Only 12 hours earlier, many were declaring the 2015 Oscar race over. When Alejandro G. Inarritu won the DGA Award on Saturday night, it seemed “Birdman” was unstoppable. The film had already won the top prizes from SAG and PGA, but many were still predicting that Richard Linklater would go home victorious for “Boyhood.” When Inarritu’s name was called, it felt like the final piece had fallen into place to ensure “Birdman’s” victory.

And now, the BAFTA Awards have chosen to anoint “Boyhood” the best picture of the year, while also giving Linklater best director and Patricia Arquette supporting actress. “Birdman” walked away with just a single award, for Emmanuel Lubezki’s cinematography.

So what does it all mean? “Birdman” supporters will tell you it means nothing – after all, there’s a limited number of people who are both BAFTA members and Academy voters. And every film since 2007 that won the PGA has gone on to win best picture. But “Boyhood” enthusiasts will remind you that the BAFTA best picture winner has gone on to win the top prize at the Oscars the last six years.

Then there are those who will say this lack of consensus is good news for a dark horse film like “American Sniper,” whose box office power cannot be denied. But in the end, to quote William Goldman, nobody knows anything.

Looking rock solid, however is the quartet of acting races; J.K. Simmons, Patricia Arquette, Eddie Redmayne and Julianne Moore all took home awards, as they’ve done at the Golden Globe and SAG Awards. Redmayne may have had a hometown advantage against Michael Keaton in “Birdman” and didn’t have to compete with Bradley Cooper as he will at the Oscars, but his frontrunner status is looking more and more certain.

Also, “The Imitation Game” probably won’t pull a surprise upset at the Oscars – even on its home turf, the film failed to take home a single prize. It still looks like USC Scripter winner screenwriter Graham Moore has a great shot at the Oscar for adapted screenplay, but at the BAFTAs he lost to “The Theory of Everything.” Next week’s WGA Awards won’t clear things up much as “The Imitation Game” doesn’t have to compete against two big threats – “Theory” was ineligible, and “Whiplash” was placed in original at WGA but will be in adapted at the Oscars.

So with two weeks until the big night, many will claim “Birdman” and “Boyhood” are neck in neck. The smart money says not to ignore those guild awards – a SAG, PGA and DGA sweep is tough to deny. The only film ever to win all three guild prizes and lose best picture was “Apollo 13” in 1995, and that was when there was a longer gap in the race as the Oscars were held in March.

But it’s also foolish to overlook the strong admiration and love for “Boyhood” and Linklater. Some suggest a backlash might form against “Birdman” after its recent sweep of wins. (Although in that case, losing the BAFTA could actually work in its favor.) But there seems to be a broader sense of people wanting to be on the winning team, which is why “Birdman” will likely still emerge victorious on Oscar night.

The only thing that seems certain is that with 10 days left until voting closes, there’s bound to be a few more twists and turns ahead.