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Final Emmy Predictions: TV Movie – Barry Levinson’s ‘The Survivor’ Looks Like the Only Sure Fire Bet

Other notable contenders include 'Chip 'n' Dale Rescue Rangers,' 'The Fallout,' 'Fresh,' 'Ray Donovan: The Movie' and 'I Want You Back'

The Survivor
HBO
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To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: July 7, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Barry Levinson’s “The Survivor” starring Ben Foster, which debuted at the 2021 Toronto International Film Festival looks to be the only sure-fire film to be nominated in the lot. Along with “Zoey’s Extraordinary Christmas” from The Roku Channel, it’s one of the few that nab other noms outside the category. With “Zoey,” it could mimic last year’s winner “Dolly Parton’s Christmas in the Square,” which swept its two noms, including this category.

As we looked like we were moving towards making history with an animated feature getting into this race, with either Disney+’s “Chip ‘n Dale Rescue Rangers” or Netflix’s “The House,” I’m hedging my bets that they’ll look elsewhere. Hope I’m wrong.

See the complete final predictions for all 101 Emmy categories here.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: “Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square” (Netflix)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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Courtesy of Roku

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK FILM NETWORK PRODUCERS
1 “The Survivor” HBO Aaron L. Gilbert, Matti Leshem, Barry Levinson, Scott Pardo, Jason Sosnoff
2 “The Sky is Everywhere” A24/Apple TV+ Josephine Decker, Denise Di Novi, Margaret French Isaac, Allison Rose Carter
3 “I Want You Back” Amazon Prime Video Isaac Aptaker, Elizabeth Berger, Peter Safran, John Rickard
4 “Ray Donovan: The Movie” Showtime John H. Radulovic, David Hollander, Liev Schreiber, Mark Gordon, Bryan Zuriff, Lou Fusaro
5 “Zoey’s Extraordinary Christmas” The Roku Channel To be added
NEXT IN LINE
5 “The House” Netflix Charlotte Bavasso, Christopher O’Reilly
6 “Chip ‘n’ Dale: Rescue Rangers” Disney+ David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman, Alexander Young, Tom Peitzman
7 “The Fallout” HBO Shaun Sanghani, David Brown, Giulia Prenna, Joannie Burstein, Rebecca Miller, Cara Shine, Todd Lundbohm
8 “Reno 911! The Hunt for QAnon” Paramount+ Carlos Alazraqui, Mary Birdsong, Danny DeVito, Robert Ben Garant, Christian Hoffman, Kerri Kenney, John Landgraf, Thomas Lennon, David Lincoln, Wendi McLendon-Covey, Niecy Nash, Melissa Nathan, Peter Principato, Michael Shamberg, Stacey Sher, Cedric Yarbrough
9 “Fresh” Hulu Adam McKay, Kevin Messick
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
10 “Psych 3: This Is Gus” Peacock To be added
11 “Madres” Amazon Prime Video To be added
13 “Bingo Hell” Amazon Prime Video To be added
14 “Book of Love” Amazon Prime Video To be added
15 “Jolt” Amazon Prime Video To be added
16 “Sex Appeal” Hulu To be added
17 “Birds of Paradise” Amazon Prime Video To be added
18 “The Valet” Hulu To be added
19 “The Voyeurs” Amazon Prime Video To be added
20 “Black as Night” Amazon Prime Video To be added
UNRANKED CONTENDERS
“Adventures in Christmasing” To be added To be added
“The Bitch Who Stole Christmas” To be added To be added
“Bottle Monster” Self-submitted To be added
“The Christmas House 2: Deck Those Halls” To be added To be added
“A Clusterfünke Christmas” To be added To be added
“Don’t Hang Up” To be added To be added
“Fallen Angels Murder Club: Friends to Die For” To be added To be added
“Fistful Of Vengeance” Netflix Yalun Tu
“Gone Mom: The Disappearance Of Jennifer Dulos” To be added To be added
“Hip Hop Family Christmas” To be added To be added
“A Holiday In Harlem” To be added To be added
“Hot Mess Holiday” To be added To be added
“The Housewives Of The North Pole” To be added To be added
“A Kiss Before Christmas” To be added To be added
“Let’s Get Married” To be added To be added
“List Of a Lifetime” To be added To be added
“Miracles Across 125th Street” To be added To be added
“Our Christmas Journey” To be added To be added
“Reba McEntire’s Christmas In Tune” To be added To be added
“Safe Room” To be added To be added
“Single All the Way” To be added To be added
“Three Months” Paramount+ Lara Alameddine, Daniel Dubiecki, Alexander Motlagh
“Torn From Her Arms” To be added To be added
“The Manor” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“The Waltons: Homecoming” The CW To be added
“The Wedding Veil” To be added To be added
“Wrath: A Seven Deadly Sins Story” To be added To be added
DID NOT SUBMIT
X “Crush” Hulu To be added
X “Kimi” HBO David Koepp, Michael Polaire
X “Line Sisters” Lifetime To be added
X “Moonshot” HBO Greg Berlanti, Sarah Schechter, Jill McElroy, Jenna Sarkin
X “Salt N’ Pepa” Lifetime To be added
X “The Bad Seed Returns” Lifetime To be added
X “Vanished: Searching for My Sister” Lifetime To be added

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best Television Movie)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. For example, "Black Mirror" is a series with the most wins at three, while "Sherlock" has the most nominations at four.

HBO has the most wins in this category on the network front with 22, while NBC is second with nine. Netflix is the first and only streamer to have won this category - for three consecutive years with "Black Mirror."


2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.