‘Mockingjay’ Dominating Box Office, Heading for $23 Million Weekend

The Hunger Games Mockingjay Part 1

Jennifer Lawrence is providing most of the box office heat during the post-Thanksgiving weekend with “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay — Part 1” heading for as high as $23 million in the U.S., according to early Friday estimates.

That’s about double the nearest rival, Fox and DreamWorks’ second weekend of “The Penguins of Madagascar.”

Friday estimates showed Lionsgate’s “Mockingjay” — now in its third weekend — set to take in $6.8 million, with forecasts for about $10.5 million on Saturday and $5.4 million Sunday for a decline of about 60%.

Should those numbers hold, “Mockingjay” will finish the weekend with a 17-day U.S. total near $259 million, or 23% below the 17-day total for  “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire” at the same point last year.

Still, “Mockingjay” will surpass “Captain America: The Winter Soldier” on Sunday or Monday as the second-highest domestic grosser of 2014. It will need another $72 million to eclipse “Guardians of the Galaxy” at $331 million for the top slot, but it’s unlikely that “Mockingjay” will catch “Catching Fire” at $425 million.

On the international side, “Mockingjay” should take in at least $30 million to cross the $300 million mark. With the China launch still to come, the movie could eventually match the $440 million international total for “Catching Fire.”

“Penguins” will finish a distant second with between $11 million and $12 million, representing a 55% decline following $2.6 million on Friday. The toon spinoff should hit a 12-day total of $50 million in the U.S. by the end of the weekend.

New Line’s second weekend of “Horrible Bosses 2” should follow in third with a decline around 42%. The comedy sequel took in an estimated $2.8 million on Friday, with projections of around $9 million for the weekend and a 12-day cume in the $36 million area.

A pair of holdovers in their second month should wind up in the next two spots. Disney’s “Big Hero 6” will take in around $7.5 million to push its U.S. cume to $177 million; Paramount’s “Interstellar” should gross about $5.7 million and wind up with a $156 million domestic total.

Studios have usually shunned the post-Thanksgiving period, relying on holdover titles. The second weekend of “Frozen” won the weekend last year with $31 million, followed by the third weekend of “Catching Fire” at $26 million while the Christian Bale drama “Out of the Furnace” grossed only $5.2 million in its opening for Relativity.

The one new release this weekend is “The Pyramid,” a micro-budget, found-footage horror film from Fox, with early estimates forecasting around $1 million at 589 locations.

Open Road’s “Nightcrawler” is doubling its screen count to about 1,200 locations. The thriller has grossed $10.4 million since its launch on Halloween.

 

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  1. My partner and I stumbled over here by a different web page
    and thought I might as well check things out.
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  2. james says:

    Nightcrawler has made 28.9 million

  3. JC says:

    The Pyramid wasn’t micro-budget. Closer to $10 million.

  4. Angela says:

    Isn’t it a testament to the bad state of the domestic box office that Mockingjay will end up the top US movie of 2014 despite earning less than it’s predecessor. The international box office is hot but studios are spending a lot on these films and promoting them. Are any breaking even or making profits?

    I think the issue is a lot of families don’t have the money to go out much anymore. Wages are not moving but everything else is going up. Home entertainment is far cheaper and easier than a trip to the local multiplex. I expect the next few weeks will be pretty bad for many of these movies.

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