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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
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DRAFT>>>PRE-SEASON>>>REGULAR SEASON>>>POST SEASON

2021 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

UPDATED: June 3, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: The eldest son of the Bridgerton clan is set up to make a large impact in the upcoming second season and benefiting from a slender list of traditional Emmy contenders, Jonathan Bailey’s Anthony may ride a coattail nominee for his co-stars, especially if they go bonkers for it. There’s always room for a relative newcomer in the race.

The ability for Giancarlo Esposito to inhabit any character he portrays has been proven for well over a decade with four Emmy nominations to his credit for “Breaking Bad,” “Better Call Saul” and a guest actor drama nod for his role as Moff Gideon in Disney Plus’ “Star Wars” spin-off series. Now competing in supporting actor drama, and with his Gus Fring not in the running this year, he could have his moment.

Joining the MCU is always going to put you on people’s radar, and as John Walker in Disney Plus’ “The Falcon and the Winter Soldier,” Wyatt Russell made a significant impact with audiences and remains one of the memorable standouts of the season. How far this can go will depend on the campaign, but he may find some traction over the coming weeks.

The lovable Toby Damon is a heartwarming and eye-opening character of the NBC series that has continuously been executed splendidly by Chris Sullivan. Nominated for an Emmy in 2019 for his work, he’s one of those actors that could find be invited back for a second bout with the TV Academy.

In the past six years, Michael Kenneth Williams has established himself as not just one of our most gifted actors in the game, but one that the Emmys are not shy about recognizing. Though they’ve yet to give him a win over his four nominations, his Montrose Freeman on HBO’s drama series might be the easiest place to reward the show.

The eligibility period ends on May 31 before nomination-round voting begins on June 17, concluding on June 28. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 13, 2021.


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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Michael Kenneth Williams
    "Lovecraft Country" (HBO)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Four nominations
    ROLE: Montrose Freeman

    CREATOR: Misha Green
    SYNOPSIS: A young African-American travels across the U.S. in the 1950s in search of his missing father.
    STARRING: Jonathan Majors, Jurnee Smollett, Aunjanue Ellis, Courtney B. Vance, Wunmi Mosaku, Abbey Lee, Jamie Chung, Jada Harris, Michael K. Williams


  2. Tobias Menzies
    "The Crown" (Netflix)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh

    CREATOR: Peter Morgan
    SYNOPSIS: Follows the political rivalries and romance of Queen Elizabeth II's reign and the events that shaped the second half of the twentieth century.
    STARRING: Olivia Colman, Tobias Menzies, Helena Bonham Carter, Gillian Anderson, Josh O'Connor, Emma Corrin, Marion Bailey, Erin Doherty, Stephen Boxer, Emerald Fennell


  3. Bradley Whitford
    "The Handmaid's Tale" (Hulu)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Seven nominations, three wins (supporting actor drama for "The West Wing" in 2001, guest actor comedy for "Transparent" in 2015 and guest actor drama for "The Handmaid's Tale" in 2019)
    ROLE: Commander Joseph Lawrence

    CREATOR: Bruce Miller
    SYNOPSIS: Set in a dystopian future, a woman is forced to live as a concubine under a fundamentalist theocratic dictatorship.
    STARRING: Elisabeth Moss, Yvonne Strahovski, Joseph Fiennes, Ann Dowd, Madeline Brewer, Amanda Brugel, Max Minghella, O-T Fagbenie, Samira Wiley, Nina Kiri, Alexis Bledel, Bahia Watson, Bradley Whitford


  4. John Lithgow
    "Perry Mason" (HBO)
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    EMMY HISTORY: 12 nominations, 6 wins (guest performer drama for "Amazing Stories" in 1986, lead actor comedy for "3rd Rock from the Sun" in 1996, 1997 and 1999, guest actor drama for "Dexter" in 2010 and supporting actor drama for "The Crown" in 2017)
    ROLE: Elias Birchard 'E.B.' Jonathan

    CREATORS: Rolin Jones, Ron Fitzgerald
    SYNOPSIS: In booming 1932 Los Angeles, a down-and-out defense attorney takes on the case of a lifetime.
    STARRING: Matthew Rhys, Juliet Rylance, Chris Chalk, Shea Whigham, Tatiana Maslany, John Lithgow


  5. Anthony Ramos
    "In Treatment" (HBO)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Eladio

    CREATORS: Rodrigo García, Hagai Levi, Nir Bergman
    SYNOPSIS: A psychotherapist questions his abilities and gets help by reuniting with his old therapist, whom he has not seen for ten years.
    STARRING: Uzo Aduba, Anthony Ramos, Liza Colón-Zayas, John Benjamin Hickey, Quintessa Swindell, Joel Kinnaman


  6. Giancarlo Esposito
    "The Mandalorian" (Disney Plus)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Four nominations
    ROLE: Moff Gideon

    CREATOR: Jon Favreau
    SYNOPSIS: The travels of a lone bounty hunter in the outer reaches of the galaxy, far from the authority of the New Republic.
    STARRING: Pedro Pascal


  7. Jonathan Bailey
    "Bridgerton" (Netflix)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Anthony Bridgerton

    CREATORS: Chris Van Dusen
    SYNOPSIS: Wealth, lust, and betrayal set against the backdrop of Regency-era England, seen through the eyes of the powerful Bridgerton family.
    STARRING: Adjoa Andoh, Lorraine Ashbourne, Jonathan Bailey, Ruby Barker, Sabrina Bartlett, Harriet Cains, Bessie Carter, Nicola Coughlan, Phoebe Dynevor, Ruth Gemmell, Florence Hunt, Claudia Jessie, Ben Miller, Luke Newton, Regé-Jean Page, Golda Rosheuvel, Luke Thompson, Will Tilston, Polly Walker, Julie Andrews


  8. John Benjamin Hickey
    "In Treatment" (HBO)
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    EMMY HISTORY: One nomination
    ROLE: Colin

    CREATORS: Rodrigo García, Hagai Levi, Nir Bergman
    SYNOPSIS: A psychotherapist questions his abilities and gets help by reuniting with his old therapist, whom he has not seen for ten years.
    STARRING: Uzo Aduba, Anthony Ramos, Liza Colón-Zayas, John Benjamin Hickey, Quintessa Swindell, Joel Kinnaman


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NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. Chris Sullivan
    "This Is Us" (NBC)
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    EMMY HISTORY: One nomination
    ROLE: Toby Damon

    CREATOR: Dan Fogelman
    SYNOPSIS: A heartwarming and emotional story about a unique set of triplets, their struggles and their wonderful parents.
    STARRING: Milo Ventimiglia, Mandy Moore, Sterling K. Brown, Chrissy Metz, Justin Hartley, Susan Kelechi Watson, Chris Sullivan, Jon Huertas, Alexadra Breckenridge, Niles Fitch, Logan Shroyer, Hannah Zeile, Mackenzie Hancsicsak, Parker Bates, Eris Baker, Faithe Herman, Lonnie Chavis, Melanie Liburd, Lyric Ross, Asante Blackk, Griffin Dunne, Caitlin Thompson


  2. Wyatt Russell
    "The Falcon and the Winter Soldier" (Disney Plus)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: John Walker

    CREATOR: Malcolm Spellman
    SYNOPSIS: Following the events of 'Avengers: Endgame,' Sam Wilson/Falcon and Bucky Barnes/Winter Soldier team up in a global adventure that tests their abilities -- and their patience.
    STARRING: Sebastian Stan, Anthony Mackie, Wyatt Russell, Erin Kellyman, Danny Ramirez, Georges St-Pierre, Adepero Oduye, Don Cheadle, Daniel Brühl, Emily VanCamp, Florence Kasumba, Julia Louis-Dreyfus


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George Kraychyk/Hulu

TOP-TIER AWARDS CONTENDERS:

  1. O-T Fagbenle
    "The Handmaid's Tale" (Hulu)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Luke Bankole

    CREATOR: Bruce Miller
    SYNOPSIS: Set in a dystopian future, a woman is forced to live as a concubine under a fundamentalist theocratic dictatorship.
    STARRING: Elisabeth Moss, Yvonne Strahovski, Joseph Fiennes, Ann Dowd, Madeline Brewer, Amanda Brugel, Max Minghella, O-T Fagbenie, Samira Wiley, Nina Kiri, Alexis Bledel, Bahia Watson, Bradley Whitford


  2. Max Minghella
    "The Handmaid's Tale" (Hulu)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Nick Blaine

    CREATOR: Bruce Miller
    SYNOPSIS: Set in a dystopian future, a woman is forced to live as a concubine under a fundamentalist theocratic dictatorship.
    STARRING: Elisabeth Moss, Yvonne Strahovski, Joseph Fiennes, Ann Dowd, Madeline Brewer, Amanda Brugel, Max Minghella, O-T Fagbenie, Samira Wiley, Nina Kiri, Alexis Bledel, Bahia Watson, Bradley Whitford


  3. Daniel Brühl
    "The Falcon and the Winter Soldier" (Disney Plus)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Baron Zemo

    CREATOR: Malcolm Spellman
    SYNOPSIS: Following the events of 'Avengers: Endgame,' Sam Wilson/Falcon and Bucky Barnes/Winter Soldier team up in a global adventure that tests their abilities -- and their patience.
    STARRING: Sebastian Stan, Anthony Mackie, Wyatt Russell, Erin Kellyman, Danny Ramirez, Georges St-Pierre, Adepero Oduye, Don Cheadle, Daniel Brühl, Emily VanCamp, Florence Kasumba, Julia Louis-Dreyfus


  4. John Carroll Lynch
    "Big Sky" (ABC)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Rick Legarski

    CREATOR: David E. Kelley
    SYNOPSIS: A private detective teams up with an ex-cop to solve a kidnapping case in Montana.
    STARRING: Katheryn Winnick, Kylie Bunbury, Brian Geraghty, Dedee Pfeiffer, Jesse James Keitel, Ryan Phillippe, Valerie Mahaffey


  5. Lin-Manuel Miranda
    "His Dark Materials" (HBO)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Four nominations, one win (original music and lyrics for the song "Bigger!" on "The 67th Annual Tony Awards" in 2014)
    ROLE: Lee Scoresby

    CREATOR: Philip Pullman
    SYNOPSIS: A young girl is destined to liberate her world from the grip of the Magisterium which represses people's ties to magic and their animal spirits known as daemons.
    STARRING: Dafne Keen, Ruth Wilson, Anne-Marie Duff, Clarke Peters, James Cosmo, Ariyon Bakare, Will Keen, Lucian Msamati, Gary Lewis, Lewin Lloyd, Daniel Frogson, James McAvoy, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Ruta Gedmintas, Amir Wilson, Nina Sosanya, Jade Anouka, Sean Gilder, Simone Kirby, Andrew Scott


  6. Edward James Olmos
    "Mayans M.C." (FX)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Three nominations, one win (supporting actor drama for "Miami Vice" in 1985)
    ROLE: Felipe Reyes

    CREATOR: Elgin James, Kurt Sutter
    SYNOPSIS: Set in a post-Jax Teller world, "Mayans MC" sees EZ Reyes, a former golden boy now fresh out of prison, as a prospect in the Mayan MC charter on the California-Mexico border who must carve out his new outlaw identity.
    STARRING: JD Pardo, Clayton Cardenas, Sarah Bolger. Michael Irby, Carla Baratta, Raoul Max Trujillo


  7. Richard Schiff
    "The Good Doctor" (ABC)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Dr. Aaron Glassman

    CREATOR: David Shore
    SYNOPSIS: Shaun Murphy, a young surgeon with autism and Savant syndrome, is recruited into the surgical unit of a prestigious hospital.
    STARRING: Freddie Highmore, Antonia Thomas, Richard Schiff, Hill Harper, Christina Chang, Paige Spara, Will Yun Lee, Fiona Gubelmann


  8. Giancarlo Esposito
    "Godfather of Harlem" (Epix)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Four nominations
    ROLE: Congressman Adam Clayton Powell

    CREATOR: Chris Brancato, Paul Eckstein
    SYNOPSIS: A gangster named Bumpy Johnson makes his way in Harlem during the 1960s. A TV prequel to the 2007 film, 'American Gangster', which centered on the criminal enterprise of Frank Lucas.
    STARRING: Forest Whitaker, Nigel Thatch, Ilfenesh Hadera, Lucy Fry, Antoinette Crowe-Legacy, Vincent D'Onofrio, Erik LaRay Harvey, Giancarlo Esposito


  9. Dyllón Burnside
    "Pose" (FX)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Ricky

    CREATORS: Steven Canals, Brad Falchuk, Ryan Murphy
    SYNOPSIS: Drama spotlighting the legends, icons and ferocious house mothers of New York’s underground ball culture, a movement that first gained notice in the late 1980s.
    STARRING: Billy Porter, Mj Rodriguez, Jason Rodriguez, Dyllón Burnside, Angel Bismark Curiel, Dominique Jackson, Indya Moore, Hailie Sahar, Sandra Bernhard


  10. Scott Mescudi
    "We Are Who We Are" (HBO)
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    EMMY HISTORY: Never nominated
    ROLE: Richard Poythress

    CREATORS: Sean Conway, Paolo Giordano, Luca Guadagnino, Francesca Manieri
    SYNOPSIS: Two American teenagers come of age while living on an American military base in Italy.
    STARRING: Chloë Sevigny, Jack Dylan Grazer, Alice Braga, Jordan Kristine Seamón, Spence Moore II, Scott Mescudi, Faith Alabi, Francesca Scorsese, Ben Taylor, Corey Knight, Tom Mercier


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“Forget Me Not” — Ep#304 — Pictured: Blu del Barrio as Adira and Ian Alexander as Gray of the CBS All Access series STAR TREK: DISCOVERY. Photo Cr: Michael Gibson/CBS ©2020 CBS Interactive, Inc. All Rights Reserved. CBS

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS (UNRANKED):

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Supporting Actor in a Drama Series)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: Peter Dinklage is the most awarded actor in this category, with four individual wins for his turn as Tyrion Lannister on HBO's "Game of Thrones." Art Carney, Don Knotts and Aaron Paul are the second most awarded with three wins each. "Game of Thrones," "L.A. Law" and "The West Wing" each have four wins for its actors in this category over its runs, the most of any television series.

For nominations: Peter Dinklage is the most nominated person in this category with eight nominations, all for each season of "Game of Thrones." Five actors are tied behind him with six nominations: Jonathan Banks, Ed Begley Jr, Will Geer, Jimmy Smits, and Bruce Weitz. Banks and Begley Jr are the only two to have not won yet in any Primetime Emmy category.

"Hill Street Blues" is the series that has received the most nominations in this category over its run, with 16 nominations with "L.A. Law" and "The West Wing" close behind with 15 and 14 nods, respectively.


2021 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, is given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards recognize excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements) and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 73rd Emmy Awards are scheduled to air on Sunday, Sept. 19 at 8:00 pm est on CBS and on-demand on sister streamer Paramount Plus.