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Golden Globe TV Predictions

Kevin Spacey house of cards emmy

On Sunday, the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. will present the 72nd annual Golden Globes in what could be a big night for Netflix. Here are Variety’s predictions of what will win.

DRAMA SERIES
It’s a toss-up with last year’s winner, “Breaking Bad,” out of contention. The Globes have a track record of anointing freshman series, which bodes well for Showtime’s “The Affair.” But don’t count out Netflix’s “House of Cards” or CBS’ “The Good Wife,” which continues to perform creatively. In the mix: “Game of Thrones” and “Downton Abbey.”
Prediction: “House of Cards”

DRAMA ACTOR
Again, the returning champion has been retired — “Breaking Bad’s” Bryan Cranston — leaving a wide-open playing field. That leaves “House of Cards” star Kevin Spacey with an almoswt clear path to victory, though the HFPA may want to anoint “The Affair’s” Dominic West — that is, if they can forgive a cheating husband. Clive Owen (“The Knick”) and James Spader (“The Blacklist”) round out the field.
Prediction: Kevin Spacey

DRAMA ACTRESS
Robin Wright (“House of Cards”) may be the defending champ, but she’ll have to fend off stiff competition from Claire Danes (“Homeland”) and Viola Davis (“How to Get Away With Murder”). Julianna Margulies (“The Good Wife”) and newcomer Ruth Wilson (“The Affair”) are also in contention.
Prediction: Viola Davis

COMEDY SERIES
It looks like a battle of the buzzworthy digital titans as Netflix’s second season phenom “Orange Is the New Black” takes on Amazon’s upstart “Transparent.” But coming on strong is underdog “Jane the Virgin,” which could do the previously unthinkable and crown the CW an award-winning network. Past winner “Girls” and newcomer “Silicon Valley” both admirably represent stalwart HBO, but a victory for either would be quite the upset.
Prediction: “Orange Is the New Black”

COMEDY ACTOR
In all likelihood this category will go to Jeffrey Tambor (never nominated for a Globe previously) for his transcendent work on “Transparent.” But there are no guarantees with the HFPA, and previous winner (and former host) Ricky Gervais could upset again for Netflix’s “Derek.” Or maybe much-loved William H. Macy for Showtime’s “Shameless.” Long shots: Louis C.K. (“Louie”) or Don Cheadle (“House of Lies”).
Prediction: Jeffrey Tambor

COMEDY ACTRESS
Even if “Jane the Virgin” comes up short in the series category, leading lady Gina Rodriguez looks likely to go home a winner here. “Orange” star Taylor Schilling (nominated last year in the drama field) is probably her top competition. Both Edie Falco (“Nurse Jackie”) and Lena Dunham (“Girls”) have already won, while Emmy fave Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep”) is typically a Globes also-ran.
Prediction: Gina Rodriguez

MOVIES/MINISERIES
Unlike the Emmys, the Globes instituted new “limited series” rules that have combined all the top contenders here. So HBO’s “True Detective” will have to face off against its corporate cousins “The Normal Heart” and “Olive Kitteridge” — not to mention FX’s “Fargo” (or Starz long shot “The Missing”). Given its movie-star marquee, the safe bet is with Nic Pizzolatto’s murder mystery, with “Heart” and “Fargo” running close behind.
Prediction: “True Detective”

MOVIES/MINIS ACTOR
In what’s one of the hottest battles of the evening, it’s possible that any of the five — “True Detective” leads Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson, “Fargo” stars Billy Bob Thornton and Martin Freeman, and “The Normal Heart” anchor Mark Ruffalo — could go home a winner. (They all deserve it.) But McConaughey has to be the fave, even if he did lose the Emmy.
Prediction: Matthew McConaughey

MOVIES/MINIS ACTRESS
Jessica Lange has been nominated yearly for “American Horror Story” (she won in 2012), but the ones to beat are Maggie Gyllenhaal in “Honorable Woman” (BBC/Sundance) and Frances McDormand for “Olive Kitteridge” (HBO). Underdogs are Allison Tolman (“Fargo”) and Frances O’Connor (“The Missing”).
Prediction: Maggie Gyllenhaal

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Let’s give Matt Bomer (“The Normal Heart”) the edge over Bill Murray (“Olive Kitteridge”), Alan Cumming (“The Good Wife”), Colin Hanks (“Fargo”) and returning champ Jon Voight (“Ray Donovan”).
Prediction: Matt Bomer

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
In the actress race, we pick Uzo Aduba (“Orange Is the New Black”) over Kathy Bates (“American Horror Story”), Joanne Froggatt (“Downton Abbey”), Michelle Monaghan (“True Detective”) and Allison Janney (“Mom”).
Prediction: Uzo Aduba

For Golden Globe film predictions click here.