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Weekend Box Office Preview
October 18, 2002

FRIGHTENING FORECAST

By Thanksgiving, eight horror-suspense pics will have flooded the market, this weekend’s “Abandon” and “The Ring” among them. Distribs hope that the onslaught of thriller product won’t harken back to earlier years when auds tired from too many scares.

Average Horror-Suspense Bow*
Year 

   No. of Pics         Horror Suspense Bow Average
1997      8 

10

1998      4 

12

1999      6 

14

2000      7 

8

2001      7 

10

*in millions of $ for genre’s wide release
 

BOWING
Movie Title Engagements
Abandon (Par) 2,341
The Ring (DreamWorks) 1,981
Formula 51
(Screen Gems/Alliance Atlantis)
1,857
Hansel & Gretel (Innovation) 59
Real Women Have Curves
(HBO/Newmarket)
56
Children on Their Birthdays
(Artisan)
15
Auto Focus (Sony Classics) 11
The Grey Zone (Lions Gate) 8
Hell House (Seventh Art)
San Francisco, Chicago, Nashville
3
Naqoyqatsi (Miramax) NY, LA 2

YEAR TO DATE
(in billions of $)
6.2


’01
(thru Oct. 14)

7.0
+13%


’02
(thru Oct. 13)

1. The Ring

2. Sweet Home …

3. Red Dragon

4. Abandon

5. My Big Fat …

AOL Moviefone derives its Top Five Most Requested films from activity on its Web site. The Top Five have historically been 80% accurate in predicting the weekend’s top five movies at the box office.

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RELEASE DATES AND CHANGES
As of Oct. 17
Pic New date Old date
DREAMWORKS
Sinbad: The Legend … July 2 June 27
FIRST LOOK PICTURES
The Lawless Heart Feb. 7 Nov. 8
FOX
Master and Commander June 6  
Phone Booth TBA Nov. 15
FRIEDMAN-NADLER
Stealing the Fire Oct. 16  
IDP
Sonny Dec. 27  
MGM
Legally Blonde: Red, White … July 2 July
Assassination Tango TBA 4th qtr.
City of Ghosts TBA 4th qtr.
MIRAMAX
Gangs of New York Dec. 20 Dec. 25
Cursed Aug. 8  
SONY
Darkness Falls Jan. 10 Jan. 31
UNIVERSAL
Empire Dec. 6  
Red indicates new entry                     All dates 2002 unless noted
Source: Nielsen EDI Filmsource

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