Is ‘Carrie’ Scary Enough to Bring ‘Gravity’ Back to Earth at Weekend Box Office?

WikiLeaks drama 'The Fifth Estate' tracking for an unimpressive $5 million opening

Displaying remarkable staying power at the box office, Warner Bros.’ “Gravity” is poised to win its third consecutive weekend, tracking at north of $30 million. The 3D space odyssey should easily eclipse Sony-Screen Gems’ horror entry “Carrie,” which observers predict will land in the low $20 millions.

So far, “Gravity” has amassed $215.3 million worldwide, with $136 million from North America. Warner launches the film this weekend in Mexico and South Korea.

Hoping to show similar resiliency with domestic auds, Sony’s “Captain Phillips” enters its sophomore outing and is expected to gross somewhere in the high teens. That means the Tom Hanks starrer, which scored an ‘A’ CinemaScore last weekend, would have a drop of approximately 25%. Pic scored a better-than-expected $25 million Stateside debut, with $34 million through Wednesday.

The recent glut of adult-targeted fare, including “Gravity” and “Captain Phillips,” means Disney-DreamWorks’ WikiLeaks drama “The Fifth Estate,” starring Benedict Cumberbatch, looks like it will get lost in the crowd. Mid-week tracking suggests the film will gross a meager $4 million-$6 million from 1,769 locations.

In limited release, Fox Searchlight launches Brit helmer’s Steve McQueen slavery drama “12 Years a Slave” at 19 domestic engagements. The film, starring Chiwetel Ejiofor, has been building solid buzz playing the festival circuit. Some auds may be turned off by the film’s graphic nature, however.

Another festival film bowing this weekend is Roadside Attractions’ marooned-at-sea action-drama “All Is Lost,” starring Robert Redford. The film, from writer-director J.C. Chandor, opens at six theaters.

Adult-targeted films are more review-dependent than other titles, and while “Gravity,” “Captain Phillips,” “All is Lost” and “12 Years a Slave” all stand at more than 94% positive on Rotten Tomatoes, “The Fifth Estate” is at just 37%.

Meanwhile, Lionsgate-Summit’s Sylvester Stallone-Arnold Schwarzenegger actioner “Escape Plan” also is expected to land in single digits, though closer to $8 million domestically. Lionsgate bows the pic at 2,880 North American playdates.

Despite “Gravity” overperforming, domestic box office has been struggled to keep pace with last year over the past few weekends. The tide should turn this weekend, however.

This time last year, Paramount launched “Paranormal Activity 4” to a so-so $29 million; the only other wide release was Summit’s “Alex Cross,” which grossed just north of $11 million in three days.

“Carrie” has the best opportunity to overperform, especially considering several horror films have outdone tracking predictions this year. Sony is trying to manage expectations, citing predictions for the remake in the $18 million-$20 million range.

The weekend before Halloween typically sees at least one horror release as the holiday itself is exceptionally sluggish at the movies. This year, however, Halloween falls on a Thursday, which affect box office next weekend quite as much.

PHOTOS: Top 5 Halloween Box Office Winners

For “Gravity,” Warner says younger auds are starting to boost ticket sales, while adults uncharacteristically are turning out for premium shows in 3D and Imax. The pic’s stellar word-of-mouth and reviews helped it nab the best soph-sesh hold (during a non-holiday weekend) for a film that opened to north of $55 million.

The only other film this year to score three consecutive weekends at No. 1 was “Lee Daniels’ The Butler,” though the pic’s third frame was Labor Day weekend, in which “One Direction: This is Us” won the three-day set. Ultimately, “The Butler” triumphed in four days.

Bowing

Film (Distributor): Locations

  • Carrie (Sony): 3,157
  • Escape Plan (Lionsgate): 2,883
  • The Fifth Estate (Disney): 1,769
  • 12 Years a Slave (Fox Searchlight): 19
  • All Is Lost (Roadside Attractions): 6
  • Kill Your Darlings* (Sony Classics): 4

*bowed Wednesday

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  1. another hairy kardashian sister says:

    Carrie getting lots bad reviews just 45% at RT last time I looked. But they were very wise to hold the film back until Halloween coz that alone will massively boost its appeal. The original is just so awesome though and everybody remembers it fondly especially Sissy spacek as the awkward outcast and her wackjob mother. Nobody was ever gonna top those iconic performances. No doubt Poltergeist will get a remake too and thats a film theyll never evr top coz it was a brilliant mix of comedy & horror with superb character acting. And probably the only horror film thats made me cry(she’s still alive!).

  2. JOE S HILL says:

    Another remake,,Ho Hum!! is that what Metro Goldwyn Mayer is about these days,,remaking their classic
    movies,as well as using Sony’s constant support? sorry MGM,but there’s only one “CARRIE”,and we’re
    a long way from 1976,when United Artists released the Brian DePalma classic,which has no equal! but
    way more disturbing,is why Sony is getting all the attention? MGM,or what’s left of them,still calls the
    shots,,so why does MGM constantly need Sony’s support in releasing their own movies? Sony has their
    own studio operations,,so i have to assume that they still have some pull with MGM,prior to the 2004
    business with the studio,being co owned by these Financial partners,,whatever it is,it isn’t improving
    MGM very much,especially with the soon to be released remake of “ROBOCOP”,that just doesn’t make a
    whole lot of sense,,but neither does this “CARRIE” remake! MGM has to do way better then this,because
    this is so tiresome already,,or is it Sony’s call?

  3. Julienne says:

    Are you kidding me…ANOTHER slave movie. Talk about stoking the racism fire…WE HAVE A BLACK PRESIDENT…move-on! Every race and every ethnicity has been slaves throughout history…and many for hundreds of years…hundreds of thousands were murdered. Most slaves were sold by BLACK SLAVE owners. Get over it.

    • LOL says:

      America loves denying its crappy past.

      • another hairy kardashian sister says:

        Calm down you white enslaver! lol. Nobody dragging you to see the damn film. though I think they probably should coz I bet youve never seen a slavery film in your entire life! This is first and foremost a tale of a fascinating man and his mighty struggles in life. A TRUE story.

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