2003 wins: Chicago Film Critics, Dallas-Ft. Worth Film Critics, Florida Film Critics, Kansas City Film Critics, Los Angeles Film Critics, National Board of Review, Seattle Film Critics, Toronto Film Critics, Venice Film Festival

Oscar pedigree: Nominated: “Boogie Nights” (1997), “The End of the Affair” (1999)

Moore on her two roles this year as depressed housewives: “These are ordinary women trying to figure out who they are and what they want for their future, things that we all deal with. This is what matters to me, as a person, a mother and someone’s partner.”

What we said: “As she was in ‘Safe,’ Moore again proves a consummate vehicle for the director’s intentions. Her beautifully gauged performance encompasses the crisp efficiency of the perfect suburban housewife; the desperation of a woman buckling under social pressures and putting on a brave face despite the disintegration of a marriage revealed to be hollow.” — David Rooney (Sept. 2)

What the rest said: “Get out an Oscar for Moore. She digs so deep into this role that actress and character breathe as one.” — Peter Travers, Rolling Stone

This could be the night: Unlike in “The Hours,” where three women divide screen time, Moore appears in virtually every frame.

Then comes the rub: She may lose this by a nose if voters are won over by Kidman’s transformation.