×

‘Mission: Impossible’ on track to win holiday B.O.

'Protocol' earns north of $9 million Friday; 'Sherlock' grosses around $7M

Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol” is looking to beat the holiday crowd this weekend for the No. 1 spot at the domestic box office.

Based on early Friday afternoon numbers, box office watchers estimate the Par pic to earn just north of $9 million for the day, putting the Tom Cruise-starrer in line to gross at around $35.5 million between now and Monday. Pic’s domestic cume as of Thursday is $32.4 million, including the film’s exclusive large-format bow last weekend.

Warner Bros.’ “Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows” should follow in B.O. standing, with early projections putting the film’s Friday-Monday total between $28 million to $30 million. Analysts say that’s based off of a Friday gross estimated at around $7 million.

“Sherlock” has cumed domestically $58.8 million through Thursday.

Pundits caution, however, that projecting box office grosses is difficult enough without the complications of a holiday weekend, especially one where Christmas Eve falls on a Saturday. Similar comparisons have to go back to 2005, when five films opened wide over the holiday weekend.

Popular on Variety

Fox’s family holdover “Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked” is looking to earn at around $4.6 million Friday, with B.O. observers projecting the film to tally between $19 million and $20 million in four days. “Alvin’s” current Stateside cume stands at $36.9 million.

Tracking to do slightly less business, Sony’s “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” is expected to earn roughly $18 million over the four-day weekend; pic’s projected to make $4 million Friday, with a cume of $8.4 million domestically.

Pundits insist that “Tattoo” should fare best on Christmas Eve, as it has the most appeal with adult auds.

Meanwhile, Fox newcomer “We Bought a Zoo” is likely to earn today just north of $3 million, yielding a four-day estimate in the $13 million-$14 million range. That would put it just a hair ahead of Par’s “The Adventures of Tintin,” which looks to make between $3 million and $4 million on Friday. Pic could earn about $13 million to $14 million over the long holiday frame, and has cumed $8 million domestically.

Though Christmas Eve is a traditionally dead time at the multiplexes, Sunday by mid-afternoon should see a major pop in theatergoing that will continue throughout next week.

More Film

  • Ennio The Maestro

    Wong Kar-wai’s Block 2 to Sell Giuseppe Tornatore’s ‘Ennio: The Maestro’

    Block 2 Distribution, the sales arm of Wong Kar-wai’s Jet Tone Films will handle international rights to “Ennio: The Maestro.” The film is an upcoming documentary about legendary film musician Ennio Morricone, written and directed by Giuseppe Tornatore. Morricone, who is 91, has more than 500 movie credits to this name including scores for Sergio [...]

  • José

    'José': Film Review

    It has been a year and a half since director Li Cheng’s “José” won the Venice Film Festival’s Queer Lion. It would be a shame to let the lag time diminish expectations. After a LGBTQ fest run, the Spanish-language drama — about a young gay man in Guatemala — has opened theatrically and continues to [...]

  • The Cost of Silence

    'The Cost of Silence': Film Review

    A decade has passed since 2010’s Deepwater Horizon tragedy, history’s most catastrophic oil drilling accident that occurred when a BP-operated pipe exploded, leaking millions of gallons of oil into the Gulf of Mexico. There was no successful intervention for months, and time hasn’t healed all wounds. On the contrary, it opened new, irreversible ones as [...]

  • Nardjes A.

    ‘Invisible Life’s’ Karim Ainouz Drops Trailer for 'Nardjes A.’ (EXCLUSIVE)

    On Feb. 14 last year, Karim Aïnouz arrived in Algeria to trace via the story of his parents the Algerian Revolution which happened 60 years ago – its 1954-62 War of Independence from France. The uprising he very quickly started to shoot, however, was one happening right then, the Revolution of Smiles, whose first street [...]

  • Call of the Wild

    Harrison Ford in 'The Call of the Wild': Film Review

    Dogs, in their rambunctious domesticated way, can lead us overly civilized humans a step or two closer to the natural world. So it’s only fitting that the best dog movies have saluted that unruly canine spirit without a lot of artificial flavoring. Hollywood’s classic dog tales, like “Old Yeller” (1957) or “Lassie Come Home” (1943), [...]

  • Adventures of a Mathematician

    Indie Sales Unveils Trailer For 'Adventures of a Mathematician' (EXCLUSIVE)

    In the run up to Berlin’s European Film Market, Indie Sales has unveiled the trailer for Thor Klein’s “Adventures of a Mathematician” which had its world premiere in Palm Springs. The film tells the inspiring true story of a Polish-Jewish mathematician who got a fellowship at Harvard and went on to join the prestigious Manhattan [...]

More From Our Brands

Access exclusive content