×
You will be redirected back to your article in seconds

Emmy Predictions: How’d the Awards Editor Do?

How one set of predictions in 10 major Emmy categories fared

So, over the past two weeks, I made Emmy predictions in 10 of the major categories. I didn’t really think about how well I expected to do, but in retrospect, averaging 83% (5 out of 6) would have been nice, and below 67% (4 out of 6) would have felt lousy.

Here are the results (mistakes in bold):

Drama: 5 for 6
One man’s best guesses: “The Americans,”
“Breaking Bad,” “Downton Abbey,” “Game of Thrones,” “Homeland,” “House of Cards.”
Missed on: I took a gamble leaving “Mad Men” off the list and paid for it.

Comedy: 6 for 6
One man’s best guesses: “30 Rock,” “The Big Bang Theory,” “Girls,” “Louie,” “Modern Family,” “Veep.”
Missed on: None. Easy-peasy lemon-squeezy.

Drama actor: 5 for 6
One man’s best guesses: Steve Buscemi, Bryan Cranston, Jeff Daniels, Damian Lewis, Jon Hamm, Kevin Spacey.
Missed on: Hugh Bonneville. The Emmys didn’t exactly abandon “Boardwalk Empire” (10 nominations), but I thought their love for Buscemi would be stronger than it was for bonny Bonneville.

Drama actress: 4 for 6 (seven nominated)
One man’s best guesses: Claire Danes, Julianna Margulies, Tatiana Maslany, Elisabeth Moss, Kerry Washington, Robin Wright.
Missed on: Connie Britton, Michelle Dockery and Vera Farmiga. I thought Washington would take too much of the soapy broadcast vote to permit Britton’s nominations, that Dockery’s tame plotline would undermine her, and that the power of Margulies and a showstopper performance by Maslany would sideline Farmiga. I don’t believe any single Emmy candidate was more deserving this year than Maslany.

Comedy actor: 4 for 6
One man’s best guesses: Alec Baldwin, Louis C.K., Don Cheadle, Jon Cryer, Jake Johnson, Jim Parsons.
Missed on: Jason Bateman, Matt LeBlanc. I didn’t think Bateman’s return on “Arrested” would resonate as much as it did, and I just never hear anyone talk about “Episodes.” Turns out, Cryer’s days as an Emmy favorite have gone on sabbatical, and Johnson’s move into the “New Girl” male spotlight wasn’t enough.

Comedy actress: 5 for 6
One man’s best guesses: Lena Dunham, Edie Falco, Tina Fey, Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Melissa McCarthy, Amy Poehler.
Missed on: Laura Dern. It was a close call, but I bet that the high-profile McCarthy would return to the Emmy noms over the well-regarded Dern, whom the Academy overlooked a year ago.

Drama supporting actor: 3 for 6
One man’s best guesses: Peter Dinklage, Noah Emmerich, Jack Huston, Mandy Patinkin, Aaron Paul, Sam Waterston.
Missed on: Bobby Cannavale, Jonathan Banks and Jim Carter (even though Banks was on my wishlist). Just a brutal category to handicap.

Drama supporting actress: 4 for 6
One man’s best guesses: Christine Baranski, Anna Gunn, Christina Hendricks, Elizabeth McGovern, Monica Potter, Maggie Smith.
Missed on: Morena Baccarin and Emilia Clarke, because I thought McGovern’s work on “Downton” and Potter’s on “Parenthood” (accompanied by noteworthy press) would be right up the Academy’s alley.

Comedy supporting actor:  4 of 6
One man’s best guesses: Ty Burrell, Adam Driver, Max Greenfield, Tony Hale, Ed O’Neill, Eric Stonestreet.
Missed on: Jesse Tyler Ferguson and Bill Hader. I figured one of the “Modern Family” quartet would drop out, but I just didn’t think it would be the one who won the Emmy last year.  And I knew passing on Hader was risky, but the power of “Saturday Night Live” in this era always surprises me. I also thought Greenfield would benefit from Johnson moving into lead.  But proud of getting Hale right.

Comedy supporting actress: 3 of 6 (seven nominated)
One man’s best guesses: Mayim Bialik, Julie Bowen, Kaley Cuoco, Sofia Vergara, Jessica Walter, Allison Williams.
Missed on: Jane Lynch, Merrit Wever, Jane Krakowski, Anna Chlumsky. Like drama supporting actor, this one was touch. I’m mystified by the Academy’s ambivalence toward Cuoco, but I guess there’s no debate about it now. I thought Williams would ride the “Girls” bandwagon to success and that Walter would be welcomed back after a long absence. Instead, Wever got a return nomination (as did Lynch after a year off), Krakowski a farewell and Chlumsky a hail lady, well met.

Total: 43 of 60 (72 percent). Somewhere between nice and lousy, and a little farther from nice than I’d like to be.  Better and not worse luck next year …

More TV

  • Inside Taronga Zoo

    Nat Geo Wild and More 4 Snap Up Australian Doc Series 'Inside Taronga Zoo'

    Cineflix Rights has pre-sold Australian wildlife documentary series “Inside Taronga Zoo” to Nat Geo Wild for the U.S. and More 4 for the U.K. The 10 part series is produced by McAvoy Media for Nine Network Australia, where it will air as “Taronga: Who’s Who In The Zoo.” “Inside Taronga Zoo” follows the 240 keepers and vets caring for [...]

  • Watchmen HBO

    TV Review: 'Watchmen'

    “Watchmen,” the 1980s DC Comics series whose popularity demands adaptation and whose singular vision makes that near-impossible, might be too much itself to bring out the best in any artist. But it has brought out the most in Damon Lindelof. As a follow-up to HBO’s “The Leftovers,” Lindelof returns to the cabler to remix and [...]

  • Mary Higgins Clark

    Reel One, Element 8 and La Sabotière to Develop Mary Higgins Clark's Crime Novels

    Montreal-based producer and distributor Reel One Entertainment has partnered with U.S. producer Element 8 Entertainment and Paris-based La Sabotière to develop an anthology series based on the novels of American crime writer Mary Higgins Clark. U.S. screenwriter and author Ilene Rosenzweig, whose credits include “Station 19” and “Girlfriend’s Guide to Divorce,” is attached as writer [...]

  • Informer

    Mipcom Roundup: All3Media and Blue Ant Sell in Asia, Lagardère Buys in Spain

    In Variety’s third Mipcom Roundup Alibaba’s streaming platform Youku gets BBC programs, Lagardère buys full ownership of Barcelona’s Veranda, Banijay rolls out Guinness World Records series, Blue Ant International sells and renews and All3Media Intl. extends into Japan and Taiwan. All3Media Strikes Deals in Japan, Taiwan All3Media has grown its footprint in Asia thanks to newly announced [...]

  • Help Wanted: Amazon Studios International Execs

    Help Wanted: Amazon Studios International Execs Talk European Expansion

    If there’s a perfect example of Amazon Studios’ strategy with its local-language international TV content, Japan’s “Documental” would be it. The series revolves around 10 comedians who battle to make one another laugh in an elimination-style competition. James Farrell, Amazon Studios’ head of international originals, said it was a good example of an unconventional idea [...]

  • vernon-subutex

    Studiocanal Closes North America SVOD on ‘Vernon Subutex’ with Topic (EXCLUSIVE)

    CANNES —  Forging what could well be a fertile relationship, Studiocanal has sold North American SVOD rights on Canal Plus Creation Original “Vernon Subutex,” and “Pros and Cons,” from Denmark’s SAM Productions, to First Look Media’s Topic. Targeting “culture cravers,” “an audience deeply involved in social, political and cultural issues of today,” general manger Ryan [...]

More From Our Brands

Access exclusive content