Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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UPDATED: Aug 26, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: Three episodes of Disney Plus’ “WandaVision” found their way into this lineup, even over notable names such as Barry Jenkins for “The Underground Railroad.” First-timers Peter Cameron and Chuck Hayward are up for the “All-New Halloween Spooktacular!” episode, which includes some of the series’ biggest jaw-dropping moments. But that early excitement is likely to end in disappointment in September, as vote-splitting will factor into final ballots in a big way.

Another rookie Emmy nominee, Laura Donney is on the ballot for penning “Previously On,” the pivotal flashback episode of the Disney Plus series that explores Marvel character Wanda Maximoff’s (Elizabeth Olsen) childhood and how she came to be in her seemingly idyllic suburban town. As an episode, it packed a punch, but it might not be enough to take down its series mates, let alone the strong external entries.

Head writer Jac Schaeffer is nominated for the series premiere, “Filmed Before a Live Studio Audience,” which had the unenviable task of introducing its heroes in a way that didn’t feel too repetitive to Marvel fans but still filled in the blanks for the uninitiated. The episode dives deeply into the 1950s sitcom format, requiring extra research and style. If any single episode can take this category, it would be this one, but being a lone story up against full series (not to mention other episodes from this same show) still makes it seem like a long shot.

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Evan Peters in the final episode of “WandaVision.” Courtesy of Marvel Studios

“I May Destroy You’s” Michaela Coel has four overall nominations, but she could face significant competition in translating any of them into wins. This category would seem the most appropriate, but the series has faced a few snubs along its journey, including at the WGA Awards, and it may be too late for it to catch up to its competitors.

Brad Ingelsby has been praised for not overwriting dialogue, instead trusting his actors to convey emotions with “Mare of Easttown.” This is one instance in which subtlety with words translated to big noise with audiences. It also helps that the show ended in a highly satisfying way. His first nomination could easily translate into a win, whether or not voters go down the line on this series.

Oscar and Emmy nominee Scott Frank has been steamrolling in this arena on the awards circuit. First, he won the USC Scripter Award (shared with novelist Walter Tevis), and then added an adapted long form Writers Guild Award to his list of accolades. (That one was shared with Allan Scott.) Netflix believes it can get “The Queen’s Gambit” over the finish line, and this award will be critical to its overall success rate.

The viewing platform for Emmy nominees opens on Aug. 13, with final-round voting beginning on Aug. 19 at 9 a.m. PT until Aug. 30 at 10 p.m. PT.

Check out the full rankings of the category’s nominees in the chart below.

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About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, is given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards recognize excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements) and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

The 73rd Emmy Awards are scheduled to air on Sunday, Sept. 19 at 8:00 pm est on CBS and on-demand on sister streamer Paramount Plus.

2021 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions