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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE

2021 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

UPDATED: Oct. 27, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

The early buzz for Amanda Seyfried’s work in “Mank” is very strong and should could make a compelling case for her first Oscar nomination. Glenn Close’s work in “Hillbilly Elegy” will be showy but it’ll depend on how everyone takes to the film. Could she lose an Oscar again to Olivia Colman, who is spectacular in “The Father?”

UPDATE (10/27/2020): “Respect” has pushed back its release outside of the eligibility window and has been removed from the charts.

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories


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Image courtesy of Sony Pictures Classics

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Olivia Colman
    "The Father" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  2. Amanda Seyfried
    "Mank" (Netflix)

  3. Glenn Close
    "Hillbilly Elegy" (Netflix)

  4. Helena Zengel
    "News of the World" (Universal Pictures)

  5. Yuh-Jung Youn
    "Minari" (A24)

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Courtesy of Amazon Studios

NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. Ellen Burstyn
    "Pieces of a Woman" (Netflix)

  2. Saoirse Ronan
    "Ammonite" (Neon)

  3. Maria Bakalova
    "Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan" (Amazon Studios)

  4. Ciara Bravo
    "Cherry" (Apple TV Plus)

  5. Priyanka Chopra
    "The White Tiger" (Netflix)

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Courtesy of Sea Change Media

TOP-TIER AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. Swankie
    "Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)

  2. Vanessa Kirby
    "The World to Come" (Bleecker Street)

  3. Kristin Scott Thomas
    "Rebecca" (Netflix)

  4. Natasha Lyonne
    "The United States vs. Billie Holiday" (Paramount Pictures)

  5. Nicole Kidman
    "The Prom" (Netflix)

  6. Talia Ryder
    "Never Rarely Sometimes Always" (Focus Features)

  7. Valerie Mahaffey
    "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  8. Taylour Paige
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

  9. Lauren Patel
    "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" (20th Century Studios)

  10. Ariana DeBose
    "The Prom" (Netflix)

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MELINDA SUE GORDON/NETFLIX

ALSO IN CONTENTION:

  1. Fiona Shaw
    "Ammonite" (Neon)

  2. Olivia Cooke
    "Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)

  3. Juno Temple
    "Palmer" (Apple TV Plus)

  4. Gal Gadot
    "Death on the Nile" (20th Century Studios)

  5. Connie Britton
    "Good Joe Bell" (Solstice Studios)

  6. Linda May
    "Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)

  7. Letitia Wright
    "Death on the Nile" (20th Century Studios)

  8. Alicia Vikander
    "The Glorias" (Roadside Attractions)

  9. Kerry Washington
    "The Prom" (Netflix)

  10. Toni Collette
    "I'm Thinking of Ending Things" (Netflix)

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Netflix

MORE AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. Dominique Fishback
    "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)

  2. Da'Vine Joy Randolph
    "The United States vs. Billie Holiday" (Paramount Pictures)

  3. Marisa Tomei
    "The King of Staten Island" (Universal Pictures)

  4. Gong Li
    "Mulan" (Walt Disney Pictures)

  5. Lily Collins
    "Mank" (Netflix)

  6. Felicity Jones†/††
    "The Midnight Sky" (Netflix)

  7. Caitlin Fitzgerald
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  8. Jayme Lawson
    "Farewell Amor" (Wavelength Productions)

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Photo courtesy of Universal Pictures

UNRANKED AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  • Shohreh Aghdashloo,“The Cuban” (Brainstorm Media)
  • Angela Bassett,“Soul” (Pixar)
  • Candice Bergen,“Let Them All Talk” (HBO Max)†
  • Annette Bening,“Death on the Nile” (20th Century Studios)
  • Haley Bennett,“Hillbilly Elegy” (Netflix)
  • Rachel Brosnahan,“The Courier” (Lionsgate)
  • Marsha Stephanie Blake,“I’m Your Woman” (Amazon Studios)
  • Gemma Chan,“Let Them All Talk” (HBO Max)†
  • Laverne Cox,“Promising Young Woman” (Focus Features)
  • Penelope Cruz,“The 355” (Universal Pictures)
  • Mackenzie Davis,“Happiest Season” (Hulu)†
  • Elizabeth Debicki,“Tenet” (Warner Bros.)
  • Minnie Driver,“Cinderella” (Sony Pictures)†
  • Bingbing Fan,“The 355” (Universal Pictures)
  • Janina Gavankar,“The Way Back” (Warner Bros.)
  • Betty Gilpin,“The Hunt” (Universal Pictures)
  • Amber Havard,“Bull” (Sony Pictures)
  • Diane Kruger,“The 355” (Universal Pictures)
  • Lesley Manville,“Let Him Go” (Focus Features)
  • Danielle McDonald,“French Exit” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  • Janelle Monae,“The Glorias” (Roadside Attractions)
  • Lupita Nyong'o,“The 355” (Universal Pictures)
  • Bel Powley,“The King of Staten Island” (Universal Pictures)
  • Gina Rodriguez,“Kajillionaire” (Focus Features)
  • Molly Shannon,“Promising Young Woman” (Focus Features)
  • Octavia Spencer,“The Witches” (HBO Max)
  • Mary Steenburgen,“Happiest Season” (Hulu)
  • Juno Temple,“Palmer” (Apple TV Plus)†
  • Lorraine Toussaint,“Concrete Cowboy” (No U.S. Distribution)†
  • Dianne Wiest,“Let Them All Talk” (HBO Max)†
  • Kristen Wiig,“Wonder Woman 1984” (Warner Bros.)†
  • Olivia Williams,“The Father” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  • Mare Winningham,“News of the World” (Universal Pictures)

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects, and writers.

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)