×

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.

2021 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST FILM EDITING

UPDATED: Nov. 19, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

With a category that is so closely tied to best picture, there are quite a few factors to consider as the contenders begin to plead their cases for awards bodies. One of which is the state of mind the industry will be after the holidays and the new year. Alan Baumgarten’s work on “The Trial of the Chicago 7” is still a standout of the year but how long can it sustain? “Minari” has planted its feet with a December limited release in order to qualify for all the awards it can, and hopefully, that buzz will travel long and far (if it ends up doing well with the early precursors).

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories


Lazy loaded image
Daniel Kaluuya in “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.) Photo courtesy of Warner Bros.

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)
    Alan Baumgarten

  2. "Mank" (Netflix)
    Kirk Baxter

  3. "Minari" (A24)
    Harry Yoon

  4. "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)
    Tariq Anwar

  5. "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)†
    Kristan Sprague

Lazy loaded image
Elisabeth Moss in “The Invisible Man” Courtesy of Universal Pictures

NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. "Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)
    Chloé Zhao

  2. "The Midnight Sky" (Netflix)
    Stephen Mirrione

  3. "News of the World" (Universal Pictures)
    William Goldenberg

  4. "The Invisible Man" (Universal Pictures)
    Andy Canny

  5. "The Father" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Yorgos Lamprinos

Lazy loaded image
Rashida Jones in “On the Rocks” (A24/Apple TV Plus) Photo courtesy of A24/Apple TV Plus

TOP-TIER AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. "Tenet" (Warner Bros.)
    Jennifer Lame

  2. "Promising Young Woman" (Focus Features)
    Frédéric Thoraval

  3. "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)
    Sarah Flack

  4. "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)
    Adam Gough

  5. "Borat Subsequent Moviefilm" (Amazon Studios)
    Craig Alpert, Michael Giambra, James Thomas

  6. "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)
    Andrew Mondshein

  7. "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)
    Andrew Dickler, Matt Friedman

  8. "The Prom" (Netflix)
    Peggy Tachdjian, Danielle Wang

  9. "Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)
    Mikkel E.G. Nielsen

  10. "Pieces of a Woman" (Netflix)
    Dávid Jancsó

Lazy loaded image
United States vs Billie Holiday Photo courtesy of Paramount Pictures

ALSO IN CONTENTION:

  1. "The Outpost" (Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment)
    Michael J. Duthie

  2. "The United States vs. Billie Holiday" (Paramount Pictures)
    Jay Rabinowitz

  3. "Ammonite" (Neon)
    Chris Wyatt

  4. "I Carry You with Me" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Enat Sidi

  5. "I'm Thinking of Ending Things" (Netflix)
    Robert Frazen

  6. "The White Tiger" (Netflix)
    Tim Streeto

  7. "The World to Come" (Bleecker Street)
    Dávid Jancsó

  8. "Greyhound" (Apple TV Plus)
    Mark Czyzewski, Sidney Wolinsky

  9. "Mulan" (Disney Plus)
    David Coulson

  10. "The King of Staten Island" (Universal Pictures)
    Jay Cassidy

Lazy loaded image
Radha Blank in The Forty-Year-Old Version Courtesy of Jeong Park/Netflix

UNRANKED AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  • "Antlers" (Searchlight Pictures) – Dylan Tichenor
  • "Arkansas" (Lionsgate) – Patrick J. Don Vito
  • "Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn" (Warner Bros.) – Jay Cassidy, Evan Schiff
  • "Cherry" (Apple TV Plus) – Jeff Groth
  • "Emma." (Focus Features) – Nick Emerson
  • "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" (20th Century Studios) – Mark Everson
  • "Farewell Amor" (IFC Films) – Jeanne Applegate, Justin Chan
  • "First Cow" (A24) – Kelly Reichardt
  • "The Forty-Year-Old Version" (Netflix) – Robert Grigsby Wilson
  • "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics) – Hilda Rasula
  • "Joe Bell" (Solstice Studios) – Mark Sanger†
  • "The Glorias" (Roadside Attractions) – Sabine Hoffman
  • "Herself" (Amazon Studios) – Rebecca Lloyd
  • "Hillbilly Elegy" (Netflix) – James Wilcox
  • "Let Them All Talk" (HBO Max) – Steven Soderbergh
  • "The Little Things" (Warner Bros.) – Robert Frazen
  • "Never Rarely Sometimes Always" (Focus Features) – Scott Cummings
  • "Nine Days" (Sony Pictures Classics) – Michael Taylor, Jeff Betancourt
  • "The Old Guard" (Netflix) – Terilyn A. Shropshire
  • "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures) – Mick Audsley, Peter Lambert
  • "Supernova" (Bleecker Street) – Chris Wyatt
  • "Wolfwalkers" (Apple TV Plus/GKIDS) – Richie Cody, Darren Holmes, Darragh Byrne
  • "Wonder Woman 1984" (Warner Bros.) – Richard Pearson

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Michael Kahn (“Schindler’s List”) and Thelma Schoonmaker (“Raging Bull”) share the most nominations in best editing with eight each, and also co-share the record of most wins with 3, along with one of the pioneers of editing Daniel Mandell (“The Apartment”). Only six women have won this prize with one Latino (Alfonso Cuarón for “Gravity”) with no Asians or Black artists yet to win.

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)