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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
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For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: August 19, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY

The only representative from a show that isn’t “Dopesick” or “The White Lotus,” Seth Rogen’s deserved nomination for playing Rand Gauthier, serves as his best yet, and he could be the benefactor of all the vote-splitting that’s undoubtedly occurring in the category.

The dynamic Armond is incredibly charged and charismatic in the HBO limited series, and Murray Bartlett has reaped the benefits of it, with wins from Critics Choice and noms from SAG. As long as his co-stars don’t siphon essential votes away, this category is his to lose.

With decades in the industry, Steve Zahn managed to snag his first nom as Mark Mossbacher, the husband who is dealing with a health crisis. Can he get past the entitled Shane and drug addict Armond? It might be difficult but crazier things have happened.

As the spoiled Shane Patton, Jake Lacy’s commitment to the arc of his vile character on the series is one that people responded to, landing him his first nom. A dark horse selection for members to give their votes to.  

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Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

Long believed to be the challenger to Bartlett, Peter Sarsgaard’s Rick Mountcastle is precise and committed throughout the heartbreaking Hulu series. Could he still make a play for the win with other co-stars in the lineup? Watch out.

An actor’s actor, Michael Stuhlbarg had multiple performances this year including in “The Staircase,” and his work in “Dopesick” serves as the representation for his standout performance. He might be able to pull it off in this lineup with the right pocket of support.

A surprising entry, especially considering the men from “The Dropout” missed here as well, Will Poulter’s Billy Cutler is a beacon of hope that the love for “Dopesick” runs deep and it’s still in the race for the top category. His nom, however, is the reward.

The complete television awards season calendar is linked here.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

2021 category winner: Evan Peters, “Mare of Easttown” (HBO)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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Mario Perez/HBO
And The Nominees Are:
Rank Actor Role Show (Network)
1 Murray Bartlett Armond “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Key facts with no formal episode submission: First nomination.
2 Seth Rogen Rand Gautier “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
Key facts with no formal episode submission: Fifth Emmy nomination, first for acting. Triple nominated this year along with outstanding limited or anthology series for “Pam & Tommy” and oustanding short form animated program for “Diabolical,” both as an executive producer.
3 Michael Stuhlbarg Richard Sackler “Dopesick” (Hulu)
Key facts with no formal episode submission: Second Emmy nomination.
4 Peter Sarsgaard Rick Mountcastle “Dopesick” (Hulu)
Key facts with no formal episode submission:
5 Steve Zahn Mark Mossbacher “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Key facts with no formal episode submission: First nomination.
6 Jake Lacy Shane Patton “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Key facts with no formal episode submission: First nomination.
7 Will Poulter Billy Cutler “Dopesick” (Hulu)
Key facts with no formal episode submission: First nomination.

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Supporting Actor Limited Series/TV Movie)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: The rules for this category have changed many times over the years, but as it stands, Beau Bridges is the only actor ever to win this race more than once – “The Positively True Adventures of the Alleged Texas Cheerleader-Murdering Mom” (1993) and “The Second Civil War” (1997).

For nominations: The late Brian Dennehy is the most nominated actor in this category with four nods, followed by Beau Bridges, John Gielgud, John Malkovich, Joe Mantegna and Michael K. Williams with three apiece.


2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.