“Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice” will see a 65% slide in its second weekend to about $58 million at 4,256 sites — leaving it with the 19th-highest sophomore session of all-time, early estimates showed Friday.
The decline is somewhat lower than recent forecasts that had pegged the Warner Bros. mega-tentpole with about $66 million. Still, should Friday’s estimate hold, “Batman v Superman” will wind up the weekend at more than $265 million in 10 days.
The first week of the movie took in $209.1 million in the U.S. — the 10th-highest first-week total of all time — with a $166 million opening weekend. “Batman v Superman” took in $7.7 million on Thursday and is expected to dominate this weekend with a projected $18 million on Friday, $25 million on Saturday and $15 million on Sunday.
Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst with comScore, noted that the first weekend included $27.7 million in preview grosses.
“The second weekend drop will reflect that in a bigger than typical percentage,” he added. “The first weekend was an Easter holiday weekend, so that also had an impact.”
Other blockbusters have seen deeper declines, such as the final “Harry Potter” movie at 72%, and the third and fourth “Twilight” films, both of which slid 70%. Still, three movies that wound up with more than $600 million saw much smaller declines with “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” falling 40%, “Jurassic World” declining 49% and “Marvel’s The Avengers” down 50%.
“The Force Awakens” is the second-weekend record holder with $149.2 million, followed by “Jurassic World” at $106.6 million and “The Avengers” at $103 million. Seven other films have taken in more than $70 million in their second weekends — “The Avengers: Age of Ultron,” “Avatar,” “The Dark Knight,” “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire,” “Iron Man 3,” “Shrek 2” and “Spider-Man.”
Dergarabedian noted that “Batman v Superman” is facing minimal new competition as Pure Flix’s “God’s Not Dead 2” is headed for an opening of less than $8 million at 2,320 sites and Freestyle’s “Meet the Blacks” will wind up with less than $4 million at 1,014. Disney’s fifth weekend of “Zootopia” will be its nearest rival with about $15 million, followed by Universal’s second weekend of “My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2” at about $10 million.
“Zootopia” has totaled $256 million in four weeks and the “Big Fat” sequel took in $25 million in its first week.
Many critics have savaged “Batman v Superman,” Dergarabedian added. “The DC Comics film has been the poster child for the disconnect between critics and moviegoers, but a great release date that gives the film a wide open marketplace in terms of direct competition until ‘Captain America’ opens May 6 and strong buzz for the actor’s performances (in particular Gal Gadot as Wonder Woman) will ensure ‘Batman v Superman’ solid returns in the coming days and weeks,” he noted.
Pure Flix’s faith-based “God’s Not Dead 2” generated a moderate $400,000 on 1,982 screens at Thursday night preview screenings. The movie stars Melissa Joan Hart as a teacher embroiled in controversy for referring to Jesus in class.
Meanwhile, Freestyle Releasing’s spoof “Meet the Blacks” pulled in just under $200,000 in Thursday previews at about 700 theaters. It’s a parody of the film “The Purge” and follows a family that moves to Los Angeles on the same day that crime becomes legal in the city.