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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.

2021 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

UPDATED: Oct. 27, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

Can Chadwick Boseman get double nominated now that his role in “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” will campaign in best actor? Could be double nominated? Bill Murray could be the veteran that benefits the most from that move but Stanley Tucci and Frank Langella will be playing the same card.

Update 10/26/2020: Netflix has confirmed all the actors from “The Trial of the Chicago 7” will campaign for best supporting actor.
UPDATE (10/27/2020): “Respect” has pushed back its release outside of the eligibility window and has been removed from the charts.

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories


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Courtesy of The Bureau Sales

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Bill Murray
    "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)

  2. Leslie Odom, Jr.††
    "One NIght in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

  3. Sacha Baron Cohen
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  4. Stanley Tucci†/††
    "Supernova" (Bleecker Street)

  5. Daniel Kaluuya†/††
    "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)

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Photo courtesy of Searchlight Pictures

NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. David Strathairn
    "Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)

  2. Chadwick Boseman
    "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)

  3. Frank Langella
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  4. Mark Rylance
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  5. Billy Crystal
    "Standing Up, Falling Down" (Shout! Factory)

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Photo courtesy of A24

TOP-TIER AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. Alan S. Kim
    "Minari" (A24)

  2. Will Patton
    "Minari" (A24)

  3. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  4. Aldis Hodge
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

  5. Shia LaBeouf†/††
    "Pieces of a Woman" (Netflix)

  6. Michael Stuhlbarg
    "Shirley" (Neon)

  7. Jeremy Strong
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  8. Glynn Turman
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

  9. Colman Domingo
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

  10. Eli Goree
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

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Photo courtesy of FilmRise

ALSO IN CONTENTION:

  1. Caleb Landry Jones
    "The Outpost" (Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment)

  2. Brian Dennehy
    "Driveways" (FilmRise)

  3. Charles Dance
    "Mank" (Netflix)

  4. Bo Burnham
    "Promising Young Woman" (Focus Features)

  5. Christian Vazquez
    "I Carry You With Me" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  6. Hugh Laurie
    "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures)

  7. Tzi Ma
    "Mulan" (Walt Disney Pictures)

  8. Lucas Hedges
    "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  9. Reid Miller
    "Good Joe Bell" (Solstice Studios)

  10. Orion Lee
    "First Cow" (A24)

THE BOYS IN THE BAND (2020)Jim Parsons as Michael and Matt Bomer as Donald.Cr. Scott Everett White/NETFLIX ©2020

MORE AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. Jim Parsons
    "The Boys in the Band" (Netflix)

  2. Robert Pattinson
    "Tenet" (Warner Bros.)

  3. J.K. Simmons
    "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)

  4. Matthew Macfadyen
    "The Assistant" (Bleecker Street)

  5. Marlon Wayans
    "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)

  6. Richard Jenkins
    "Kajillionaire" (Focus Features)

  7. Kendrick Sampson
    "Miss Juneteenth" (Vertical Entertainment)

  8. Graham Greene
    "Antlers" (Searchlight Pictures)

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Kerry Brown / Netflix

UNRANKED AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  • Gabriel Basso,“Hillbilly Elegy” (Netflix)††
  • Kingsley Ben-Adir,“One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios)††
  • Kenneth Branagh,“Tenet” (Warner Bros.)
  • Tom Burke,“Mank” (Netflix)
  • Bill Burr,“The King of Staten Island” (Universal Pictures)
  • Steve Buscemi,“The King of Staten Island” (Universal Pictures)
  • Daveed Diggs,“Soul” (Pixar)
  • Idris Elba,“Concrete Cowboy” (No U.S. Distribution)†
  • Colin Firth,“Supernova” (Bleecker Street)†
  • Richard E. Grant,“Everybody’s Talking About Jamie” (20th Century Studios)
  • Arsenio Hall,“Coming 2 America” (Amazon Studios)
  • Armie Hammer,“Death on the Nile” (20th Century Studios)
  • Armie Hammer,“Rebecca” (Netflix)
  • Aldis Hodge,“The Invisible Man” (Universal Pictures)
  • Michael Keaton,“The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
  • Lakeith Stanfield,“Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)
  • Quest Love,“Soul” (Pixar)
  • Tom Pelphrey,“Mank” (Netflix)
  • Chris Pine,“Wonder Woman 1984” (Warner Bros.)†
  • Jesse Plemons,“Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)†
  • Billy Porter,“Cinderella” (Sony Pictures)†
  • Zachary Quinto,“The Boys in the Band” (Netflix)††
  • Andrew Rannells,“The Prom” (Netflix)
  • Eddie Redmayne,“The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
  • Bob Wells,“Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures)

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded person in this category is Walter Brennan with three wins between 1937 and 1941. He’s also the most nominated in this category with four, but shares that distinction with Jeff Bridges, Robert Duvall, Arthur Kennedy, Jack Nicholson, Al Pacino and Claude Rains. Mahershala Ali is the first African-American to win two Oscars in the same category and the first Muslim actor to win an Oscar.

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)