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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE

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2021 GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS:
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE (COMEDY OR MUSICAL)

UPDATED: Jan. 1, 2021

AWARDS COMMENTARY:
Sacha Baron Cohen hopes to mirror his win for 2006’s “Borat” with a follow-up for its popular sequel. It could manifest itself into a tight race for best actor which failed to materialize the last time around. Jamie Dornan is the type of celebrity that the HFPA loves to invite to their ceremony and despite reviews for John Patrick Shanley’s “Wild Mountain Thyme,” he could be a safe bet. Can either of the “Hamilton” boys make the cut? It’ll be close and then there’s still Will Ferrell who could pop up for “Eurovision Song Contest.” 2010 was the last time that not a single Golden Globe nominee in this category produced an Oscar nominee (Paul Giamatti was the winner for “Barney’s Version”). Could that repeat again this year?


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Leslie Odom Jr. as Aaron Burr in the filmed version of the original Broadway production of “Hamilton.” Disney+

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Sacha Baron Cohen
    "Borat Subsequent Moviefilm" (Amazon Studios)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 3 nominations, 1 win (2006's "Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan")
    ROLE: Borat Sagdiyev

    DIRECTOR: Jason Woliner
    SYNOPSIS: A satire on Trump’s America that follows a Kazakh journalist who’s sent to America to deliver a gift from his government to Vice President Mike Pence. Along the way, his worldview is turned upside down and steadfast beliefs are challenged by his teenage daughter.
    STARRING: Sacha Baron Cohen, Maria Bakalova


  2. Dev Patel
    "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 1 nomination (2016's "Lion")
    ROLE: David Copperfield

    DIRECTOR: Armando Iannucci
    SYNOPSIS: A modern take on Charles Dickens's classic tale of a young orphan who is able to triumph over many obstacles.
    STARRING: Dev Patel, Hugh Laurie, Tilda Swinton, Peter Capaldi, Gwendoline Christie


  3. Andy Samberg
    "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 1 nomination, 1 win (FOX's "Brooklyn Nine-Nine" in 2014)
    ROLE: Nyles

    DIRECTOR: Max Barbakow
    SYNOPSIS: When carefree Nyles and reluctant maid of honor Sarah have a chance encounter at a Palm Springs wedding, things get complicated as they are unable to escape the venue, themselves, or each other.
    STARRING: Andy Samberg, Cristin Milioti, J.K. Simmons, Peter Gallagher, Meredith Hagner, Camila Mendes, Tyler Hoechlin


  4. Jamie Dornan
    "Wild Mountain Thyme" (Bleecker Street)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Anthony

    DIRECTOR: John Patrick Shanley
    SYNOPSIS: Rosemary is set on winning Anthony’s love. Anthony, stung by his father’s plan to sell the farm in Ireland to his American cousin, is finally jolted into pursuing his dreams.
    STARRING: Jamie Dornan, Emily Blunt, Christopher Walken, Jon Hamm


  5. Leslie Odom, Jr.
    "Hamilton" (Disney Plus)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Aaron Burr

    DIRECTOR: Thomas Kail
    SYNOPSIS: The real life of one of America's foremost founding fathers and first Secretary of the Treasury, Alexander Hamilton. Captured live on Broadway from the Richard Rodgers Theater with the original Broadway cast.
    STARRING: Lin-Manuel Miranda, Leslie Odom, Jr., Phillipa Soo, Daveed Diigs, Renée Elise Goldsberry, Jonathan Groff, Christopher Jackson, Okieriete Onaodowan, Anthony Ramos, Jasmine Cephas Jones, Ariana DeBose


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“Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga” John Wilson/NETFLIX

NEXT IN LINE:

  1. Will Ferrell
    "Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga" (Netflix)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 2 nominations (2005's "The Producers" and 2006's "Stranger than Fiction")
    ROLE: Lars Erickssong

    DIRECTOR: David Dobkin
    SYNOPSIS: When aspiring musicians Lars (Will Ferrell) and Sigrit (Rachel McAdams) are given the opportunity of a lifetime to represent their country at the world's biggest song competition, they finally have a chance to prove that any dream worth having is a dream worth fighting for.
    STARRING: Will Ferrell, Rachel McAdams, Pierce Brosnan, Dan Stevens, Mikael Persbrandt, Olafur Darri Olafsson, Graham Norton, Melissanthi Mahut, Demi Lovato


  2. Michael Angelo Covino
    "The Climb" (Sony Pictures Classics)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Mike

    DIRECTOR: Michael Angelo Covino
    SYNOPSIS: A look at the friendship between two guys that spans over many years.
    STARRING Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin, Gayle Rankin, Judith Godrèche


  3. Lin-Manuel Miranda
    "Hamilton" (Disney Plus)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: 2 nominations (2018's "Mary Poppins Returns" and 2016's "Moana" in original song) 
    ROLE: Alexander Hamilton

    DIRECTOR: Thomas Kail
    SYNOPSIS: The real life of one of America's foremost founding fathers and first Secretary of the Treasury, Alexander Hamilton. Captured live on Broadway from the Richard Rodgers Theater with the original Broadway cast.
    STARRING: Lin-Manuel Miranda, Leslie Odom, Jr., Phillipa Soo, Daveed Diigs, Renée Elise Goldsberry, Jonathan Groff, Christopher Jackson, Okieriete Onaodowan, Anthony Ramos, Jasmine Cephas Jones, Ariana DeBose


  4. James Corden
    "The Prom" (Netflix)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Barry Glickman

    DIRECTOR: Ryan Murphy
    SYNOPSIS: A troupe of hilariously self-obsessed theater stars swarm into a small conservative Indiana town in support of a high school girl who wants to take her girlfriend to the prom.
    STARRING: Meryl Streep, Jo Ellen Pellman, James Corden, Nicole Kidman, Ariana DeBose, Kerry Washington, Keegan-Michael Key, Andrew Rannells. Tracey Ullman


  5. Nnamdi Asomugha
    "Sylvie's Love" (Amazon Prime Video)
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    GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Robert Halloway

    DIRECTOR: Eugene Ashe
    SYNOPSIS: When a young woman meets an aspiring saxophonist in her father's record shop in 1950s Harlem, their love ignites a sweeping romance that transcends changing times, geography, and professional success.
    STARRING: Tessa Thompson, Nnamdi Asomugha, Eva Longoria, Aja Naomi King, Regé-Jean Page, Tone Bell, Jemima Kirke


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Rob Brydon and Steve Coogan in “The Trip to Greece” Andy Hall/IFC Films

ALSO IN CONTENTION:

  • Rob Brydon,The Trip to Greece” (IFC Films)
  • Steve Carell,Irresistible” (Focus Features)
  • Steve Coogan,The Trip to Greece” (IFC Films)
  • Jim Carrey, “Sonic the Hedgehog” (Paramount Pictures)
  • Pete Davidson,The King of Staten Island” (Universal Pictures)
  • Richard Jenkins, “The Last Shift” (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Martin Lawrence,Bad Boys for Life” (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Kyle Marvin,The Climb” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  • Matthew McConaughey, “The Gentlemen” (STXfilms)
  • Keanu Reeves, “Bill & Ted Face the Music” (United Artists Releasing)
  • Seth Rogen, “An American Pickle” (HBO Max)
  • Ben Schwartz, “Standing Up, Falling Down” (Shout! Factory)
  • Will Smith,Bad Boys for Life” (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Dan Stevens, “Blithe Spirit” (IFC Films)
  • Forest Whitaker,Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey” (Netflix)

2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)

2020-2021 Golden Globes Awards Timeline

  • Deadline for submission of Golden Globe Motion Picture and Television entry forms – Nov. 30, 2020
  • Deadline for Television nomination ballots to be mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young – Dec. 30, 2020
  • Deadline for receipt of Television nomination ballots by Ernst & Young at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT – Jan. 12, 2021
  • Deadline for Motion Picture nomination ballots to be mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT – Jan. 13, 2021
  • The final screening date for Motion Pictures – Jan. 26, 2021
  • The final date for Motion Picture press conferences – Jan. 27, 2021
  • Deadline for receipt of Motion Picture nomination ballots by Ernst & Young at 3:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. PT – Jan. 30, 2021
  • Nominations for the 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards announced at 8:00 a.m. ET / 5:00 a.m. PT – Feb. 3, 2021
  • Final ballots mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young – Feb. 23, 2021
  • 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards will air live coast to coast at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT on NBC from The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California – Feb. 28, 2021

2021 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Golden Globes

The Golden Globes Awards, hosted by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, is held annually with 93 members since 1944. The group recognizes excellence in film and television, across drama and comedy or musical categories. Damien Chazelle’s “La La Land” holds the record for the most awards won by a single film with seven. Milos Forman’s “One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest” and Alan Parker’s “Midnight Express” is next in line with six each. Robert Altman’s “Nashville” has the record for most nominations received by a film with 11 while Colin Higgins’ “Foul Play,” Francis Ford Coppola’s “The Godfather Part III” and Mike Nichols’ “Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?” share the record for receiving the most nominations and not winning a single award at seven.