Vegas Odds for the 2015 Academy Awards

Vegas Odds for Academy Awards 2015

The smart money bets on “Boyhood” at the Oscars, theoretically.

The Wynn casino resort in Las Vegas released its initial Oscar odds following Thursday morning’s announcement of the 2015 nominees, with “Boyhood” coming in as the early favorite in a number of categories including best picture. Director Richard Linklater, at 1 to 6, and supporting actress nominee Patricia Arquette, at 1 to 7, also look like early favorites for trophies. On the other hand, “American Sniper” can start preparing its “Just happy to be here” lines, with 75 to 1 odds for both best picture and Bradley Cooper for best actor.

The predictions, produced merely for fun as gambling is prohibited on balloted contests, shine a light on the perceived lack of competition in the female acting categories; in addition to Arquette’s odds, best actress nom Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) is the biggest individual favorite at 1 to 9. Comparatively, the tightest race seems to be in best actor, where Michael Keaton (“Birdman”), at 5 to 6, is only a slightly safer bet than Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”), at 11 to 10.

The full list of Vegas odds can be found below.

Best Picture
“Boyhood,” 2 to 5
“The Imitation Game,” 7 to 1
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” 9 to 1
“Birdman,” 18 to 1
“Selma,” 20 to 1
“The Theory of Everything,” 30 to 1
“Whiplash,” 60 to 1
“American Sniper,”  75 to 1

Best Actor
Michael Keaton, “Birdman,” 5 to 6
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything,” 11 to 10
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game,” 20 to 1
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher,” 30 to 1
Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper,” 75 to 1

Best Actress
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice,” 1 to 9
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild,” 8 to 1
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl,” 25 to 1
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything,” 40 to 1
Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night,” 60 to 1

Best Supporting Actor
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash,” 1 to 5
Edward Norton, “Birdman,” 10 to 1
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood,” 12 to 1
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher,” 14 to 1
Robert Duvall, “The Judge,” 30 to 1

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood,” 1 to 7
Emma Stone, “Birdman,” 12 to 1
Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods,” 15 to 1
Kiera Knightley, “The Imitation Game,” 25 to 1
Laura Dern, “Wild,” 28 to 1

Best Director
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood,” 1 to 6
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman,” 7 to 1
Morten Tyidum, “The Imitation Game,” 18 to 1
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel,” 22 to 1
Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher,” 45 to 1

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  1. David Pollak says:

    Mark Rylance MUST be considered for his wonderful performance in Bridge if Spies……………..

  2. Jonny says:

    Where can I get Birdman at 18 to 1 for best picture? Please do share, cause I’m putting the house down.

  3. Michael Jones says:

    Boyhood will lose to “The Imitation Game” for Best Picture. Boyhood is not a Motion Picture it is an after school special filmed over 12 years as a desperate gimmick by a “C” grade director. The Academy represents experienced sophisticated artists who will pick the Best Picture to represent us to the World. Boyhood isn’t even close to Best Picture. Can you really put Boyhood in the same category as “Schindler’s List”? Seriously?

  4. Sean says:

    GBH a work of genius.

  5. Ebama Obola says:

    Boyhood is just another crappy documentary that you’d see on PBS all slow motion and “deep and profound” but really just crap about some creepy looking kid that turns into an even creepier grubbier looking teen. Woooopteee doooo. Not “genius”. Just crap made by some hipsters that think they’re genius.

  6. YouGotToBeKiddingMe says:

    Every voting member should have to sit in a theater approved by the Oscar committee and witnessed by a member of that committee to prove that you saw all the films nominated and any other categories that you vote in. For too long the members have voted when they haven’t seen all that they needed to. Many times votes are given because of politics; friendship or votes lost because of politics or you disapprove of the actor or film plot. Ideology plays a big part in who wins and who loses so the choices made are not really legitimate to me. It comes down to politics and who is popular at the moment. Besides how can you choose between a Cezanne or a Monet; you can’t and you shouldn’t.

  7. One the SAG awards happen, those numbers will change if Keaton gets the nod; if an actor wins both the golden globe and SAG, then that’s pretty much a lock for the Oscar

  8. Ryan says:

    Boyhood was just an amazing, seductive film. So simple, yet I Honestly couldn’t turn away.

  9. Chris Jollay says:

    Interesting. We used a somewhat subjective formula this morning and came up with similar. But that one has Reese Witherspoon a much larger underdog than the Wynn does.

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