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Though I’ve been a big believer in the Oscar best picture chances of “Argo” for some time now, I warn against reading too much into its big weekend at the Golden Globes (not to mention the Critics’ Choice Movie Awards) in my latest print column for Variety:

The Golden Globes don’t dictate how Oscar voters should choose, any more than Abraham Lincoln would influence Django Freeman.

Members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences might see all and hear all — but they act independently. So Sunday’s eyebrow-raising Golden Globes results, rather than influencing the Academy Awards, could simply be symptomatic of the schizophrenia running through this year’s awards season.

Instead of settling into a pair of de facto leaders, as has been the case over the past three years with “The Hurt Locker” and “Avatar” (2009-10), “The King’s Speech” and “The Social Network” (2010-11) and “The Artist” and “The Descendants” (2011-12), the 2012-13 awards season continues on its splintered path.

After riding high following last Thursday’s Oscar nominations, “Life of Pi,” “Lincoln” and “Silver Linings Playbook” encountered renewed feelings of insecurity over Globes weekend. But the flames of “Argo” and “Les Miserables” reignited after omissions from the directing category dimmed them.

Dogged by controversy, “Zero Dark Thirty” seems to be on its own journey, though the zany flow of the season hardly guarantees we’ve heard the last from that film.

The danger lies in taking discrete events and deciding they are tea leaves to be interpreted. …

Read the entire column here.