Weekend Box Office Preview
June 27, 2003

Sophomore slump stats, release dates, changes

SOPHOMORE SESH SCENARIO

Even with the release of “Charlie’s Angels 2,” there is some good news for ‘Hulk’ today. Unlike previous summers, the majority of this season’s tentpoles haven’t been getting hit hardest by second-weekend drop-offs. Instead, laffers like “The In-Laws’ have been getting hammered.

TOP SUMMER ’03 DROP-OFFS

2 Fast 2 Furious

Dumb and Dumberer

The In-Laws

Lizzie McGuire
Average Summer
Drop-off



’02


’03

-63% -60% -59% -58% -41% -47%

BOWING
Movie Title Engagements
Charlie’s Angels: Full Throttle (Sony) 3,459
28 Days Later (Fox Searchlight)

1,258

Main Prem Ki Diwani Hoon (Rajshri)
60
On_Line(Indican)
6
Dracula: Pages From a Virgin’s Diary (Zeitgeist) L.A.
2
Hell’s Highway (Kino) NY
2

YEAR TO DATE*
(in billions of $)
4.2

’02
(thru June 23)
4.0
-5%


’03
(thru June 22)

1. Charlie’s Angels 2
2. The Hulk
3. Finding Nemo
4. Bruce Almighty
5. 2 Fast 2 Furious

AOL Moviefone derives its Top Five Most Requested films from activity on its Web site. The Top Five have historically been 80% accurate in predicting the weekend’s top five movies at the box office.

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RELEASE DATES AND CHANGES
As of June 26
Movie Title
New date

Old date

FOX
Alien vs. Predator Aug. 6 ’04  
The Fantastic Four Dec. 17 ’04  
MIRAMAX
Duplex
Oct. 24
Nov. 14
Valentin 2nd qtr. ’04 3rd qtr.
J.M. Barrie’s Neverland 4th qtr. ’04 2nd qtr. ’04
WARNER BROS.
The Big Bounce
Feb.
1st. qtr.
Nascar: The Imax Experience March  
A Sound of Thunder April 16  
Taking Lives April 30  
New York Minute May 7  
A Cinderella Story July 16 ’04  
Catwoman July 30 ’04  
How it Was With Dooms Aug. ’04  
Yu-Gi-Oh Aug. ’04 TBA
Constantine Sept. ’04  
Untitled Dark Castle Oct. 29 ’04  
Void Moon Oct. ’04  
Ocean’s Twelve Dec. 10 ’04  
Alexander Dec. ’04  
Phantom of the Opera Dec. ’04  
The Aviator Dec. ’04  

Red indicates new entry
Source: ACNielsen EDI FilmSource

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