Emmy Oddsmaker Picks ‘Breaking Bad,’ ‘Orange Is the New Black’ to Win Top Awards

Bryan Cranston Breaking Bad emmy

For those who need a little more incentive to get invested in the 66th Primetime Emmy Awards, nationally syndicated oddsmaker Benjamin Eckstein has a solution – gamble on it.

While betting money on the Emmys in the state of Nevada might technically be illegal, it doesn’t mean the odds aren’t worth a glance (see full list below).

According to Eckstein, HBO’s decision to enter “True Detective” into the competition as a drama series instead of miniseries is unlikely to pay off for the crime drama, as it faces stiff competition from “Breaking Bad,” which sits at 1/5 odds ($5 would win $1) to “True Detective’s” 5/1.

Netflix’s “Orange Is the New Black,” meanwhile, is Eckstein’s surprise favorite to win in the best comedy series category at 3/2 odds, which would hypothetically end “Modern Family’s” four-year winning streak. ABC’s defending champ, undefeated in the comedy category, is close behind at 5/2 odds.

“True Detective’s” entry in the drama series category could have another beneficiary: FX’s “Fargo” is the clear favorite in the miniseries category, according to Eckstein, with 1/12 odds to win miniseries while the next nominee, “American Horror Story: Coven,” is listed at 8/1. And without Matthew McConaughey competing for lead actor in a miniseries or movie (he’s favored to win drama lead actor), gambling website Bovada lists Billy Bob Thornton as the definitive favorite  for his work in “Fargo” at 2/5 over Mark Ruffalo at 3/2 for his role in “The Normal Heart.”

Other tight races include the lead actress in a drama series category, with Robin Wright at 1/2 for “House of Cards” and Julianna Margulies at 3/2 for “The Good Wife,” and variety series, with “The Colbert Report” at 1/2 and “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” at 3/2.

Odds like these are obviously subjective, coming from the basis of just one oddsmaker, and are intended for no more than a little bit of fun surrounding the awards ceremony. For more picks from Eckstein visit AmericasLine.com.

The full list of Emmy odds is below.

Drama Series

“Breaking Bad” ; 1/5
“True Detective” ; 5/1
“House of Cards” ; 6/1
“Game of Thrones” ; 8/1
“Mad Men” ; 30/1
“Downton Abbey” ; 40/1
Comedy Series

“Orange Is the New Black” ; 3/2
“Modern Family” ; 5/2
“Veep” ; 3/1
“Louie” ; 10/1
“The Big Bang Theory” ; 15/1
“Silicon Valley” ; 30/1

Lead Actor/Drama

Matthew McConaughey (“True Detective”) ; 1/2
Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad”) ; 5/2
Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) ; 8/1
Jeff Daniels (“Newsroom”) ; 20/1
John Hamm (“Mad Men”) ; 25/1
Woody Harrelson (“True Detective”) ; 30/1
Lead Actress/Drama

Robin Wright (“House of Cards”) ; 1/2
Julianna Margulies (“The Good Wife”) ; 3/2
Kerry Washington (“Scandal”) ; 8/1
Claire Danes (“Homeland”) ; 10/1
Lizzy Caplan (“Masters of Sex”) ; 25/1
Michelle Dockery (“Downton Abbey”) ; 30/1
Lead Actor/Comedy

Jim Parsons (“The Big Bang Theory”) ; 1/2
Ricky Gervais (“Derek”) ; 2/1
Louis C.K. (“Louie”) ; 5/1
William H. Macy (“Shameless”) ; 8/1
Matt LeBlanc (“Episodes”) ; 25/1
Don Cheadle (“House of Lies”) ; 25/1
Lead Actress/Comedy

Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep”) ; 1/10
Taylor Schilling (“Orange Is the New Black”) ; 5/1
Amy Poehler (“Parks and Recreation”) ; 8/1
Edie Falco (“Nurse Jackie”) ; 25/1
Melissa McCarthy (“Mike & Molly”) ; 40/1
Lena Dunham (“Girls”) ; 40/1

“Fargo” ; 1/12
“American Horror Story: Coven” ; 8/1
“Luther” ; 20/1
“Treme” ; 25/1
“Bonnie and Clyde” ; 25/1
“The White Queen” ; 50/1
Television Movie

“The Normal Heart” ; 1/10
“Sherlock: His Last Vow” ; 10/1
“The Trip to Bountiful” ; 15/1
“Muhammed Ali’s Greatest Fight” ; 20/1
“Killing Kennedy” ; 20/1
Variety Series

“The Colbert Report” ; 1/2
“The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” ; 3/2
“The Daily Show With Jon Stewart” ; 10/1
“Jimmy Kimmel Live” ; 15/1
“Saturday Night Live” ; 20/1
“Real Time With Bill Maher” ; 50/1

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  1. Mark Sanchez says:

    How is Mcconahey fave to win over cranston??? Cranstons performance is one of the best in Tv or Movie history.

  2. Jack says:

    I wouldn’t mind putting a little on Woody Harrelson’s 30/1 odds.
    I have him a close 3rd behind Cranston and McConaughey. If they end up splitting the vote like Cranston and Lewis last year, I could see Harrelson sneak by with a win like Jeff Daniels last year.

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