Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.


UPDATED: Oct. 27, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

William Goldenberg won the Oscar for “Argo” and will be back with Paul Greengrass for “News of the World” in another suspenseful drama. He could be one of the few big representations for the studios but the film still waits in the wings for its first major screening.

UPDATE (10/27/2020): “Respect” has pushed back its release outside of the eligibility window and has been removed from the charts.

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

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  1. "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)
    Alan Baumgarten

  2. "News of the World" (Universal Pictures)
    William Goldenberg

  3. "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)
    Tariq Anwar

  4. "Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)
    Chloé Zhao

  5. "Mank" (Netflix)
    Kirk Baxter

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Photo courtesy of Netflix


  1. "The Father" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Yorgos Lamprinos

  2. "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)
    Andrew Mondshein

  3. "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)
    Adam Gough

  4. "Tenet" (Warner Bros.)
    Jennifer Lame

  5. "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)†
    Kristan Sprague

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Apple TV Plus


  1. "Minari" (A24)†
    Harry Yoon

  2. "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)
    Sarah Flack

  3. "The White Tiger" (Netflix)†
    Tim Streeto

  4. "Promising Young Woman" (Focus Features)†
    Frédéric Thoraval

  5. "The Midnight Sky" (Netflix)†
    Stephen Mirrione

  6. "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)
    Andrew Dickler, Matt Friedman

  7. "I'm Thinking of Ending Things" (Netflix)
    Robert Frazen

  8. "The Invisible Man" (Universal Pictures)
    Andy Canny

  9. "Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)
    Mikkel E.G. Nielsen

  10. "The Outpost" (Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment)
    Michael J. Duthie

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  1. "The Prom" (Netflix)
    Peggy Tachdjian, Danielle Wang

  2. "Greyhound" (Apple TV Plus)
    Mark Czyzewski, Sidney Wolinsky

  3. "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Hilda Rasula

  4. "Mulan" (Walt Disney Pictures)
    David Coulson

  5. "Ammonite" (Neon)
    Chris Wyatt

  6. "The King of Staten Island" (Universal Pictures)
    Jay Cassidy

  7. "The Little Things" (Warner Bros.)
    Robert Frazen

  8. "Herself" (Amazon Studios)†
    Rebecca Lloyd

  9. "Hillbilly Elegy" (Netflix)†
    James Wilcox

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20th Century Studios


  • "Antlers" (Searchlight Pictures) – Dylan Tichenor
  • "Arkansas" (Lionsgate) – Patrick J. Don Vito
  • "Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn" (Warner Bros.) – Jay Cassidy, Evan Schiff
  • "Death on the Nile" (20th Century Studios) – Úna Ní Dhonghaíle
  • "Emma." (Focus Features) – Nick Emerson
  • "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" (20th Century Studios) – Mark Everson
  • "First Cow" (A24) – Kelly Reichardt
  • "Free Guy" (20th Century Studios) – Dean Zimmerman†
  • "Good Joe Bell" (Solstice Studios) – Mark Sanger†
  • "The Glorias" (Roadside Attractions) – Sabine Hoffman
  • "Let Them All Talk" (HBO Max) – Steven Soderbergh†
  • "Never Rarely Sometimes Always" (Focus Features) – Scott Cummings
  • "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures) – Mick Audsley, Peter Lambert
  • "Wonder Woman 1984" (Warner Bros.) – Richard Pearson

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Michael Kahn (“Schindler’s List”) and Thelma Schoonmaker (“Raging Bull”) share the most nominations in best editing with eight each, and also co-share the record of most wins with 3, along with one of the pioneers of editing Daniel Mandell (“The Apartment”). Only six women have won this prize with one Latino (Alfonso Cuarón for “Gravity”) with no Asians or Black artists yet to win.

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)