Box Office: Tom Cruise’s ‘Mission: Impossible’ Flying to $50 Million Weekend

Courtesy of Paramount Pictures

Tom Cruise has been welcomed back to the nation’s multiplexes, with “Mission: Impossible — Rogue Nation” heading for a U.S. opening weekend that could top $50 million, according to early estimates Friday.

That could be four times as much as that for the rebooted “Vacation,” which is underperforming with a projected Friday-Sunday total of $12.5 million and a disappointing five-day cume ar0und $19 million.

“Mission: Impossible — Rogue Nation” is dominating Friday business, with a first-day total of at least $20 million at 3,956 locations. That figure includes $4 million from Thursday-night preview showings.

Paramount’s fifth entry in the “Mission: Impossible” franchise has launched amid a marketing campaign with Cruise — one of the best promoters in the business — hitting the circuit to discuss the film and its eye-popping stunts, such as his clinging to the side of an Airbus A400 plane during takeoff.

The studio has been cautious in its guidance for the action-adventure, which carries a hefty $150 million budget, asserting that its tracking shows “Rogue Nation” on pace to open to $40 million over the weekend. Some analysts believe that number could top $50 million, given the strong critical support, with a 93% rating on Rotten Tomatoes.

“Mission: Impossible — Rogue Nation” is set in Morocco, Austria and the U.K. as Cruise’s secret agent Ethan Hunt tracks down an organization bent on creating global chaos. The film bows in 40% of overseas markets with launches in Mexico, Australia and Korea.

Jeremy Renner, Simon Pegg and Rebecca Ferguson also star. Christopher McQuarrie directed from his own script. David Ellison’s Skydance produced with Paramount. Producers are Cruise, J.J. Abrams, Bryan Burk, Ellison, Dana Goldberg and Don Granger with Jake Myers exec producing.

Cruise’s three most recent films — “Edge of Tomorrow,” “Oblivion” and “Jack Reacher” — generated solid, rather than spectacular, box office earnings. His biggest recent success came four years ago when  “Mission: Impossible — Ghost Protocol” took in $209 million in the U.S. and $485 million internationally.

The four “Mission: Impossible” films have topped $2 billion in worldwide grosses.

New Line’s rebooted “Vacation” looks likely to make $4 million on Friday — about the same as its $3.8 million opening day on Wednesday. The raunchy comedy, starring Ed Helms and Christina Applegate, had been expected to take in as much as $35 million in its first five days but has been mostly unloved by critics, with a 27% rating on Rotten Tomatoes.

Strongest support for the Friday showings of “Vacation” came from the under-25 demographic.

“Vacation,” which carries a modest $31 million budget, is launching 32 years after the original. Helms plays the grown-up Rusty Griswold, who decides to take his own family to the fictional California theme park Walley World.

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  1. Ivan says:

    And without Cruise, they would probably have made 30-40% more.

    Many of us would rather have a root canal than watch Cruise, no matter how much the studio poured into this thing.

  2. orie thompson says:

    Vacation reboot was based on raunchy humor rather than clever writing like the first.

  3. Ok when Faust throws Hunt the keys was that a Rabbits Foot attached?

  4. jimmy woo says:

    Scientology drones are forced to see this film opening weekend. Soon it will die a quick death from word of mouth.

    Dull. Boring. Same as usual but, less entertaining.

    • mightymad says:

      Every single thing about your comments screamed that you haven’t seen a second of this movie – I mean, if you had this much problems with Scientology before its release, why would you bother checking it out?

      You know, folks like you and in Sea Org have way more in common than you may think – you guys are both zealots.

    • jaxs says:

      Word of mouth seems pretty strong. What does scientology have to do with this movie?

  5. Liz Hunter says:

    I absolutely LOVED LOVED LOVED this Cruise film! So MUCH Action! Wow, give us more movies like this!

  6. Tom Cruise- Killing It @ the Box Office says:

    W O W! $20 MILLION ON THE FIRST NIGHT !?! Biggest one day opening for a MISSION IMPOSSIBLE film! Congrats to Tom Cruise! He put out another big time winner with MI5.

  7. Dead leg, Simon Pegg left to muse over Tommy Cruise…

  8. Jim says:

    It’s more a comment on the garbage that is getting churned out there these days….not much good to see out there…..Ant-Man has already been out a few weeks by now, Vacation is looking pretty awful. People are desperate to see even a halfway decent movie.

  9. niki says:

    yes it was shot on kodak film…congratulations to all!

  10. niki says:

    great movie and great looking…this film must have been shot on film because it beautiful to look at …

  11. IT 2 IT says:

    These 80s shows with NO second act.

    These franchise slums that NEVER end.


  12. Johnny Boy says:

    Cruise is smart to continue his career in the action genre’. It keeps you young in the audience’s eyes.

  13. Chris says:

    This is one of the best movies of the year and the beginning of a great career for rebecca ferguson

  14. Spider says:

    “Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation”, was an awesome flick. It’s the rare summer blockbuster with a solid story, solid acting, solid directing, and awesome action scenes that are very organic, with minimal CGI. Yes, this is a thinking man’s/woman’s action flick that is actually good. This movie will play well into August and I would’t be surprised if it does better than 2011’s “Ghost Protocol”. Tom Cruise is on a roll and “Edge of Tomorrow” is also a good flick, though terribly underrated.

    • Odinson2k14 says:

      But what some Studios fail to realize is that CGI is appropriate in some genres and not others. You can’t make a sci-fi or fantasy film without CGI in the year 2015. If you go with just Halloween costumes, makeup, and practical stunts, you can’t do any dragons and true aliens, and your movie looks cheap :). It’s why Marvel Studios, besides the Avengers films and Ant-Man (and including the tv shows like Agents of SHIELD, Agent Carter, and Netflix), look cheap in their solo films like Thor and Guardians.

      • Dope says:

        Wtf are you talking about? Guardians is a ridiculously good movie. It has some of the best visuals among the other mcu films. You need your vision checked.

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