SAG Awards 2016 Predictions
Courtesy of Paramount/AMC/Netflix

Taking our best stabs in the film and television categories.

The 22nd annual Screen Actors Guild Awards are set for Saturday night, as industry thespians gather to celebrate their own and tell those awkward “I’m an actor” stories to the camera. “Trumbo” led the way with film nominations, while “Game of Thrones” and “House of Cards” led for TV. Here are our fearless predictions of who will walk away a winner.


Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
It feels like Leonardo DiCaprio’s train is coming into the station this year, so look for him to pull off the win for “The Revenant.” However, if any possible spoiler is lurking, it’s Bryan Cranston, adored by TV actors who fill the SAG-AFTRA ranks. Also: “Trumbo” is an ensemble nominee, and “The Revenant” is not.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
The best actress race has been Brie Larson (“Room”) vs. Saoirse Ronan (“Brooklyn”) for quite some time. Larson is out front with critics awards wins and should be in great shape to charge on through the ceremony en route to Oscar.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Without presumed Oscar frontrunner Sylvester Stallone tipping the scales (thanks largely to SAG-AFTRA’s arbitrarily early voting calendar), this one could be an eye-opener. Mark Rylance (“Bridge of Spies”) has done well with the critics, but actors are their own breed. And they adore Christian Bale. So look for him to add another SAG Award to the mantle, for “The Big Short.” (Regarding Rylance, by the way, remember that there’s also an opportunity to vote for him in the TV ranks for “Wolf Hall.”)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
There could be a surprise here, like Kate Winslet doubling up on her unexpected Golden Globe honor for “Steve Jobs,” or Rooney Mara repping for “Carol.” But Alicia Vikander feels undeniable this year, particularly since her “Danish Girl” performance is arguably a lead. Plus, residual love for her “Ex Machina” performance has to go somewhere.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Only two of this year’s ensemble nominees made it into the Academy’s best picture category: “The Big Short” versus “Spotlight.” The former has a tailwind on the heels of a big PGA victory. The latter is the definition of a well-tuned ensemble. Honestly? Flip a coin. I did, and I came up with “The Big Short.”

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
If this goes to anything other than “Mad Max: Fury Road,” it would be fair to expect a segment of the show dedicated to justifying that decision.


Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Oscar Isaac claimed this win at the Globes for HBO’s “Show Me a Hero,” but he’s not nominated here, paving the way for a showdown between double nominees Idris Elba for “Luther” (BBC America) and Mark Rylance’s Thomas Cromwell in “Wolf Hall” (Masterpiece/PBS). Give the edge to Rylance, who stood out amid a stellar cast in the prestige-soaked PBS series.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
All due respect to the other nominees, there’s one performance in this lineup that stands out: Queen Latifah reigned supreme as Bessie Smith in the HBO biopic. She may not have won an Emmy or a Globe for the role — surely she deserves to triumph at the SAGs.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) may be the reigning champ, but Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”) has the momentum, with wins at the Emmy Awards and the Golden Globes. Not to mention he’s never won an individual SAG Award for actor (“Mad Men” has won twice for ensemble.) Given that it’s the last time to honor his indelible work as Don Draper, let’s go with making history.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
It’s a tough category: these actresses are all worthy contenders who are quite familiar with acceptance speeches (well, if Maggie Smith ever showed up to these things). Viola Davis (“How to Get Away with Murder”) triumphed over a virtually identical slate last year (minus Tatiana Maslany). Odds are she’ll stage a repeat performance.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
If there’s a lock, it has to be Jeffrey Tambor for Amazon’s “Transparent,” a performance widely praised by critics, beloved by audiences and lauded at every awards show. For SAG to ignore it would be a shock.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Uzo Aduba took home the statue last year for Netflix’s “Orange is the New Black,” but election fever should propel Julia Louis-Dreyfus (HBO’s “Veep”) into the winner’s circle, if not the Oval Office.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
“Downton Abbey” (PBS) pulled off a major upset last year, winning over a similar list of nominees, with AMC’s “Mad Men” replacing HBO’s “Boardwalk Empire.” Will nostalgia for the last days of Don Draper usher the Crawleys off the stage? Or will SAG finally recognize the impressive effort that is HBO’s “Game of Thrones?” Odds are we’ll see yet another British invasion — but I’m holding out hope that the reigning Emmy winner will get its due.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
At last year’s SAG Awards, “Orange is the New Black” dethroned “Modern Family,” the winner for the four previous years. At the Emmy Awards, “Veep” also dethroned “Modern Family,” the winner for the five previous years. That’s no laughing matter. But don’t rule out “Transparent,” which has made Amazon a contender on the awards circuit. So who’s going to win? I’ll go with those wacky Pfeffermans.

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy or Drama Series
“Game of Thrones” has ruled this category for the last four years, and deservedly so. Can they fend off the crime fighting lawyer of “Marvel’s Daredevil?” I’ll never bet against those white walkers.


Latest Predictions:

moonlight Movie Picture
  1. "La La Land" Lionsgate

  2. "Manchester by the Sea" Amazon/Roadside Attractions

  3. "Moonlight" A24

  4. "Lion" The Weinstein Co.

  5. "Arrival" Paramount Pictures

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Damien Chazelle la la land BTS Director
  1. Damien Chazelle "La La Land"

  2. Barry Jenkins "Moonlight"

  3. Kenneth Lonergan "Manchester by the Sea"

  4. Denis Villeneuve "Arrival"

  5. David Mackenzie "Hell or High Water"

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Manchester by the Sea Actor
  1. Casey Affleck "Manchester by the Sea"

  2. Denzel Washington "Fences"

  3. Andrew Garfield "Hacksaw Ridge"

  4. Ryan Gosling "La La Land"

  5. Viggo Mortensen "Captain Fantastic"

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Elle Isabelle Huppert Actress
  1. Emma Stone "La La Land"

  2. Natalie Portman "Jackie"

  3. Meryl Streep "Florence Foster Jenkins"

  4. Amy Adams "Arrival"

  5. Isabelle Huppert "Elle"

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Hugh Grant Florence Foster Jenkins Supporting Actor
  1. Mahershala Ali "Moonlight"

  2. Jeff Bridges "Hell or High Water"

  3. Dev Patel "Lion"

  4. Hugh Grant "Florence Foster Jenkins"

  5. Kevin Costner "Hidden Figures"

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Nicole Kidman Lion Supporting Actress
  1. Viola Davis "Fences"

  2. Michelle Williams "Manchester by the Sea"

  3. Naomie Harris "Moonlight"

  4. Nicole Kidman "Lion"

  5. Octavia Spencer "Hidden Figures"

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Arrival Adapted Screenplay
  1. "Moonlight" Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney

  2. "Arrival" Eric Heisserer

  3. "Lion" Luke Davies

  4. "Hidden Figures" Theodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder

  5. "Nocturnal Animals" Tom Ford

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Hell or High Water trailer Original Screenplay
  1. "La La Land" Damien Chazelle

  2. "Manchester by the Sea" Kenneth Lonergan

  3. "Hell or High Water" Taylor Sheridan

  4. "The Lobster" Efthymis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos

  5. "Captain Fantastic" Matt Ross

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Silence Cinematography
  1. "La La Land" Linus Sandgren

  2. "Lion" Greig Fraser

  3. "Arrival" Bradford Young

  4. "Moonlight" James Laxton

  5. "Silence" Rodrigo Prieto

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Fantastic Beasts and where to find them Costume Design
  1. "Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them" Colleen Atwood

  2. "Florence Foster Jenkins" Consolata Boyle

  3. "Jackie" Madeline Fontaine

  4. "Allied" Joanna Johnston

  5. "The Dressmaker" Marion Boyce, Margot Wilson

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hacksaw ridge Film Editing
  1. "La La Land" Tom Cross

  2. "Hacksaw Ridge" John Gilbert

  3. "Arrival" Joe Walker

  4. "Moonlight" Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders

  5. "Manchester by the Sea" Jennifer Lame

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Star Trek Beyond Makeup & Hairstyling
  1. "Florence Foster Jenkins"

  2. "Star Trek Beyond"

  3. "A Man Called Ove"

  4. "Hail, Caesar!"

  5. "The Dressmaker"

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The BFG Original Score
  1. "La La Land" Justin Hurwitz

  2. "Lion" Dustin O'Halloran and Hauschka

  3. "Moonlight" Nicholas Britell

  4. "Hacksaw Ridge" Rupert Gregson-Williams

  5. "The BFG" John Williams

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Hidden Figures trailer Best Original Song
  1. "City of Stars" "La La Land"

  2. "How Far I'll Go" "Moana"

  3. "Audition (The Fools Who Dream") "La La Land"

  4. "Runnin'" "Hidden Figures"

  5. "Faith" "Sing"

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Hail Caesar Production Design
  1. "Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them" Stuart Craig, James Hambige; Anna Pinnock

  2. "Hail, Caesar!" Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh

  3. "La La Land" David Wasco; Sandy Reynolds-Wasco

  4. "Jackie" Jean Rabasse; Veronique Melery

  5. "Silence" Dante Ferretti; Francesca Lo Schiavo

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Rogue One A Star Wars Story trailer Sound Editing
  1. "Rogue One: A Star Wars Story"

  2. "Hacksaw Ridge"

  3. "Deepwater Horizon"

  4. "Arrival"

  5. "Sully"

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13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Sound Mixing
  1. "Rogue One: A Star Wars Story"

  2. "Hacksaw Ridge"

  3. "La La Land"

  4. "Deepwater Horizon"

  5. "13 Hours"

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  1. "Zootopia" Walt Disney Studios

  2. "Kubo and the Two Strings" Laika/Focus Features

  3. "My Life as a Zucchini" GKIDS

  4. "The Red Turtle" Sony Pictures Classics

  5. "Moana" Walt Disney Studios

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Weiner Sundance 2016 Documentary Feature
  1. "O.J: Made in America" Ezra Edelman

  2. "Cameraperson" Kirsten Johnson

  3. "Weiner" Josh Kriegman, Elyse Steinberg

  4. "13th" Ava DuVernay

  5. "I Am Not Your Negro" Raoul Peck

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Toni-Erdmann-1 Foreign Language
  1. "Toni Erdmann" Germany; Maren Ade

  2. "Land of Mine" Denmark; Martin Zandvliet

  3. "A Man Called Ove" Sweden; Hannes Holm

  4. "The Salesman" Iran; Asghar Farhadi

  5. "Tanna" Australia; Martin Butler, Bentley Dean

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Jungle Book Visual Effects
  1. "The Jungle Book"

  2. "Rogue One: A Star Wars Story"

  3. "Doctor Strange"

  4. "Deepwater Horizon"

  5. "Kubo and the Two Strings"

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