Oscar Odds: Supporting Actress Race Sees Shifts

The Danish Girl
Courtesy of Universal

Since December, Gold Derby’s Oscar predictions for the supporting actress race have changed considerably. While Rooney Mara was an early favorite for “Carol,” she has been overtaken by Alicia Vikander in “The Danish Girl.” Meanwhile, “Steve Jobs” star Kate Winslet, Rachel McAdams of “Spotlight” and Jennifer Jason Leigh in “The Hateful Eight” are showing little traction with a panel of awards experts who have been tracking the season at Gold Derby.

Vikander co-starred in “The Danish Girl” with Eddie Redmayne, who was nominated for best actor for his role as transgender pioneer Lili Elbe in the drama directed by Tom Hooper. Redmayne won last year’s best actor Oscar for his performance as Stephen Hawking in “The Theory of Everything.”

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  1. Vikander and Mara are Lead Actors, not Supporting. Two other actors should have been nominated for this slot, Academy.

  2. Bill B. says:

    I think the top eight categories are becoming pretty obvious with the exception of this one though I reluctantly agree that Vikander is probably the favorite at this point, but as many here have stated, it’s not fair as it is not remotely a supporting role, but she’s good and her other 2015 performance in Ex-Machina will only enhance her chances and leading roles have won in this category a number of times. Oddly, that second film is a supporting role, but the film is far from the Academy’s conservative tastes. I really thought Jennifer Jason Leigh would be hot choice here when The Hateful Eight opened. She’s a helluva lot of fun and very good in it, she’s a veteran and the daughter of an actor dramatically killed on a movie set and It’s really a supporting role. I guess she is still my choice to upset, but it seems unlikely.

  3. philomena says:

    Decades ago you couldn’t be nominated for a supporting role unless your name appeared
    after a “with.” Now lead actors are weaseling into the supporting categories. Alicia V, as great
    as she was, was in the movie more than Eddie Redmayne. She is not “supporting.”

  4. Wong Kar-wai says:

    Alicia and Rooney are LEADS. This award should go to the real best supporting actress: Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight/Anomalisa). Category fraud sucks donkey balls.

  5. Char says:

    High jacking the press to attempt to upsell yourself by misconstruing the truth is also called desperate, insecure, puffery & bullshit. Just saying..

  6. Pamela says:

    I’m confused by Rachel McAdams’ nomination. The whole SPOTLIGHT cast is great, but Mark Ruffalo was the real stand-out with the meatiest role. I think there are other actresses who deserved it more.

    • Wong Kar-wai says:

      Rachel was actually fantastic; what I loved about the whole Spotlight ensemble is that no one is trying to outact the other. They’re just doing a great job at telling an important story. I wasn’t surprised Mark Ruffalo was nominated because he’s the only actor with a big Oscar moment in the film, but I was glad Rachel got in as well.

  7. propecia says:

    gold derby is a blog and is even less relevant than the golden globes. it’s just a bunch of fanboys with nothing better to do.

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