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Golden Globes Predictions: Best Actress (Comedy or Musical) – Maria Bakalova Could Be the First Comedy Winner to Be Nominated in Supporting Since 1978

2021 Golden Globes Predictions: Best Actress
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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

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2021 GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS:
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE (COMEDY OR MUSICAL)

UPDATED: Jan. 1, 2021

AWARDS COMMENTARY:
The Golden Globes have accepted Maria Bakalova’s performance in “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” as a leading role, even though she’s being campaigned as best supporting actress. Based on the look of the field, there’s an excellent chance she could emerge as the winner on Feb. 28, given the current trajectory. If that happens, and she moves on to be nominated at the Academy Awards in supporting actress, she will become the first woman to win the best actress (comedy/musical) category and then go on to be nominated for an Oscar in a supporting category since Maggie Smith (1978’s “California Suite”). To give some context, the closest we’ve seen this occur was in 2003 when Catherine Zeta-Jones was nominated in lead at the Globes before moving on to be nominated and win an Oscar in supporting actress. But who can beat Bakalova? Meryl Streep could be a double threat for “Let Them All Talk” or “The Prom,” and even Michelle Pfeiffer could start her train towards her first Oscar win for “French Exit” if the buzz begins to be revived once again.


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Maria Bakalova in “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” Courtesy of AMAZON STUDIOS

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Maria Bakalova
    "Borat Subsequent Moviefilm" (Amazon Studios)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Tutar Sagdiyev

    DIRECTOR: Jason Woliner
    SYNOPSIS: A satire on Trump’s America that follows a Kazakh journalist who’s sent to America to deliver a gift from his government to Vice President Mike Pence. Along the way, his worldview is turned upside down and steadfast beliefs are challenged by his teenage daughter.
    STARRING: Sacha Baron Cohen, Maria Bakalova


  2. Michelle Pfeiffer
    "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 7 nominations, 1 win (1989's "The Fabulous Baker Boys")
    ROLE: Frances Price

    DIRECTOR: Azazel Jacobs
    SYNOPSIS: An aging Manhattan socialite living on what's barely left of her inheritance moves to a small apartment in Paris with her son and cat.
    STARRING: Michelle Pfeiffer, Lucas Hedges, Tracy Letts, Valerie Mahaffey, Susan Coyne, Imogen Poots, Danielle Macdonald, Daniel di Tomasso


  3. Meryl Streep
    "The Prom" (Netflix)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 32 nominations, 8 wins (most recently for 2011's "The Iron Lady" including Cecil B. DeMille Award in 2017)
    ROLE: Dee Dee Allen

    DIRECTOR: Ryan Murphy
    SYNOPSIS: A troupe of hilariously self-obsessed theater stars swarm into a small conservative Indiana town in support of a high school girl who wants to take her girlfriend to the prom.
    STARRING: Meryl Streep, Jo Ellen Pellman, James Corden, Nicole Kidman, Ariana DeBose, Kerry Washington, Keegan-Michael Key, Andrew Rannells. Tracey Ullman


  4. Rashida Jones
    "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Laura

    DIRECTOR: Sofia Coppola
    SYNOPSIS: A young mother reconnects with her larger-than-life playboy father on an adventure through New York.
    STARRING:Rashida Jones, Bill Murray, Marlon Wayans, Jessica Henwick, Jenny Slate


  5. Tessa Thompson
    "Sylvie's Love" (Amazon Prime Video)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Sylvie Parker

    DIRECTOR: Eugene Ashe
    SYNOPSIS: When a young woman meets an aspiring saxophonist in her father's record shop in 1950s Harlem, their love ignites a sweeping romance that transcends changing times, geography, and professional success.
    STARRING: Tessa Thompson, Nnamdi Asomugha, Eva Longoria, Aja Naomi King, Regé-Jean Page, Tone Bell, Jemima Kirke


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Meryl Streep in “Let Them All Talk” (HBO Max) Courtesy of HBO Max/YouTube

NEXT IN LINE:

  1. Emily Blunt
    "Wild Mountain Thyme" (Bleecker Street)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 5 nominations, 1 win (BBC's "Gideon's Daughter" in 2005)
    ROLE: Rosemary

    DIRECTOR: John Patrick Shanley
    SYNOPSIS: Rosemary is set on winning Anthony’s love. Anthony, stung by his father’s plan to sell the farm in Ireland to his American cousin, is finally jolted into pursuing his dreams.
    STARRING: Jamie Dornan, Emily Blunt, Christopher Walken, Jon Hamm


  2. Anya Taylor-Joy
    "Emma." (Focus Features)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Emma Woodhouse

    DIRECTOR: Autumn de Wilde
    SYNOPSIS: In 1800s England, a well meaning but selfish young woman meddles in the love lives of her friends.
    STARRING: Anya Taylor-Joy, Angus Imrie, Letty Thomas, Gemma Whelan, Bill Nighy


  3. Meryl Streep
    "Let Them All Talk" (HBO Max)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 32 nominations, 8 wins (most recently for 2011's "The Iron Lady" including Cecil B. DeMille Award in 2017)
    ROLE: Alice

    DIRECTOR: Steven Soderbergh
    SYNOPSIS: A famous author goes on a cruise trip with her friends and nephew in an effort to find fun and happiness while she comes to terms with her troubled past.
    STARRING: Meryl Streep, Gemma Chan, Candice Bergen, Lucas Hedges, Dianne Wiest, Christopher Fitzgerald


  4. Rachel McAdams
    "Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga" (Netflix)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Sigrit Ericksdóttir

    DIRECTOR: David Dobkin
    SYNOPSIS: When aspiring musicians Lars (Will Ferrell) and Sigrit (Rachel McAdams) are given the opportunity of a lifetime to represent their country at the world's biggest song competition, they finally have a chance to prove that any dream worth having is a dream worth fighting for.
    STARRING: Will Ferrell, Rachel McAdams, Pierce Brosnan, Dan Stevens, Mikael Persbrandt, Olafur Darri Olafsson, Graham Norton, Melissanthi Mahut, Demi Lovato


  5. Cristin Milioti
    "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Sarah

    DIRECTOR: Max Barbakow
    SYNOPSIS: When carefree Nyles and reluctant maid of honor Sarah have a chance encounter at a Palm Springs wedding, things get complicated as they are unable to escape the venue, themselves, or each other.
    STARRING: Andy Samberg, Cristin Milioti, J.K. Simmons, Peter Gallagher, Meredith Hagner, Camila Mendes, Tyler Hoechlin


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Radha Blank in “The Forty-Year-Old Version” Courtesy of Jeong Park/Netflix

ALSO IN CONTENTION:

  • Radha Blank,The Forty-Year-Old Version” (Netflix)
  • Judi Dench, “Blithe Spirit” (IFC Films)
  • Beanie Feldstein, “How to Build a Girl” (IFC Films)
  • Tracee Ellis-Ross, “The High Note” (Focus Features)
  • Anne Hathaway, “The Witches” (HBO Max)
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Downhill” (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Melissa McCarthy, “Superintelligence” (HBO Max)
  • Madelen Mills,Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey” (Netflix)
  • Jo Ellen Pellman,The Prom” (Netflix)
  • Rosamund Pike,I Care A Lot” (Netflix)
  • Margot Robbie, “Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)” (Warner Bros.)
  • Kristen Stewart,Happiest Season” (Hulu)
  • Kristin Scott Thomas, “Military Wives” (Bleecker Street)
  • Geraldine Viswanathan, “The Broken Hearts Gallery” (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Evan Rachel Wood, “Kajillionaire” (Focus Features)

2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)

2020-2021 Golden Globes Awards Timeline

  • Deadline for submission of Golden Globe Motion Picture and Television entry forms – Nov. 30, 2020
  • Deadline for Television nomination ballots to be mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young – Dec. 30, 2020
  • Deadline for receipt of Television nomination ballots by Ernst & Young at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT – Jan. 12, 2021
  • Deadline for Motion Picture nomination ballots to be mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT – Jan. 13, 2021
  • The final screening date for Motion Pictures – Jan. 26, 2021
  • The final date for Motion Picture press conferences – Jan. 27, 2021
  • Deadline for receipt of Motion Picture nomination ballots by Ernst & Young at 3:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. PT – Jan. 30, 2021
  • Nominations for the 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards announced at 8:00 a.m. ET / 5:00 a.m. PT – Feb. 3, 2021
  • Final ballots mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young – Feb. 23, 2021
  • 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards will air live coast to coast at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT on NBC from The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California – Feb. 28, 2021

2021 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Golden Globes

The Golden Globes Awards, hosted by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, is held annually with 93 members since 1944. The group recognizes excellence in film and television, across drama and comedy or musical categories. Damien Chazelle’s “La La Land” holds the record for the most awards won by a single film with seven. Milos Forman’s “One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest” and Alan Parker’s “Midnight Express” is next in line with six each. Robert Altman’s “Nashville” has the record for most nominations received by a film with 11 while Colin Higgins’ “Foul Play,” Francis Ford Coppola’s “The Godfather Part III” and Mike Nichols’ “Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?” share the record for receiving the most nominations and not winning a single award at seven.