You will be redirected back to your article in seconds

Will Golden Globes pave way for Oscar?

Some overlap between Sunday's kudos and Oscar nominees is inevitable

When there’s little consensus during awards season, every minor announcement seems major. And with Oscar nomination ballots due at PricewaterhouseCoopers on Friday, all eyes will be on the results of Sunday’s Golden Globes.

But despite the proximity of the two dates, the gap between the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn.’s honors and the Academy Awards is wide, and has gotten even wider in the last few years.

Since the Oscarcast moved from March to February in 2004, the Globes have become less of a precursor to Oscar and more of a complementary event.

For best picture, the Globes — even with two categories — have lined up with the Oscars just twice in the last decade, when “Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” swept nearly every award Hollywood was willing to bestow for 2003 and “Slumdog Millionaire” took home multiple Oscars in 2008.

The disparity is good news for “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy,” “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close,” “The Tree of Life” and other films shut out in the Globe nominations. The gap is true in other categories as well. The Globes were more of an accurate bellwether when the Oscar ceremony took place in March and the balloting period was longer, giving Oscar voters more impetus to check out many of the Globes winners that they may not have seen.

Some overlap between Globes and Oscar nominees is inevitable, particularly when the HFPA can tap 10-14 films between the drama and musical/comedy categories, but there remains a distinct disconnect that makes the Globes a tenuous indicator.

The perceived snubs for some pics don’t mean awards campaigners rein in their efforts after Globe announcements. If anything, they target Oscar voters more intensely up until polls close.

For example, when “The King’s Speech” and “The Social Network” were dominating the conversation last year, the Coen brothers’ “True Grit” didn’t get a single Globe nomination. But it went on to collect 10 Oscar noms, including the prestigious picture and director. “Biutiful” star Javier Bardem didn’t get a nom from SAG or the Globes, and he earned a lead actor Oscar nom. “Another Day” was an Oscar original screenplay nominee but didn’t get any Globes attention.

Two best picture nominees, “Winter’s Bone” and “127 Hours,” earned Globe noms for their leads but nothing for the pictures or directors. “Winter’s Bone” received a single Globe nom for star Jennifer Lawrence but ultimately racked up four Oscar noms, including best picture. And Oscar nominee “127 Hours” didn’t get Globe recognition in the picture category, though it did get nommed for score, screenplay and actor.

Going back another year, the contrast is more stark because the Academy had five slots for best picture. Not a single film that earned a Globe nom in the musical/comedy picture category — “(500) Days of Summer,” winner “The Hangover,” “It’s Complicated,” “Julie & Julia” and “Nine” — went on to get a best picture nom from the Academy.

Of those films, only “Julie & Julia” and “Nine” got any Oscar noms. In fact, the Academy rounded out its 10 best picture nominees with “The Blind Side,” “District 9,” “An Education” and “A Serious Man,” none of which earned picture Globe noms, though a few received acting noms.

In 2008, among the five musical/comedy Globe nominees, there were only three Oscar nominations — not one for picture.

However, in the animation race, the Globes and Oscar choices line up nicely. Both groups have chosen the same film for the past four years, diverging only in the first year the HFPA added an animated category, 2006. The HFPA chose “Cars,” and the Academy feted “Happy Feet.”

More Film

  • Abigail Disney on Bob Iger

    Abigail Disney Calls Robert Iger's Pay 'Naked Indecency' in Op-Ed

    After stirring a flurry of reactions over her Tweets calling out wage inequality at the Walt Disney Co. on Sunday, Abigail Disney, a filmmaker and philanthropist who is the grand niece of Walt Disney, penned an opinion column outlining her arguments against Disney’s pay practices. In her op-ed, which was published in the Washington Post [...]

  • Avengers: Endgame

    'Avengers: Endgame' Reaps $90 Million in China by Late Afternoon of Opening Day

    “Avengers: Endgame” is already breaking records in China, raking in $89.6 million (RMB602 million) as of 5 p.m. on opening day Wednesday – two days ahead of the U.S. – and putting itself firmly on track to become the biggest Hollywood title ever in the Middle Kingdom. The Marvel finale has already set a new [...]

  • ‘The Gift: The Journey of Johnny

    Film Review: ‘The Gift: The Journey of Johnny Cash’

    Very much in the manner of an “unplugged” acoustic album that showcases the musicianship of a major artist without distracting flash and filigree, “The Gift: The Journey of Johnny Cash” is a tightly focused yet impressively multifaceted documentary that attempts nothing less than to delve past familiar myths and illuminate the soul of its fabled [...]

  • Emily Morgan Cormac Fox Gregoire Debailly

    European Film Promotion Reveals 2019's Producers on the Move

    Twenty of Europe’s up-and-coming producers are going to Cannes with European Film Promotion. The organization unveiled its latest roster of Producers on the Move on Wednesday, a lineup that features France’s Gregoire Debailly, who produced Jean-Bernard Marlin’s “Sheherazade,” which premiered in Critics’ Week in Cannes last year, and Ireland’s Cormac Fox, who produced Sophie Hyde’s [...]

  • Avengers EndGame Trailer

    ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Tops Studios’ TV Ad Spending

    In this week’s edition of the Variety Movie Commercial Tracker, powered by TV ad measurement and attribution company iSpot.tv, Marvel claims the top spot in spending with “Avengers: Endgame.” Ads placed for the superhero film had an estimated media value of $6.28 million through Sunday for 927 national ad airings on 39 networks. (Spend figures [...]

  • Oscar OScars Placeholder

    Netflix Can Chill: Academy Rules No Change in Streaming Oscar Eligibility

    The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will not change eligibility rules for the Oscars, despite speculation that streaming companies might see a crackdown on their release practices when pursuing golden trophies. A board of governors meeting on Tuesday voted to maintain the status quo, that any feature-length film can be considered for the [...]

  • Aniara review

    Film Review: 'Aniara'

    Each year brings an example or three of purported “thinking person’s science-fiction” films, a category that pretty much embraces anything not centered on monsters or lightsaber battles. These efforts are often more admirable in theory than result, but “Aniara” — the first film drawn from Nobel Prize-winning Swedish poet Harry Martinson’s 1956 cycle of 103 [...]

More From Our Brands

Access exclusive content