Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.


UPDATED: Nov. 19, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

We welcome back “Wonder Woman 1984” after being announced for a debut on HBO Max and theaters. Not much movement at the moment but new entries have been added including “Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey,” “Promising Young Woman” and “The World to Come,” all of which may benefit from a very fluid race overall. This week, “The Personal History of David Copperfield” remains in the top spot with “Mank” very close behind.

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

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Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom Ma Rainey's Black Bottom


  1. "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures)
    Suzie Harman, Robert Worley

  2. "Mank" (Netflix)
    Trish Summerville

  3. "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)
    Ann Roth

  4. "Mulan" (Walt Disney Pictures)
    Bina Daigeler

  5. "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)
    Francine Jamison-Tanchuck

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James Corden, Nicole Kidman, Meryl Streep and Keegan-Michael Key in Ryan Murphy’s “The Prom” MELINDA SUE GORDON/NETFLIX


  1. "Emma." (Focus Features)
    Alexandra Byrne

  2. "The Prom" (Netflix)
    Lou Eyrich

  3. "Wonder Woman 1984" (HBO Max/Warner Bros)
    Lindy Hemming

  4. "News of the World" (Universal Pictures)
    Mark Bridges

  5. "Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey" (Netflix)
    Michael Wilkinson

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Margot Robbie in “Birds of Prey” Claudette Barius


  1. "Ammonite" (Neon)
    Michael O'Connor

  2. "The World to Come" (Bleecker Street)
    Luminita Lungu

  3. "The United States vs. Billie Holiday" (Paramount Pictures)
    Paolo Nieddu

  4. "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)
    Susan Lyall

  5. "Promising Young Woman" (Focus Features)
    Nancy Steiner

  6. "Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)" (Warner Bros.)
    Erin Benach

  7. "Radioactive" (Amazon Studios)
    Consolata Boyle

  8. "I'm Your Woman" (A24)
    Natalie O'Brien

  9. "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Jane Petrie

  10. "The Glorias" (Roadside Attractions)
    Sandy Powell

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Kristin Scott Thomas in “Rebecca” (Netflix) Courtesy of Kerry Brown/Netflix


  1. "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)
    Donna Berwick

  2. "Blithe Spirit" (IFC Films)
    Charlotte Walter

  3. "Shirley" (Neon)
    Amela Baksic

  4. "The King's Man" (20th Century Studios)
    Michele Chapman

  5. "First Cow" (A24)
    April Napier

  6. "Rebecca" (Netflix)
    Julian Day

  7. "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)†
    Charlese Antoinette Jones

  8. "Tenet" (Warner Bros.)
    Jeffrey Kurland

  9. "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" (20th Century Studios)
    Guy Speranza

  10. "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)
    Colin Wilkes

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Tutar learning life lessons from Instagram influencer and “sugar baby” Macy Chanel Screenshot


  • "Borat Subsequent Moviefilm"(Amazon Studios) – Erinn Knight
  • "I'm Thinking of Ending Things"(Netflix) – Melissa Toth
  • "The Midnight Sky"(Netflix) – Jenny Eagan
  • "Minari"(A24) – Susanna Song
  • "The White Tiger"(Netflix) – TBA

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Legendary costume designer Edith Head runs the gauntlet in the costume category netting eight wins over 35 career nominations and unsure if anyone would ever catch up. Milena Canonero and Colleen Atwood have four wins each.

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)