SAG Awards 2016 Predictions
Courtesy of Paramount/AMC/Netflix

Taking our best stabs in the film and television categories.

The 22nd annual Screen Actors Guild Awards are set for Saturday night, as industry thespians gather to celebrate their own and tell those awkward “I’m an actor” stories to the camera. “Trumbo” led the way with film nominations, while “Game of Thrones” and “House of Cards” led for TV. Here are our fearless predictions of who will walk away a winner.

FILM

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
It feels like Leonardo DiCaprio’s train is coming into the station this year, so look for him to pull off the win for “The Revenant.” However, if any possible spoiler is lurking, it’s Bryan Cranston, adored by TV actors who fill the SAG-AFTRA ranks. Also: “Trumbo” is an ensemble nominee, and “The Revenant” is not.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
The best actress race has been Brie Larson (“Room”) vs. Saoirse Ronan (“Brooklyn”) for quite some time. Larson is out front with critics awards wins and should be in great shape to charge on through the ceremony en route to Oscar.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Without presumed Oscar frontrunner Sylvester Stallone tipping the scales (thanks largely to SAG-AFTRA’s arbitrarily early voting calendar), this one could be an eye-opener. Mark Rylance (“Bridge of Spies”) has done well with the critics, but actors are their own breed. And they adore Christian Bale. So look for him to add another SAG Award to the mantle, for “The Big Short.” (Regarding Rylance, by the way, remember that there’s also an opportunity to vote for him in the TV ranks for “Wolf Hall.”)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
There could be a surprise here, like Kate Winslet doubling up on her unexpected Golden Globe honor for “Steve Jobs,” or Rooney Mara repping for “Carol.” But Alicia Vikander feels undeniable this year, particularly since her “Danish Girl” performance is arguably a lead. Plus, residual love for her “Ex Machina” performance has to go somewhere.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Only two of this year’s ensemble nominees made it into the Academy’s best picture category: “The Big Short” versus “Spotlight.” The former has a tailwind on the heels of a big PGA victory. The latter is the definition of a well-tuned ensemble. Honestly? Flip a coin. I did, and I came up with “The Big Short.”

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
If this goes to anything other than “Mad Max: Fury Road,” it would be fair to expect a segment of the show dedicated to justifying that decision.

TELEVISION

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Oscar Isaac claimed this win at the Globes for HBO’s “Show Me a Hero,” but he’s not nominated here, paving the way for a showdown between double nominees Idris Elba for “Luther” (BBC America) and Mark Rylance’s Thomas Cromwell in “Wolf Hall” (Masterpiece/PBS). Give the edge to Rylance, who stood out amid a stellar cast in the prestige-soaked PBS series.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
All due respect to the other nominees, there’s one performance in this lineup that stands out: Queen Latifah reigned supreme as Bessie Smith in the HBO biopic. She may not have won an Emmy or a Globe for the role — surely she deserves to triumph at the SAGs.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) may be the reigning champ, but Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”) has the momentum, with wins at the Emmy Awards and the Golden Globes. Not to mention he’s never won an individual SAG Award for actor (“Mad Men” has won twice for ensemble.) Given that it’s the last time to honor his indelible work as Don Draper, let’s go with making history.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
It’s a tough category: these actresses are all worthy contenders who are quite familiar with acceptance speeches (well, if Maggie Smith ever showed up to these things). Viola Davis (“How to Get Away with Murder”) triumphed over a virtually identical slate last year (minus Tatiana Maslany). Odds are she’ll stage a repeat performance.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
If there’s a lock, it has to be Jeffrey Tambor for Amazon’s “Transparent,” a performance widely praised by critics, beloved by audiences and lauded at every awards show. For SAG to ignore it would be a shock.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Uzo Aduba took home the statue last year for Netflix’s “Orange is the New Black,” but election fever should propel Julia Louis-Dreyfus (HBO’s “Veep”) into the winner’s circle, if not the Oval Office.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
“Downton Abbey” (PBS) pulled off a major upset last year, winning over a similar list of nominees, with AMC’s “Mad Men” replacing HBO’s “Boardwalk Empire.” Will nostalgia for the last days of Don Draper usher the Crawleys off the stage? Or will SAG finally recognize the impressive effort that is HBO’s “Game of Thrones?” Odds are we’ll see yet another British invasion — but I’m holding out hope that the reigning Emmy winner will get its due.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
At last year’s SAG Awards, “Orange is the New Black” dethroned “Modern Family,” the winner for the four previous years. At the Emmy Awards, “Veep” also dethroned “Modern Family,” the winner for the five previous years. That’s no laughing matter. But don’t rule out “Transparent,” which has made Amazon a contender on the awards circuit. So who’s going to win? I’ll go with those wacky Pfeffermans.

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy or Drama Series
“Game of Thrones” has ruled this category for the last four years, and deservedly so. Can they fend off the crime fighting lawyer of “Marvel’s Daredevil?” I’ll never bet against those white walkers.

 

Latest Predictions:

Spotlight Picture
  1. "The Big Short" Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner and Jeremy Kleiner

  2. "Spotlight" Michael Sugar, Steve Golin, Nicole Rocklin and Blye Pagon Faust

  3. "The Revenant" Arnon Milchan, Steve Golin, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Mary Parent and Keith Redmon

  4. "Bridge of Spies" Steven Spielberg, Marc Platt and Kristie Macosko Krieger

  5. "The Martian" Simon Kinberg, Ridley Scott, Michael Schaefer, and Mark Huffam

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Best Director Oscar Preview Director
  1. Alejandro G. Inarritu "The Revenant"

  2. Adam McKay "The Big Short"

  3. Tom McCarthy "Spotlight"

  4. George Miller "Mad Max: Fury Road"

  5. Lenny Abrahamson "Room"

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One of the year's most critically acclaimed films was also a major B.O. disappointment. After failing to gross $20 million domestically, "Steve Jobs" was pulled from U.S. theaters after less than three weeks. Actor
  1. Leonardo DiCaprio "The Revenant"

  2. Bryan Cranston "Trumbo"

  3. Michael Fassbender "Steve Jobs"

  4. Matt Damon "The Martian"

  5. Eddie Redmayne "The Danish Girl"

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Best Actress Oscar Contenders Actress
  1. Brie Larson "Room"

  2. Saoirse Ronan "Brooklyn"

  3. Cate Blanchett "Carol"

  4. Charlotte Rampling "45 Years"

  5. Jennifer Lawrence "Joy"

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Oscar Nominations Reactions Sylvester Stallone Supporting Actor
  1. Sylvester Stallone "Creed"

  2. Mark Rylance "Bridge of Spies"

  3. Mark Ruffalo "Spotlight"

  4. Christian Bale "The Big Short"

  5. Tom Hardy "The Revenant"

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Carol Rooney Mara Supporting Actress
  1. Alicia Vikander "The Danish Girl"

  2. Rooney Mara "Carol"

  3. Kate Winslet "Steve Jobs"

  4. Jennifer Jason Leigh "The Hateful Eight"

  5. Rachel McAdams "Spotlight"

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(Nov. 4, Fox Searchlight)
Fox Searchlight, the reigning back-to-back best picture champ, has an interesting pair of contenders in this and Paolo Sorrentino’s “Youth.” But John Crowley’s coming-of-age portrait of the immigrant experience is the warmer feel-good player. Adapted Screenplay
  1. "The Big Short" Adam McKay, Charles Randolph

  2. "Room" Emma Donoghue

  3. "Carol" Phyllis Nagy

  4. "Brooklyn" Nick Hornby

  5. "The Martian" Drew Goddard

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Walt Disney
Pixar’s family-friendly head trip is the sort of emotional powerhouse that, like “Up” and “Toy Story 3” before it, could crack the best picture race. A nomination for animated feature should be assured, but an original screenplay mention could also be in the cards (“original” being the operative word). Original Screenplay
  1. "Spotlight" Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer

  2. "Inside Out" Josh Cooley, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve

  3. "Ex Machina" Alex Garland

  4. "Bridge of Spies" Matthew Charman, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen

  5. "Straight Outta Compton" Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge, Alan Wenkus

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Josh Brolin Sicario Cinematography
  1. "The Revenant" Emmanuel Lubezki

  2. "Mad Max: Fury Road" John Seale

  3. "The Hateful Eight" Robert Richardson

  4. "Carol" Edward Lachman

  5. "Sicario" Roger Deakins

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Focus Features
Reteaming with “The King’s Speech” director Tom Hooper, Eddie Redmayne follows his Oscar-winning turn as Stephen Hawking with an entirely different acting challenge, projecting the inner soul of transgender pioneer Einar Wegener. As in that earlier film, his understanding onscreen wife, Alicia Vikander, could be recognized for the stability she provides. Costume Design
  1. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Jenny Beavan

  2. "The Danish Girl" Paco Delgado

  3. "The Revenant" Jacqueline West

  4. "Carol" Sandy Powell

  5. "Cinderella" Sandy Powell

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Director: Adam McKay 
By Terry Gilliam 
At last... a smart, funny and beautifully directed film about something important. I wish it had been mine, but sadly it’s the handiwork of Adam McKay who really knows what he is doing and has the clout to gather a great cast who entertain, educate, and immerse us in the foolish, greed-driven world that arrogantly marched our economy off the cliff. His flair at telling the tale gets my vote for hero of the year. Film Editing
  1. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Margaret Sixel

  2. "The Big Short" Hank Corwin

  3. "The Revenant" Stephen Mirrione

  4. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" Maryann Brandon, Mary Jo Markey

  5. "Spotlight" Tom McArdle

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mad max fury road Makeup & Hairstyling
  1. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Lesley Vanderwalt, Damian Martin, Elka Wardega

  2. "The Revenant" Siân Grigg, Duncan Jarman and Robert Pandini

  3. "The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared" Love Larson and Eva von Bahr

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(Dec. 25, Weinstein)
Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds,” “Django Unchained”) offers an incentive to experience films in the theater, with a limited 70mm roadshow engagement that’s sure to seduce celluloid purists. Original Score
  1. "The Hateful Eight" Ennio Morricone

  2. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" John Williams

  3. "Carol" Carter Burwell

  4. "Bridge of Spies" Thomas Newman

  5. "Sicario" Jóhann Jóhannsson

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Lady Gaga Best Original Song
  1. "Til It Happens To You" from "The Hunting Ground"

  2. "Writing's on the Wall" from "Spectre"

  3. "Earned It" from "Fifty Shades of Grey"

  4. "Simple Song #3" from "Youth"

  5. "Manta Ray" from "Racing Extinction"

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Touchstone
Steven Spielberg is never one to be counted out of the top categories, especially when there’s a resonant history lesson involved. Tom Hanks’ performance is as laudable as the film’s Coen brothers-polished script, but the revelation here is Mark Rylance, considered a lock for his richly understated supporting turn as a Soviet spy. Production Design
  1. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Colin Gibson; Katie Sharrock, Lisa Thompson

  2. "The Danish Girl" Eve Stewart; Michael Standish

  3. "The Revenant" Jack Fisk; Hamish Purdy

  4. "Bridge of Spies" Adam Stockhausen; Rena DeAngelo, Bernhard Henrich

  5. "The Martian" Arthur Max; Celia Bobak, Zoltan Horvath

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star wars the force awakens bb8 Sound Editing
  1. "The Revenant" Martin Hernandez and Lon Bender

  2. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Mark Mangini and David White

  3. "The Martian" Oliver Tarney

  4. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" Matthew Wood and David Accord

  5. "Sicario" Alan Robert Murray

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Matt Damon The Martian Sound Mixing
  1. "The Revenant" Chris Duesterdiek, Frank A. Montaño, Jon Taylor, Randy Thom

  2. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff and Ben Osmo

  3. "The Martian" Mac Ruth, Paul Massey, Mark Taylor

  4. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson

  5. "Bridge of Spies" Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Drew Kunin

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Golden Globe Nominees 2016 Reactions Animated Feature
  1. "Inside Out" Pete Docter and Jonas Rivera

  2. "Anomalisa" Charlie Kaufman, Duke Johnson and Rosa Tran

  3. "Shaun the Sheep Movie" Mark Burton and Richard Starzak

  4. "Boy and the World" Ale Abreu

  5. "When Marnie Was There" Hiromasa Yonebayashi and Yoshiaki Nishimura

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Oscar Documentary Contenderts 2016 Documentary Feature
  1. "Amy" Asif Kapadia and James Gay-Rees

  2. "Cartel Land" Matthew Heineman and Tom Yellin

  3. "What Happened, Miss Simone?" Liz Garbus, Amy Hobby and Justin Wilkes

  4. "The Look of Silence" Joshua Oppenheimer and Signe Byrge Sorensen

  5. "Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom" Evgeny Afineevsky and Den Tolmor

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Son of Saul Cannes Film Festival Foreign Language
  1. "Son of Saul" Lazlo Nemes; Hungary

  2. "Mustang" Deniz Gamze Erguven; France

  3. "Theeb" Naji Abu Nowar; Jordan

  4. "A War" Tobias Lindholm; Denmark

  5. "Embrace of the Serpent" Ciro Guerra; Colombia

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Original Screen Play Oscar Race Visual Effects
  1. "The Revenant" Rich McBride, Matthew Shumway, Jason Smith and Cameron Waldbauer

  2. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould

  3. "Mad Max: Fury Road" Andrew Jackson, Tom Wood, Dan Oliver and Andy Williams

  4. "The Martian" Richard Stammers, Anders Langlands, Chris Lawrence and Steven Warner

  5. "Ex Machina" Andrew Whitehurst, Paul Norris, Mark Ardington and Sara Bennett

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