This year, quality isn’t enough.
The current campaign has already offered more than a half-dozen pictures that could have blown away the competition in a weaker year, with two dozen other fi lms also jostling for the up-to-10 nomination slots.
So the determining factor: What’s the mood of the industry right now?
In 2005-07, the best picture winners were “Crash,” “The Departed” and “No Country for Old Men.” The world was gripped by hopelessness and confusion, which was refl ected in the films.
But evidently people got tired of despair. The past three winners were “The King’s Speech,” “The Artist” and “Argo,” films that found happy endings.
Individuals can have mood swings, and so can voters. In 2013, with mass shootings and global wars, as everyone is reeling from the recession and the digital revolution, awards voters might be feeling somber or optimistic — or something entirely different.