Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB
UPDATED: August 18, 2022
2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:
“The Survivor” is the prestigious film of the bunch. Oscar-winning director Barry Levinson (“Rain Man”), who is also a three-time Emmy winner for writing on “The Carol Burnett Show” and helming an episode of the drama series “Homicide: Life on the Street,” has long seemed pre-ordained for recognition in this race. After debuting at the Toronto Film Festival in 2021, where it was acquired by HBO, the Ben Foster boxing vehicle is the type of conventional biopic that could be a painless choice for the cinema lovers in the Academy. Interestingly, with HBO possibly on the bubble or frontrunning to win drama series (“Succession”), comedy series (“Hacks”) and limited series (“The White Lotus”), if it ends up with all four top category wins, it would be the first network in Emmy history to win them all.
“Chip n’ Dale Rescue Rangers” is the first animated feature ever to be nominated for outstanding television movie, the Disney+ reboot of the popular 90s cartoon characters clearly struck a chord with the nostalgia factor, the riotous direction by Akiva Schaffer and hysterical voice work from John Mulaney and Andy Samberg. With some Oscar-nominated producers on board (David Hoberman and Todd Lieberman for “The Fighter”), the TV Academy could be seeking a “good mood” with their selections.
NBC may have canceled “Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist” in 2021, but The Roku Channel saw an opportunity to get behind the established property and usher it into the Emmy circle, which is the first nomination for the network. The only nominee with more than one nomination, and mirroring the same as last year’s winner “Dolly Parton’s Christmas in the Square,” a musical that can get Hollywood in the holiday spirit could strike an interesting chord.
Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub
The hilarious deputies of the Reno Sherriff’s department found a way to break into current events with rib-tickling results, thanks to the comical ensemble that includes Thomas Lennon, Wendi McLendon-Covey and more. Written by Lennon, Kerri Kenney and Robert Ben Garant, who also directs the Paramount+ streaming feature, you never know what the TV Academy could gravitate toward. It would also be the first major win for Paramount+ after, which will help the brand (and morale) after the infamous “Yellowstone” shut out.
“Ray Donovan: The Movie,” helmed by director David Hollander and starring eight-time Emmy nominee Liev Schreiber, got the opportunity to bookend the seven-season run of the Showtime drama series. While the show was never an Emmy darling, picking up one win for guest actor drama (Hank Azaria) during its run, voters may feel compelled to give it a proper sendoff.
The complete television awards season calendar is linked here.
Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub
The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.
2021 category winner: “Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square” (Netflix)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best Television Movie)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.
This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. For example, "Black Mirror" is a series with the most wins at three, while "Sherlock" has the most nominations at four.
HBO has the most wins in this category on the network front with 22, while NBC is second with nine. Netflix is the first and only streamer to have won this category - for three consecutive years with "Black Mirror."
2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions
- Outstanding Drama Series
- Outstanding Comedy Series
- Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
- Outstanding Directing for a Limited Series or Anthology Series or Movie
- Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series, Movie, or Dramatic Special
- Outstanding Competition Program
- Outstanding Variety Talk Series
2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions
- Outstanding Television Movie
- Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
- Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
- Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
- Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
- Outstanding Reality Host
- Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
- Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
- Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
- Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
- Outstanding Animated Program
- Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
- Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
- Outstanding Narrator
- Outstanding Structured Program
- Outstanding Unstructured Program
- Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
- Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special
- Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
- Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
- Outstanding Main Title Design
- Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
- Outstanding Music for Series
- Outstanding Music for Limited Series
- Outstanding Music and Lyrics
- Outstanding Music Supervision
About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.
- The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.