Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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(DRAFT>>>PRE-SEASON>>>REGULAR SEASON>>>POST SEASON)

2021 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE

UPDATED: June 3, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: One of the late entries into the race, Bartlett Sher makes his television feature directorial debut with “Oslo” for HBO, featuring the talents of Emmy nominee Andrew Scott (“Black Mirror”) and the still nomination-less Ruth Wilson (how can that be?). The true-life story of the pivotal 1990s Oslo Peace Accords between Israel and Palestinian Liberation Organizations is a timely subject that could hit voters in a big way.

Amazon Prime Video has a one-two punch in the television movie category with “Sylvie’s Love” and also with Oscar and Emmy winner Alan Ball’s “Uncle Frank.” Picking up his first trophy from the TV Academy for directing the “Six Feet Under” pilot in 2002, he’s failed to pick up a win since, despite multiple nominations, including one in this category for 2017’s “The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks.” With a dynamic cast including Paul Bettany, also a double threat (with “WandaVision”), the film may hit the sweet spot with a particular voting demographic.
The dynamic duo of Haley Lu Richardson and Barbie Ferreira in “Unpregnant” is one of the brightest spots of the last year. Rachel Lee Goldenberg, a previous Emmy winner for short-format live-action for “Between Two Ferns with Zach Galifianakis” in 2014, creates an engaging and often times moving portrait of a 17-year old girl who finds out she’s pregnant before heading off to an Ivy League college. 

The eligibility period ends on May 31 before nomination-round voting begins on June 17, concluding on June 28. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on Tuesday, July 13, 2021.


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Oslo Larry D. Horricks/HBO

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. "Sylvie's Love" (Amazon Prime Video)
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    Producers: Eugene Ashe, Nnamdi Asomugha, Gabrielle Glore, Jonathan Baker, Matthew Thurm (Dec. 23, 2020 release date)

    DIRECTOR: Eugene Ashe
    SYNOPSIS: When a young woman meets an aspiring saxophonist in her father's record shop in 1950s Harlem, their love ignites a sweeping romance that transcends changing times, geography, and professional success.
    STARRING: Tessa Thompson, Nnamdi Asomugha, Ryan Michelle Bathe, Regé-Jean Page, Aja Naomi King, Eva Longoria


  2. "Uncle Frank" (Amazon Prime Video)
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    Producers: Bill Block, Michael Costigan, Jay Van Hoy, Stephanie Meurer, Peter Macdissi, Alan Ball (Nov. 25, 2020 release date)

    DIRECTOR: Alan Ball
    SYNOPSIS: In 1973, when Frank Bledsoe and his 18-year-old niece Beth take a road trip from Manhattan to Creekville, South Carolina, for the family patriarch's funeral, they're unexpectedly joined by Frank's lover, Walid.
    STARRING: Paul Bettany, Sophia Lillis, Peter Macdissi, Judy Greer, Steve Zahn, Lois Smith, Margo Martindale, Stephen Root, Colton Ryan


  3. "Robin Roberts Presents: Mahalia" (Lifetime)
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    Producers: Moshe Bardach, Charles Cooper (Apr. 3, 2021)

    DIRECTOR: Kenny Leon
    SYNOPSIS: The story of the New Orleans-born crooner who began singing at an early age and went on to become one of the most revered gospel figures in U.S. history, melding her music with the civil rights movement.
    STARRING: Danielle Brooks, Wolsey Brooks, Rob Demery


  4. "Oslo" (HBO)
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    Producers: Michel Litvak, Svetlana Metkina, Marc Platt, Mark Taylor, Gary Michael Walters (May 29, 2021)

    DIRECTOR: Bartlett Sher
    SYNOPSIS: Recounts the true-life, previously secret, back-channel negotiations in the development of the pivotal 1990s Oslo Peace Accords between Israel and the Palestinian Liberation Organization.
    STARRING: Ruth Wilson, Andrew Scott, Jeff Wilbursch, Salim Dau, Waleed Duaiter


  5. "Dolly Parton's Christmas on the Square" (Netflix)
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    Producers: Debbie Allen, Sam Haskell, Dolly Parton, Maria S. Schlatter (Nov. 22, 2020)

    DIRECTOR: Debbie Allen
    SYNOPSIS: An embittered "Scrooge" of a woman plans to sell her small town, regardless of the consequences to the people who live there.
    STARRING: Dolly Parton, Jenifer Lewis, Josh Segarra


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HBO Max

NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. "Unpregnant" (HBO Max)
    Producers: Greg Berlanti, Erik Feig, Sarah Schechter (Sept. 10, 2021)
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    DIRECTOR: Rachel Lee Goldenberg
    SYNOPSIS: A 17-year old Missouri teen named Veronica discovers she has gotten pregnant, a development that threatens to end her dreams of matriculating at an Ivy League college, and the career that will follow.
    STARRING: Haley Lu Richardson, Barbie Ferreira, Giancarlo Esposito


  2. "7500" (Amazon Prime Video)
    Producers: Maximilian Leo, Jonas Katzenstein (June 18, 2021)
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    DIRECTOR: Patrick Vollrath
    SYNOPSIS: When terrorists try to seize control of a Berlin-Paris flight, a soft-spoken American co-pilot struggles to save the lives of the passengers and crew while forging a surprising connection with one of the hijackers.
    STARRING: Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Omid Memar, Aylin Tezel


  3. "Clouds" (Disney Plus)
    Producers: Justin Baldoni, Casey La Scala, Andrew Lazar (Oct. 10, 2020)
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    DIRECTOR: Justin Baldoni
    SYNOPSIS: Young musician Zach Sobiech discovers his cancer has spread, leaving him just a few months to live. With limited time, he follows his dream and makes an album, unaware that it will soon be a viral music phenomenon.
    STARRING: Fin Argus, Neve Campbell, Sabrina Carpenter


  4. "Doctor Who: Revolution of the Daleks" (BBC One)
    Producers: Chris Chibnail, Tracis Simpson (Jan. 1, 2021)
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    DIRECTOR: Lee Haven Jones
    SYNOPSIS: Robertson returns, and inadvertently gives the mutant Dalek a chance to clone itself. The Doctor escapes from her alien prison with the help of an old friend, and returns to help.
    STARRING: Josie Whittaker, Bradley Walsh, Tosin Cole, Mandip Gill, John Barrowman


  5. "Godmothered" (Disney Plus)
    Producer: Justin Springer (Dec. 4, 2020)
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    DIRECTOR: Sharon Maguire
    SYNOPSIS: A young and unskilled fairy godmother ventures out on her own to prove her worth by tracking down a young girl whose request for help was ignored.
    STARRING: Isla Fisher, Jillian Bell, June Squibb


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ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS (UNRANKED):

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best TV Movie)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. “Black Mirror” is a series with the most wins at three while “Sherlock” has the most nominations at four.

On the network front, HBO has the most wins in this category with 22 while NBC is second with nine. Netflix is the first and only streamer to have won this category – for three consecutive years with “Black Mirror.”


2021 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, is given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards recognize excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements) and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 73rd Emmy Awards are scheduled to air on Sunday, Sept. 19 at 8:00 pm est on CBS and on-demand on sister streamer Paramount Plus.