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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.

2021 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST ACTOR

UPDATED: Oct. 27, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

Chadwick Boseman has officially been confirmed to being campaigned in best actor and could prove to be a challenger to frontrunner Anthony Hopkins but there’s still a long way to go with lots of possibilities to come, along with other campaign decisions including “The Trial of the Chicago 7,” “One Night in Miami” and “Judas and the Black Messiah.”

Update 10/26/2020: Netflix has confirmed all the actors from “The Trial of the Chicago 7” will campaign for best supporting actor.
UPDATE (10/27/2020): “Respect” has pushed back its release outside of the eligibility window and has been removed from the charts.

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories


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Photo courtesy of YouTube / Sony Pictures Classics

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Anthony Hopkins
    "The Father" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  2. Chadwick Boseman
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

  3. Delroy Lindo
    "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)

  4. Steven Yeun
    "Minari" (A24)

  5. Lakeith Stanfield†/††
    "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)

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Photo courtesy of Universal Pictures

NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. Gary Oldman
    "Mank" (Netflix)

  2. Tom Hanks
    "News of the World" (Universal Pictures)

  3. Colin Firth†/††
    "Supernova" (Bleecker Street)

  4. Riz Ahmed
    "Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)

  5. Tom Holland
    "Cherry" (Apple TV Plus)

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Photo courtesy of Netflix

TOP-TIER AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. Ben Affleck
    "The Way Back" (Warner Bros.)

  2. George Clooney
    "The Midnight Sky" (Netflix)

  3. Kingsley Ben-Adir††
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

  4. Dev Patel
    "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures)

  5. Winston Duke
    "Nine Days" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  6. Jamie Dornan
    "Wild Mountain Thyme" (Bleecker Street)

  7. Jesse Plemons
    "I'm Thinking of Ending Things" (Netflix)

  8. Jude Law
    "The Nest" (IFC Films)

  9. Sacha Baron Cohen
    "Borat: Subsequent Moviefilm" (Amazon Studios)

  10. John David Washington
    "Tenet" (Warner Bros.)

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Courtesy of Hulu

ALSO IN CONTENTION:

  1. Denzel Washington
    "The Little Things" (Warner Bros.)

  2. Andy Samberg
    "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)

  3. Adarsh Gourav
    "The White Tiger" (Netflix)

  4. Armando Espitia
    "I Carry You With Me" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  5. John Magaro
    "First Cow" (A24)

  6. James Corden
    "The Prom." (Netflix)

  7. Max Harwood
    "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" (20th Century Studios)

  8. Richard Jenkins
    "The Last Shift" (Sony Pictures Worldwide)

  9. Luca Marinelli
    "Martin Eden" (Kino Lorber)

  10. Ntare Guma Mbaho Mwine
    "Farewell Amor" (Wavelength Productions)

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Francesca-Errichiello

MORE AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. Kenneth Branagh
    "Death on the Nile." (20th Century Studios)

  2. Mark Wahlberg
    "Good Joe Bell" (Solstice Studios)

  3. Liam Neeson
    "Ordinary Love" (Bleecker Street)

  4. Eddie Murphy
    "Coming 2 America" (Amazon Studios)

  5. Scott Eastwood
    "The Outpost" (Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment)

  6. Rob Morgan
    "Bull" (Sony Pictures Worldwide)

  7. Pete Davidson
    "The King of Staten Island" (Universal Pictures)

  8. Justin Timberlake
    "Palmer" (Apple TV Plus)

  9. Bruce Dern
    "The Artist Wife" (Strand Releasing)

Irresistible movie

UNRANKED AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  • Steve Carell, “Irresistible” (Focus Features)
  • Kevin Costner, “Let Him Go” (Focus Features)
  • Benedict Cumberatch, “The Courier” (Lionsgate)
  • Eli Goree, “One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios)††
  • Harrison Ford, “The Call of the Wild” (20th Century Studios)
  • Jamie Foxx, “Soul” (Pixar)
  • Louis Gossett, Jr., “The Cuban” (Brainstorm Media)
  • Tom Holland, “Onward” (Pixar)
  • Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)††
  • Shia LaBeouf, “Pieces of a Woman” (Netflix)††
  • Matthew McConaughey, “The Gentlemen” (STX Entertainment)
  • Leslie Odom, Jr., “One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios)††
  • Jim Parsons, “The Boys in the Band” (Netflix)††
  • Zachary Quinto, “The Boys in the Band” (Netflix)††
  • Ryan Reynolds, “Free Guy” (20th Century Studios)†
  • Trevante Rhodes, “The United States vs. Billie Holiday” (Paramount Pictures)††
  • Ben Schwartz, “Standing Up, Falling Down” (Shout! Factory)
  • Harry Shum Jr., “All my Life” (Universal Pictures)
  • Sebastian Stan, “The Last Full Measure” (Roadside Attractions)
  • Stanley Tucci, “Supernova” (Bleecker Street)††

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded actor in best actor is Daniel Day-Lewis with three (“My Left Foot,” “There Will Be Blood” and “Lincoln”). The most nominated actors in this category in the history of the Academy are Laurence Olivier and Spencer Tracy. The oldest winner to date is Henry Fonda who won at the age of 76 for “On Golden Pond” while the oldest nominee is Richard Farnsworth, who was nominated at 79 for “The Straight Story.” The youngest winner is Adrien Brody at 29-year-old when he won for “The Pianist” while the youngest nominee is Jackie Cooper who was nominated at the age of 9 for “Skippy.”

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)