Emmy Predictions: TV Movie – A24 and Apple TV’s ‘The Sky is Everywhere’ Could Be a Showcase for Indie Cinema

Other notable contenders include 'Chip 'n' Dale Rescue Rangers,' 'The Fallout,' 'Fresh,' 'Ray Donovan: The Movie' and 'I Want You Back'

The Sky Is Everywhere
Courtesy of Apple TV Plus
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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: June 23, 2022



From the mind of Barry Levinson, the iconic director of classics such as “Diner” and the Oscar-winning “Rain Man” (1988), comes the true story of Harry Haft, a World War II-era boxer who fought in concentration camps. Led by a brave and daring turn by Ben Foster, with the backing of HBO Max, “The Survivor” has the makings of an Oscar movie in Emmy territory. 

Megan Park’s visceral and brutally honest depiction of a young girl dealing with the aftermath of a school shooting is among the best films in any medium this year. Dropping on HBO Max after playing the festival circuit in 2021, “The Fallout” features a breakout performance from Jenna Ortega. While it is undoubtedly difficult to watch due to the recent tragedies, if enough voters give it a chance, it could lead to noms across the board. 

It’s nostalgia overdrive with Disney+ and its refreshing reboot of the classic cartoon, “Chip ‘n’ Dale Rescue Rangers.” With the voice talents of Andy Samberg and John Mulaney and directed by Akiva Schaffer (one of the Lonely Island trio), an entry such as this would offer an elevated and populist choice for the TV Academy. 

Netflix can make some potential history with its triple-segmented animated film “The House,” helmed by Paloma Baeza, Emma De Swaef and Niki Lindroth von Bahr. Inclusion in the category would be a first in history for the Emmys, and the delightful charmer could bring some gravitas to the category. 

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I Want You Back Courtesy of Amazon Prime Video

Romantic comedies have often been a favorite of the TV Academy in this space. “I Want You Back,” the heart-warmer from director Jason Orley, featuring two excellent performances by Charlie Day and Jenny Slate, has the goods to slip into the lineup. Amazon Prime Video has shown strength in this category after landing “Sylvie’s Love” and “Uncle Frank” noms in 2021. 

A24 and Apple TV+ combine forces once again for the independent drama “The Sky is Everywhere” from visionary director Josephine Decker, best known for her work on “Madeline’s Madeline” (2018) and “Shirley” (2020). With two knockout performances from breakouts Grace Kaufman and Jacques Colimon and standout turns from Cherry Jones and Jason Segal, this highbrow pic could have the goods to make noise with members. 

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The programs and potential nominees listed below are incomplete and subject to change. The complete television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: “Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square” (Netflix)


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1 “The Survivor” HBO Aaron L. Gilbert, Matti Leshem, Barry Levinson, Scott Pardo, Jason Sosnoff
2 “The Sky is Everywhere” A24/Apple TV+ Josephine Decker, Denise Di Novi, Margaret French Isaac, Allison Rose Carter
3 “The House” Netflix Charlotte Bavasso, Christopher O’Reilly
4 “I Want You Back” Amazon Prime Video Isaac Aptaker, Elizabeth Berger, Peter Safran, John Rickard
5 “Chip ‘n’ Dale: Rescue Rangers” Disney+ David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman, Alexander Young, Tom Peitzman
6 “Ray Donovan: The Movie” Showtime John H. Radulovic, David Hollander, Liev Schreiber, Mark Gordon, Bryan Zuriff, Lou Fusaro
7 “The Fallout” HBO Shaun Sanghani, David Brown, Giulia Prenna, Joannie Burstein, Rebecca Miller, Cara Shine, Todd Lundbohm
8 “Reno 911! The Hunt for QAnon” Paramount+ Carlos Alazraqui, Mary Birdsong, Danny DeVito, Robert Ben Garant, Christian Hoffman, Kerri Kenney, John Landgraf, Thomas Lennon, David Lincoln, Wendi McLendon-Covey, Niecy Nash, Melissa Nathan, Peter Principato, Michael Shamberg, Stacey Sher, Cedric Yarbrough
9 “Fresh” Hulu Adam McKay, Kevin Messick
10 “Psych 3: This Is Gus” Peacock To be added
11 “Madres” Amazon Prime Video To be added
12 “Zoey’s Extraordinary Christmas” The Roku Channel To be added
13 “Bingo Hell” Amazon Prime Video To be added
14 “Book of Love” Amazon Prime Video To be added
15 “Jolt” Amazon Prime Video To be added
16 “Sex Appeal” Hulu To be added
17 “Birds of Paradise” Amazon Prime Video To be added
18 “The Valet” Hulu To be added
19 “The Voyeurs” Amazon Prime Video To be added
20 “Black as Night” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Adventures in Christmasing” To be added To be added
“The Bitch Who Stole Christmas” To be added To be added
“Bottle Monster” To be added To be added
“The Christmas House 2: Deck Those Halls” To be added To be added
“A Clusterfünke Christmas” To be added To be added
“Don’t Hang Up” To be added To be added
“Fallen Angels Murder Club: Friends to Die For” To be added To be added
“Fistful Of Vengeance” To be added To be added
“Gone Mom: The Disappearance Of Jennifer Dulos” To be added To be added
“Hip Hop Family Christmas” To be added To be added
“A Holiday In Harlem” To be added To be added
“Hot Mess Holiday” To be added To be added
“The Housewives Of The North Pole” To be added To be added
“A Kiss Before Christmas” To be added To be added
“Let’s Get Married” To be added To be added
“List Of a Lifetime” To be added To be added
“Miracles Across 125th Street” To be added To be added
“Our Christmas Journey” To be added To be added
“Reba McEntire’s Christmas In Tune” To be added To be added
“Safe Room” To be added To be added
“Single All the Way” To be added To be added
“Three Months” To be added To be added
“Torn From Her Arms” To be added To be added
“The Manor” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“The Waltons: Homecoming” The CW To be added
“The Wedding Veil” To be added To be added
“Wrath: A Seven Deadly Sins Story” To be added To be added
X “Crush” Hulu To be added
X “Kimi” HBO David Koepp, Michael Polaire
X “Line Sisters” Lifetime To be added
X “Moonshot” HBO Greg Berlanti, Sarah Schechter, Jill McElroy, Jenna Sarkin
X “Salt N’ Pepa” Lifetime To be added
X “The Bad Seed Returns” Lifetime To be added
X “Vanished: Searching for My Sister” Lifetime To be added


The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. For example, "Black Mirror" is a series with the most wins at three, while "Sherlock" has the most nominations at four.

HBO has the most wins in this category on the network front with 22, while NBC is second with nine. Netflix is the first and only streamer to have won this category - for three consecutive years with "Black Mirror."

2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.