe
25 Golden Butterfly Tunisia* Abdelhamid Bouchnak
26 The Falls Taiwan* Chung Mong-hong
27 Yuni Indonesia* Kamila Andini
28 Foscadh Ireland* Seán Breathnach
29 Let There Be Morning Israel* Eran Kolirin
30 Brighton 4th Georgia* Levan Koguashvili
107 Mothers Slovakia* Péter Kerekes
Bad Roads Ukraine* Nataliia Vorozhbyt
Betrayed Norway Eirik Svensson
Ciara Sola Sweden Nathalie Álvarez Mesén
Digger Greece* Georgis Grigorakis
Do Not Hesitate Netherlands* Shariff Korver
Drunken Birds Canada* Ivan Grbovic
Escape from Mogadishu South Korea* Ryoo Seung-wan
Fatsani: A Tale of Survival Malawi* Gift Sukez Sukali
Fear Bulgaria* Ivaylo Hristov
Great Freedom Austria* Sebastian Meise
Margrete: Queen of the North Denmark Charlotte Sieling
Ninjababy Norway Yngvild Sve Flikke
Nothing Ever Happened Portugal Gonçalo Galvão Teles
On the Water Estonia* Peeter Simm
One Second China To be added
Post Mortem Hungary* Péter Bergendy
Sanremo Slovenia* Miroslav Mandić
Shadow Portugal Bruno Gascon
Shadows in My Eyes Denmark Ole Bornedal
Shambala Kyrgyzstan* Artykpai Suyundukov
Should the Wind Drop Armenia* Nora Martirosyan
Sisterhood North Macedonia* Dina Duma
Tereza37 Croatia* Danilo Šerbedžija
Terra Nova Portugal Artur Ribeiro
The Emigrants Sweden Erik Poppe
The Gravedigger’s Wife Somalia* Khadar Ayderus Ahmed
The Jump Lithuania* Giedrė Žickytė
The Last Bath Portugal David Bonneville
The Metamorphosis of Birds Portugal Catarina Vasconcelos
The Pit Latvia* Dace Pūce
The Sound That Goes Down to Earth Portugal Sérgio Graciano
Tigers Sweden Ronnie Sandahl
Two Lions Heading to Vanice Albania* Jonid Jorgji
White Building Cambodia* Kavich Neang
White on White Chile Théo Court

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (International Feature)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Italy is the most winning country in the history of the category with France right behind.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 27, 2022