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Emmy Predictions: Limited or Anthology Series – ‘The White Lotus’ Momentum Continues During Final Voting Days

Other notable contenders also include 'Dopesick,' 'The Dropout,' 'Inventing Anna,' 'Maid' and 'Under the Banner of Heaven'

The White Lotus - Jennifer Coolidge
Screenshot courtesy HBO
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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

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UPDATED: June 23, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Based on our initial count, we will likely have five allotted spots for outstanding limited or anthology series, and four of them already seem spoken for. Does that leave room for a surprise entry (or omission)?

The Western genre is back in full swing, and that love is palpable with producer Taylor Sheridan’s “Yellowstone” and his limited series spinoff “1883.” Led by country music stars Tim McGraw and Faith Hill, along with Sam Elliott, the Paramount+ show looks like an awards break out, similar to previous Emmy fave “Hatfields & McCoys.” 

The last two years of Emmy sweeps have taught us that it’s not just what the TV Academy voters love but what they’ve watched that matters. We know that many of them took the time to view Netflix’s “Maid,” created by Molly Smith Metzler, which takes a harrowing look at the toxic relationships that surround us. Led by strong performances by real-life mother-and-daughter duo Margaret Qualley and Andie MacDowell, the show strikes a chord. 

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Hulu

Amanda Seyfried transforms into Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes in “The Dropout,” the Hulu limited series created by TV producing guru Elizabeth Meriweather. Its documentation of biotech company, based on the ABC audio podcast, dominated social media and (virtual) water cooler conversations. With the added prestige of its respected cast members, the show should be at the forefront for voters. 

It was nostalgia on steroids when Hulu dropped its entertaining look at the marriage between actress Pamela Anderson and Mötley Crüe drummer Tommy Lee against the backdrop of the unauthorized dissemination of their sex tape in the 1990s. Helmed by acclaimed director Craig Gillespie and boasting transformational performances from Lily James and Sebastian Stan, the Robert Siegel-created “Pam & Tommy” could get a second wind on the road to the Emmy ceremony. 

The Shonda Rhimes-produced series “Inventing Anna,” inspired by the New York Magazine article, is highlighted by excellent turns from Emmy-winner Julia Garner (also contending for Netflix’s “Ozark”) and Emmy-nominee Anna Chlumsky (who somehow never won during her run on “Veep”). Can the lighthearted takes on a true-crime saga overcome the mixed reviews from critics, or is it another case of TV voters checking off the shows they’ve seen? 

FX’s “Under the Banner of Heaven” generated buzz and acclaim for its addictive plot and strong performances from its actors, most notably Andrew Garfield, who’s fresh off an Oscar nom for “Tick, Tick … Boom!” With comparisons to last year’s Emmy favorite “Mare of Easttown” and a renewed look at the Mormon church in pop culture, it will be high on voters’ watchlists.  

Mike White’s satirical dramedy “The White Lotus” captured a biting look at wealth and social status in the new anthology series is up on deck and ready to take the TV Academy by storm. Featuring an all-star cast including top acting contenders Murray Bartlett and Jennifer Coolidge, the high viewership, with an exciting boost from the Cannes Palme d’Or winner “Triangle of Sadness,” will usher the series along to multiple noms (and possible wins).

A latecomer in the Emmy race, HBO’s “The Staircase” based on the documentary of the same name, lit up TV screens across the world in its thrilling depiction of Michael Peterson and his bludgeoned wife, Kathy. With Emmy nominee Colin Firth and Emmy winner Toni Collette at the top of their game, the mystery series could be a major spoiler in the race for gold.

Last year, Disney+ had the best showing of any series when “WandaVision” co-led the nomination tally across all shows. The streamer’s “Moon Knight” stars awards regulars Oscar Isaac and Ethan Hawke and gives voters a chance to recognize more characters from the Marvel Cinematic Universe. Will the TV Academy check off the series created by Jeremy Slater? 

Emmy-winning writer and producer Danny Strong (“Game Change”) created this timely Hulu miniseries “Dopesick” based on the book by Beth Macy that looks at America’s struggle with the opioid crisis. With a stellar ensemble that includes lead actor frontrunner Michael Keaton, the heartbreaking tale struck a chord with viewers back in late 2021, and it’s still resonating now, speaking to its narrative power. 

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: “The Queen’s Gambit” (Netflix)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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Pam & Tommy — “Pamela In Wonderland” – Episode 106 — During a grueling deposition, Pam is pushed to the emotional brink. Pam (Lily James) and Tommy (Sebastian Stan), shown. (Photo by: Erin Simkin/Hulu) Courtesy of Hulu
AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK SERIES NETWORK PRODUCER(S)
1 “The White Lotus” HBO Nick Hall, David Bernad, Mike White
2 “Dopesick” Hulu Danny Strong, John Goldwyn, Warren Littlefield, Karen Rosenfelt, Barry Levinson, Beth Macy, Michael Keaton
3 “The Staircase” HBO Antonio Campos, Maggie Cohn, Carol Cuddy, Megan Ellison, Sue Naegle, Ali Krug
4 “The Dropout” Hulu Elizabeth Meriwether, Katherine Pope, Michael Showalter, Jordana Mollick, Rebecca Jarvis, Taylor Dunn, Victoria Thompson, Liz Heldens, Liz Hannah
5 “MAID” Netflix John Wells, Molly Smith Metzler, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley, Erin Jontow, Brett Hedblom, Stephanie Land
NEXT IN LINE
6 “1883” Paramount+ Ron Burkle, David C. Glasser, John Linson, Art Linson, Taylor Sheridan, Bob Yari
7 “Station Eleven” HBO Patrick Somerville, Jessica Rhoades, Scott Steindorff, Dylan Russell, Scott Delman, Jeremy Podeswa, Hiro Murai, Nate Matteson
8 “Under the Banner of Heaven” FX Jason Bateman, Dustin Lance Black, Michael Costigan, Anna Culp, Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, David Mackenzie
9 “Inventing Anna” Netflix Shonda Rhimes, Betsy Beers, Tom Verica, David Frankel
10 “Pam and Tommy” Hulu Sue Naegle, Ali Krug, Seth Rogen, Evan Goldberg, James Weaver, Alex McAtee, Robert Siegel, D.V. DeVincentis, Craig Gillespie, Dylan Sellers, Dave Franco
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11 “The Girl from Plainville” Hulu Liz Hannah, Patrick Macmanus, Elle Fanning, Brittany Kahan Ward, Lisa Cholodenko
12 “WeCrashed” Apple TV+ Lee Eisenberg, Drew Crevello, Anne Hathaway, Jared Leto, Emma Ludbrook, John Requa & Glenn Ficarra, Charlie Gogolak, Natalie Sandy, Hernan Lopez, Marshall Lewy, Aaron Hart
13 “Scenes from a Marriage” HBO Hagai Levi, Michael Ellenberg, Oscar Isaac, Jessica Chastain, Lars Blomgren, Amy Herzog, M. Blair Breard, Daniel Bergman
14 “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” Apple TV+ Diane Houslin, Samuel L. Jackson, David Levine, Walter Mosley, Eli Selden, Ramin Bahrani, LaTanya Richardson Jackson
15 “Gaslit” Starz Robbie Pickering, Matt Ross, Sam Esmail, Chad Hamilton, Julia Roberts, Gabriel Roth, Josh Levin
16 “A Very British Scandal” Amazon Prime Video Sarah Phelps, Anne Sewitsky, Claire Foy, Kate Triggs, Delyth Scudamore, Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin, Diarmuid McKeown, Lucy Richer, Dominic Treadwell-Collins, Chris Ballantyne
17 “Moon Knight” Disney+ Kevin Feige, Louis D’Esposito, Victoria Alonso, Brad Winderbaum, Grant Curtis, Oscar Isaac, Mohamed Diab, Jeremy Slater
18 “Midnight Mass” Netflix Mike Flanagan, Trevor Macy, Jeff Howard
19 “Dr. Death” Peacock Patrick Macmanus, Todd Black, Jason Blumenthal, Taylor Latham, Steve Tisch, Aaron Hart, Marshall Lewy, Hernan Lopez, Christian Slater, Alec Baldwin, Matt Del Piano, Maggie Kiley, Evan Wright
20 “Women of the Movement” ABC Marissa Jo Cerar, Gina Prince-Bythewood, Jay-Z, Jay Brown, Tyran “Ty Ty” Smith, Will Smith, Aaron Kaplan, James Lassiter, Dana Honor, Rosanna Grace, Alex Foster,, John P. Middleton, David Clark
UNRANKED CONTENDERS
“American Horror Stories” FX To be added
“American Horror Story: Double Feature” FX To be added
“Anatomy of a Scandal” Netflix To be added
“Angela Black” To be added To be added
“Angelyne” Peacock To be added
“Brand New Cherry Flavor” Peacock To be added
“Candy” Hulu Robin Veith, Nick Antosca, Alex Hedlund, Jessica Biel, Michelle Purple, Michael Uppendahl
“Clickbait” Netflix To be added
“Colin in Black and White” Netflix Ava DuVernay, Colin Kaepernick, Paul Garnes
“Conversations with Friends” Hulu To be added
“Creep Show” Shudder To be added
“DMZ” HBO Roberto Patino, Ava DuVernay, Paul Garnes
“Horror Noire” To be added To be added
“Impeachment: American Crime Story” FX Larry Karaszewski, Scott Alexander, Brad Falchuk, Brad Simpson, Nina Jacobson, Dante Di Loreto, Ryan Murphy, Alexis Martin Woodall, Tom Rob Smith, Daniel Minahan, Sarah Paulson, Sarah Burgess
“Joe vs. Carole” Peacock To be added
“Landscapers” HBO Olivia Colman, Jane Featherstone, Chris Fry, Ed Sinclair, Will Sharpe
“Lisey’s Story” Apple TV+ To be added
“Love Life” HBO To be added
“Miracle Workers: Oregon Trail” To be added To be added
“Modern Love” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Pistol” FX To be added
“Roar” Apple TV+ To be added
“Slasher: Flesh and Blood” Shudder To be added
“Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber” Showtime Allyce Ozarski, Stephen Schiff, Paul Schiff,

Beth Schacter, Brian Koppelman, David Levien, Mike Harrop, Mike Isaac, Safia M. Dirie, Sarah Acosta

“Swimming With Sharks” To be added To be added
“The Essex Serpent” Apple TV+ To be added
“The First Lady” Showtime Jeff Gaspin, Brad Kaplan, Aaron Cooley, Pavlina Hatoupis, Alyson Feltes, Viola Davis, Julius Tennon, Andrew Wang, Cathy Schulman, Susanne Bier
“The Girl Before” HBO To be added
“The Hot Zone: Anthrax” National Geographic To be added
“The Kings of Napa” To be added To be added
“The Offer” Paramount+ To be added
“The Premise” FX To be added
“The Pursuit of Love” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“The Shrink Next Door” Apple TV+ Georgia Pritchett, Will Ferrell, Jessica Elbaum, Brittney Segal, Paul Rudd, Michael Showalter, Jordana Mollick, Hernan Lopez, Marshall Lewy, Aaron Hart, Jared Sandberg, Katie Boyce, Francesca Levy, Ethan Kuperberg
“The Thing About Pam” NBC To be added
“The Woman in the House Across the Street from the Girl in the Window” Netflix To be added
“This is Going to Hurt” BBC One To be added
“Time” BritBox To be added
“True Story” Netflix To be added
“Two Sentence Horror Stories” Netflix To be added
“We Own This City” HBO To be added
“Why Didn’t The Ask Evans?” BritBox To be added

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best Limited or Anthology Series)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. "Prime Suspect" has the most wins in this category with three, while "American Crime Story" is right behind with two. The former also has the most nominations for a continuing series with five, while "American Horror Story" is close behind with four.

Since the beginning of this category in 1973, HBO has the most wins in this category with 11, with NBC and PBS close behind with 10. Netflix is the only streaming platform to win this category with "The Queen's Gambit" in 2021.


2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.