Golden Globes Predictions: Who Will Win

Golden Globes Predictions
Courtesy of Paramount/A24/20th Century Fox

Taking our best stabs in the film and television categories.

On Sunday, the Hollywood Foreign Press will hand out its awards for the 73rd annual Golden Globes. The group is renowned for making surprising choices, but here are our fearless predictions for who will take home the prizes.


Best Picture: Drama
Four of the nominees were also nominated for best director, with “Room” being the outlier. “Spotlight” should continue dominating in the wake of regional critics success, with “The Revenant” a dark horse possibility.

Best Picture: Comedy or Musical
“The Martian” caused a commotion when Fox submitted the film here, and some within the HFPA who felt it belonged in drama may revolt. Look for “The Big Short” to capitalize and solidify itself as a serious Oscar player.

Best Actor: Drama
The HFPA (and everyone, really) loves Eddie Redmayne, and Bryan Cranston certainly remains popular with the group after years of “Breaking Bad.” But this feels like an easy win for “The Revenant’s” Leonardo DiCaprio, even if the Oscar might not be such a simple equation.

Best Actor: Comedy or Musical
Matt Damon ought to come out on top for “The Martian,” with Christian Bale and Steve Carell splitting the “Big Short” vote and the rest just happy to be here.

Best Actress: Drama
“Room” star Brie Larson has dominated this category all season. There’s no reason to expect that to change now. If a shocker is lurking, though, keep an eye on Saoirse Ronan, as this is the only category for “Brooklyn” supporters to speak up.

Best Actress: Comedy or Musical
Jennifer Lawrence makes sense for a group that historically adores stars and might want a prestige sheen in this category, and Maggie Smith is a lurker in a British production. But let’s go out on a limb and call it for 2015 “it” girl Amy Schumer for “Trainwreck.”

Best Supporting Actor
Honestly, it could go to any of the five. But Sylvester Stallone and Mark Rylance have been duking it out on the regional critics circuit, with the former ahead by a nose so far. You have to figure members would like to see Sly take the stage so we’ll give him the edge.

Best Supporting Actress
Support for Alicia Vikander, also nominated in drama lead, could congregate here, while Jane Fonda would certainly make for a TV moment. Helen Mirren even makes a certain amount of sense. We’ll call it for Vikander. The HFPA likes to anoint new starlets.

Best Director
It could be Ridley Scott as a career nod, or it could be Tom McCarthy with the most beloved film overall. And while Harvey Weinstein’s HFPA tendrils might not reach as deep as they once did, Todd Haynes is a possibility. This feels like the best place to honor George Miller’s “Mad Max: Fury Road,” but we’ll call it for Scott.

Best Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin is a huge favorite with the group, having even been nominated for scripts the Academy passed on. So “Steve Jobs” would make a lot of sense. Tarantino is a threat, too, though he did just win for “Django Unchained” three years ago. And if “Spotlight” and “The Big Short” are primed to win in the best picture categories, they can’t be underestimated. Even though it feels like spreading the wealth a bit too much, we’ll place a risky bet on Sorkin.

Best Animated Feature Film
“Inside Out.” Unless “Anomalisa” shocks, which is possible, according to chatter, if not probable.

Best Foreign Language Film
This should be “Son of Saul’s” to lose, but “Mustang” is an outside possibility.

Best Original Score
It feels like this one could very well be between the Weinstein players, “Carol” and “The Hateful Eight.” The latter comes from a legend, Ennio Morricone. Give him the edge.

Best Original Song
Brian Wilson’s “One Kind of Love” was deemed ineligible for the Oscar but he’s in the running here and it could be tempting. But “See You Again” from “Furious 7” is the populist track and the studio has been campaigning hard for it.


Best TV Series: Drama

With last year’s winner, “The Affair,” not even nominated this time, the heavyweight has to be HBO’s “Game of Thrones,” which claimed the trophy at the Emmys. But don’t count out USA’s “Mr. Robot” — the HFPA does love to crown a freshman favorite.

Best TV Series: Comedy
Given the stellar reviews Amazon’s “Transparent” has garnered for its second season — which just debuted Dec. 11 — the momentum is with Jill Soloway’s family dramedy for a repeat win.

Best TV Movie or Limited Series
“Fargo” (FX) took the prize last year, but this time out faces a tough challenge from executive producer John Ridley’s “American Crime” (ABC), not to mention the prestige-soaked “Wolf Hall” (PBS). Give the edge to “Fargo” once again.

Best Actor in a TV Series: Drama
This is the last time the HFPA can honor Jon Hamm for “Mad Men,” but the org tends to shrug off nostalgia in favor of the shiny new talent, which gives the edge to newcomer Rami Malek for “Mr. Robot.”

Best Actress in a TV Series: Drama
Much ink has been spilled over the battle of the powerhouse performances: Viola Davis (“How to Get Away With Murder”) vs. Taraji P. Henson (“Empire”). So it would come as little surprise if Caitriona Balfe (“Outlander”) swept in with the win.

Best Actor in a TV Series: Comedy
There’s an argument to be made that Jeffrey Tambor (“Transparent”) won last year and the org may want to spread the love; but was his performance as Maura Pfefferman any less indelible this time out?

Best Actress in a TV Series: Comedy
Gina Rodriguez (“Jane the Virgin”) brought the room to tears with her acceptance speech last year; who doesn’t want to see a repeat performance? It’ll take no less than the Commander-in-Chief herself to dethrone her: “Veep’s” Julia Louis-Dreyfus.

Best Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
This one is anyone’s guess, with a lineup of worthy performances from Idris Elba (“Luther”), Mark Rylance (“Wolf Hall”) and Patrick Wilson (“Fargo”), along with the rest. We’ve been waiting far too long to see Elba get back into that leather coat, so he stands just a bit taller.

Best Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Lady Gaga reigned over this season’s iteration of FX’s “American Horror Story: Hotel.” Score one for the Countess.

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
It comes down to this question: “Outlander” or “Mr. Robot”? Chances are the USA hacker drama will have already claimed big wins, so Tobias Menzies may well win for his dual roles in the Starz hit.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Limited Series, or TV Movie
This is a tough category, with a repeat winner (“Downton Abbey’s” Joanne Froggatt), a critical favorite (Uzo Aduba) — and if the HFPA has any love left for the “The Affair,” the series it showered with so much love last year, Maura Tierney has a shot. But it’s been hard to escape Regina King’s acting prowess all season, whether on “American Crime” or “The Leftovers.”

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  1. tony t. says:

    Too bad that the industry does not recognize one of the best acting I seen by a female actress. Eva Green in Penny Dreadful was absolutely fantastic but you know Empire needed to be recognized by the industry. TOO BAD.

  2. jhonason says:

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  3. Eric says:

    It’s one thing to predict that Lady Gaga will win – the HFPA worships fame above all else – but don’t act like she deserves to win for American Horror Story. Her performance ranges from acceptable to awful.

  4. Sean says:

    Inside Out is not a lock for the win. Anomalisa is a way better film. If Anomalisa wins it won’t be very surprising.

  5. XxX says:

    I loooooooved the Big Short!! And everything else on this list! They’re all amazing!!! :D :D

  6. jamm says:

    George Miller PLEASE

  7. shane says:

    The revenant is this year’s worst film for me seriously couldn’t see anything good in that filme except the ccinematography if leo wins Oscar then God save Hollywood

  8. Brian says:

    Django Unchained was three years ago.

  9. Edwin says:

    I think Supporting Actor will stay neck-and-neck up through Oscar night. I could see Stallone winning the Globe and BFCA, while Rylance wins SAG and BAFTA.

    Supporting Actress is interesting insomuch as there’s no telling where Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander will end up on Oscar nomination morning. I’m starting to wonder if it could be a Scarlett Johansson in 2003 sort of deal for Alicia Vikander where category confusion and vote splitting result in her not being nominated for either movie. But personally, I’m gonna go out on a little bit of a limb and say she gets a double nomination this year (lead for Danish Girl, supporting for Ex Machina), while Rooney Mara stays in the supporting category (and likely ends up winning, if that’s the case). But who really knows? It’s impossible to determine a frontrunner in the Supporting Actress category until we see how the situation plays out. And if neither Mara nor Vikander (for either role) ends up in this category, I genuinely don’t know who would win.

    I think Actor and Actress will become pretty clearly Leo and Brie, though.

  10. Surely, the best performance (Ronan) winning wouldn’t be a “shocker.”

  11. Harry says:

    JENNIFER LAWRENCE. Can’t wait.

  12. Jimmy Green says:

    Straight Outta Condom doesn’t have a chance. It should have never been made.

  13. Miscanthus says:

    I hope Damon takes the Oscar this year. He works the constantly shifting tone of The Martian and makes it look easy, which is soooo hard to do. Without him that movie would never have worked.

    • bilko says:

      He was dreadful. And it didn’t work.

      • silva says:

        Lol it didn’t work? Which world are you in? The Martian did wonders both commercially as well as critically has got thumbs up from everywhere. Film is already a blockbuster biggest in 2015 when you consider it as an original film matt damon was fantastic in it & he along with ridley r getting Oscar buzz already! I’m sure both will win Golden Globes hands down. Couldn’t see anywhere matt damon will lose to steve carrel or christian bale in his category they both were in a ensemble but Damon was the show stealer in the Martian
        So he must be awarded & i wont be surprised to see him winning even the Oscar

  14. Johnny L. says:

    I just want to see Jennifer Lawrence!

  15. Lastavica says:

    lady “gaga” or whatever it name is…is one ugly troll of music industry and now she is trolling tv industry. tragic

  16. Blake Hinton says:

    Seriously Lady Gaga over Kirsten Dunst. That’s a joke

    • Wendy says:

      You Tube/Google;Lady Ga Ga illuminati—-Lady Ga Ga satanist—Lady Ga Ga killed her best friend for FAME….watch,learn,and see/understand the TRUH ,these people are pure Evil…bloodcontracts,selling their souls for fame,money,mind control YOU … also You Tube:KE$HA -illuminati—satanist—ultra mind control…WAKE UP!

  17. Reg says:

    I finally saw Revenant and they were smart to hide it from most of the audience. It manages to be simultaneously hyperviolent and silly, and the sound is terrible. You can’t understand anything anybody says – even before DiCaprio gets his mouth mangled.

  18. Jazz says:

    Kirsten deserves the GG for Fargo. She was amazing on the show.

  19. amador roberts says:

    Gaga surprised me in amerian horror story <3 !!! she was amzingly perfect

  20. katy says:

    Lady Gaga desereve to win this award , her acting was really amazing

  21. The “Steve Jobs” script is an abomination.

  22. Salim Nayar says:

    “The Martian” under Comedy or Musical?

    • Wendy says:

      The Martian is going to Win,because of NASA/Government lies,hoaxes of Moonlanding,”Round”Earth(the Earth is FLAT),Iss(international space station) lies,crap,bullshit…NASA is one BIG lie,for take your TAX MONEY,year in/out….NASA is one big HOAX,never ever was NASA on the Moon,or in Space….the next step of the USA government/NASA=the Aliën/UFO’s fake fear psy op crap,this year….DON’T BELIEVE IT!!!…So?The Martian is going to WIN a lot of prizes,it’s al in the NWO agenda,and to mind control you,thru Movies….Interstellar was also just a MOVIE,for that reason and GRAVITY(Satellites are a Lie/Hoax,never ever is/was a Person in space or at a Iss,are fixing a “Satellite”in Space….ONLY IN HOLLYWOOD/NASA/GOVERNMENT/FREEMASON/ILLUMINATI Mind Control Movies,like:Gravity,Interstellar(what a crap movie’s)and Now The Martian…CGI in Movies and in Real Life/Nasa/Hollywood/Directors/Freemasons,Liars,Fake Hero’s….

  23. Jonathan says:

    Tarantino isn’t nominated for Director…

  24. bilko says:

    The Martian? Really? I classified it as this yar’s WORST movie. Matt Damon is not funny. And THE BIG SHORT is not really a movie. Respectfully.

  25. seriously? Gaga over Kirsten Dunst for Fargo?

  26. Alexa says:

    Have you ever watched Luther? Because he’s never worn a leather coat in that show.

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