“Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice” will see a 65% slide in its second weekend to about $58 million at 4,256 sites — leaving it with the 19th-highest sophomore session of all-time, early estimates showed Friday.
The decline is somewhat lower than recent forecasts that had pegged the Warner Bros. mega-tentpole with about $66 million. Still, should Friday’s estimate hold, “Batman v Superman” will wind up the weekend at more than $265 million in 10 days.
The first week of the movie took in $209.1 million in the U.S. — the 10th-highest first-week total of all time — with a $166 million opening weekend. “Batman v Superman” took in $7.7 million on Thursday and is expected to dominate this weekend with a projected $18 million on Friday, $25 million on Saturday and $15 million on Sunday.
Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst with comScore, noted that the first weekend included $27.7 million in preview grosses.
“The second weekend drop will reflect that in a bigger than typical percentage,” he added. “The first weekend was an Easter holiday weekend, so that also had an impact.”
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Other blockbusters have seen deeper declines, such as the final “Harry Potter” movie at 72%, and the third and fourth “Twilight” films, both of which slid 70%. Still, three movies that wound up with more than $600 million saw much smaller declines with “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” falling 40%, “Jurassic World” declining 49% and “Marvel’s The Avengers” down 50%.
“The Force Awakens” is the second-weekend record holder with $149.2 million, followed by “Jurassic World” at $106.6 million and “The Avengers” at $103 million. Seven other films have taken in more than $70 million in their second weekends — “The Avengers: Age of Ultron,” “Avatar,” “The Dark Knight,” “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire,” “Iron Man 3,” “Shrek 2” and “Spider-Man.”
Dergarabedian noted that “Batman v Superman” is facing minimal new competition as Pure Flix’s “God’s Not Dead 2” is headed for an opening of less than $8 million at 2,320 sites and Freestyle’s “Meet the Blacks” will wind up with less than $4 million at 1,014. Disney’s fifth weekend of “Zootopia” will be its nearest rival with about $15 million, followed by Universal’s second weekend of “My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2” at about $10 million.
“Zootopia” has totaled $256 million in four weeks and the “Big Fat” sequel took in $25 million in its first week.
Many critics have savaged “Batman v Superman,” Dergarabedian added. “The DC Comics film has been the poster child for the disconnect between critics and moviegoers, but a great release date that gives the film a wide open marketplace in terms of direct competition until ‘Captain America’ opens May 6 and strong buzz for the actor’s performances (in particular Gal Gadot as Wonder Woman) will ensure ‘Batman v Superman’ solid returns in the coming days and weeks,” he noted.
Pure Flix’s faith-based “God’s Not Dead 2” generated a moderate $400,000 on 1,982 screens at Thursday night preview screenings. The movie stars Melissa Joan Hart as a teacher embroiled in controversy for referring to Jesus in class.
Meanwhile, Freestyle Releasing’s spoof “Meet the Blacks” pulled in just under $200,000 in Thursday previews at about 700 theaters. It’s a parody of the film “The Purge” and follows a family that moves to Los Angeles on the same day that crime becomes legal in the city.