The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. will present the 72nd annual Golden Globes on Sunday, including awards in 14 film categories. Here are Variety’s predictions of what will win.
MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA
There are a lot of terrific contenders in this race, but the awards-season enthusiasm for “Boyhood” may continue. A possible upset could come from “Selma,” which had a low profile until it debuted at the AFI Fest in November. And there are ardent fans for “Foxcatcher,” “The Imitation Game” and “The Theory of Everything,” so there are no sure bets.
MOTION PICTURE, COMEDY
“Birdman” led Golden Globe nominations with seven, which indicates widespread appreciation for the film. Though “The Grand Budapest Hotel” and “Into the Woods” would be easy winners in any other year, they seem likely to be runners-up. The HFPA gets a pat on the back for nominating the little-seen but admirable “Pride.” Also in the mix: “St. Vincent.”
Alejandro Inarritu (“Birdman”) and Richard Linklater (“Boyhood”) deserve awards just for their originality and the degree of difficulty involved. Wes Anderson (“Grand Budapest Hotel”) and David Fincher (“Gone Girl”) seem to be getting stronger with each film. Still, they may all end up as also-rans to Ava DuVernay, for “Selma.”
Prediction: Ava DuVernay, “Selma”
In 1989, the Globes saw a three-way tie for dramatic actress, so any chance this year of a five-way tie? Unfortunately, no. The work of Eddie Redmayne (“Theory of Everything”) is hard to ignore, but he has tough competition from Steve Carell (“Foxcatcher”), Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Imitation Game”), Jake Gyllenhaal (“Nightcrawler”) and David Oyelowo (“Selma”), all awards-worthy.
Prediction: Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”
The backstory of Michael Keaton (“Birdman”) makes for great press, but it is ultimately his layered performance that wins the day. Ralph Fiennes (“Grand Budapest Hotel”) offers strong competition, but Keaton seems like one of the few locks. Dark horses: Bill Murray (“St. Vincent”), Joaquin Phoenix (“Inherent Vice”), Christoph Waltz (“Big Eyes”).
Prediction: Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Will Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) take the prize, or will Jennifer Aniston (“Cake”) score an upset? It’s a question of career-highpoint vs. career-changer. Also offering excellent work are Felicity Jones (“The Theory of Everything”), Rosamund Pike (“Gone Girl”) and Reese Witherspoon (“Wild”).
Prediction: Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
Julianne Moore is a nominee here too, with her no-holds-barred “Maps to the Stars” work. Helen Mirren (“The Hundred-Foot Journey”) and Quvenzhane Wallis “Annie” seem long shots. It seems to come down to Emily Blunt (“Into the Woods”) and Amy Adams (“Big Eyes”), and either seems a credible choice.
Prediction: Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods”
Is J.K. Simmons, for his performance in “Whiplash,” indestructible? He has swept awards from other groups, which is no surprise. But he’s got competition here from Edward Norton of “Birdman,” and Mark Ruffalo in “Foxcatcher” (Ruffalo is also in TV’s longform category). Other possibilities are Robert Duvall in “The Judge” and Ethan Hawke in “Boyhood.”
Prediction: J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”
Don’t ever discount Meryl Streep. She’s won eight Golden Globes and could win a ninth for “Into the Woods.” But this seems to be Patricia Arquette’s year, and a “Boyhood” win for her is a good bet. Also nominated for doing great work in change-of-pace roles: Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”; Keira Knightley, “Imitation Game”; and Emma Stone, “Birdman.”
Prediction: Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
The HFPA combines two adaptations and three original screenplays in one category. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”; Wes Anderson, “Grand Budapest Hotel”; and Alejandro Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris and Armando Bo for “Birdman” are the originals, while Gillian Flynn for “Gone Girl” and Graham Moore for “The Imitation Game” are nominated for adaptations.
Prediction: Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2” has earned $619 million at the global box office, followed by “The Lego Movie” and “Big Hero Six.” And that international popularity could translate into a win for any of them. Other possibilities: “The Book of Life” and “Boxtrolls.”
But “Lego” and its subversive wit could take the glory.
Prediction: “The Lego Movie”
This race is one of the toughest to call, since all five are strong possibilities. With its mixture of heart, drama and unexpected laughs, “Force Majeure” (Sweden) may have a slight edge. But the HFPA would be proud to honor “Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem” (Israel), “Ida” (Poland/Denmark), “Leviathan” (Russia) or “Tangerines” (“Mandariinid”) (Estonia).
Prediction: “Force Majeure”
“Glory,” by John Legend and Common, caps the emotions of “Selma.” So expect that to win over some worthy competitors: “Yellow Flicker Beat,” Lorde (“The Hunger Games: Mockingjay — Part I”); “Big Eyes,” Lana Del Rey; “Mercy Is,” Patty Smith, Lenny Kaye (“Noah”); and “Opportunity,” Greg Kurstin, Sia Furler, Will Gluck (“Annie”).
Prediction: John Legend, Common, “Glory”
Does the HFPA want to make a statement with their awards? Antonio Sanchez’s “Birdman” score was disqualified by Oscar, which raised some hackles. But controversy aside, his work is a key element in the film, and thus may slightly edge out the other excellent nominees: Alexandre Desplat, “Imitation Game”; Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything”; Trent Rezner, Atticus Ross, “Gone Girl”; and Hans Zimmer, “Interstellar.”
Prediction: Antonio Sanchez, “Birdman”
For Golden Globe TV predictions click here.