Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit
THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from
THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go to
THE OSCARS HUB
UPDATED: August 4, 2022
2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:
In a transformative performance, Lily James captures the essence of actor and model Pamela Anderson in the Hulu series “Pam & Tommy.” Making magic with her nominated co-star Sebastian Stan, she slices through the ’90s period easily, capturing the nuance and heart of the story being told. This is only the beginning for the English star, but a win may have to wait until the next one.
Picking up her first Oscar nomination in 2021, Amanda Seyfried followed it up with a career best performance in Hulu’s “The Dropout.” Aside from Michael Keaton’s assured win for “Dopesick,” she’s long been considered one of the closest “locks” of the evening. While her co-star Naveen Andrews egregiously missed out, additional “Dropout” acting noms only reinforce her front-runner status.
An Emmy winner for “United States of Tara,” Toni Collette picked up her fifth career nom for her turn as the deceased (murdered?) wife, Kathleen, in the HBO Max adaptation of the documentary. While the show didn’t perform as well as many had expected, only picking up another mention for co-star Colin Firth, the commitment by Collette is undeniable. It could be a shocking upset waiting in the wings.
Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub
Portraying O.J. Simpson prosecutor Marcia Clark brought Sarah Paulson to the Emmy stage. As Linda Tripp, another real-life person, she surprised many by landing her eighth acting nom for the FX limited series. The Ryan Murphy production focusing on the impeachment of Bill Clinton popped up in a few categories, and Paulson’s industry respect was a big part of why “Impeachment” got a foot in the race.
Julia Garner picked up two acting bids this year — supporting actress drama for “Ozark” and her riveting and buzzy turn as Anna Delvey in “Inventing Anna,” both from Netflix. With two Emmy wins thus far and “Anna” getting a surprise nom for limited series, could one of those noms help the other, leading to a double win? The thesp who may play Madonna sees her star continue to rise.
One of the surviving entities of the Netflix drama that fell off the Emmy wagon, Margaret Qualley earned a deserved second career nom for her turn as a single mother. Three years after her inaugural entry for “Fosse/Verdon,” Qualley was long perceived to be the spoiler in the race, and since there aren’t many other ways to reward the series, she could be an easy box for voters to check.
The complete television awards season calendar is linked here.
Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub
The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.
2021 category winner: Kate Winslet, “Mare of Easttown” (HBO)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Lead Actress Limited Series)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. Many records have been held for wins and nominations in the near eight decades.
For wins: Helen Mirren has the most wins in this category with four – “Prime Suspect: The Scent of Darkness” (1995), “The Passion of Ayn Rand” (1999), “Elizabeth I” (2005) and “Prime Suspect: The Final Act” (2006). Patty Duke and Laura Linney each have the second most with three.
For nominations: Helen Mirren is the most nominated actress in this category with 10. Judy Davis and Jessica Lange are second with seven each.
2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions
- Outstanding Drama Series
- Outstanding Comedy Series
- Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Directing for a Limited Series or Anthology Series or Movie
- Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series, Movie, or Dramatic Special
- Outstanding Competition Program
- Outstanding Variety Talk Series
2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions
- Outstanding Television Movie
- Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
- Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
- Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
- Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
- Outstanding Reality Host
- Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
- Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
- Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
- Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
- Outstanding Animated Program
- Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
- Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
- Outstanding Narrator
- Outstanding Structured Program
- Outstanding Unstructured Program
- Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
- Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special
- Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
- Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
- Outstanding Main Title Design
- Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
- Outstanding Music for Series
- Outstanding Music for Limited Series
- Outstanding Music and Lyrics
- Outstanding Music Supervision
About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.
- The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.