Holdovers stunt Lionsgate upside; families split 'Green,' 'Paranorman'

Even though it’s the third adult male-targeted film released in as many weeks, “The Expendables 2″ should easily muscle its way to the top of the domestic B.O., with weekend expectations tracking north of $30 million for the star-packed Lionsgate sequel.

But holdover actioners “Total Recall” and “The Bourne Legacy” could stunt potential upside.

Three other wide entries look to trail in weekend standing: Focus Features’s stop-motion animation pic “ParaNorman” and Sony’s retro tuner “Sparkle” are expected to land in the high teens, while Disney’s midweek family entry “The Odd Life of Timothy Green,” which earned $2.3 million Wednesday, should earn about $10 million from Friday to Sunday.

“ParaNorman” has seen a pop in tracking from Hispanic auds, as well as fanboys and film buffs. With 80% of kids still out of school this week, family auds should provide the bulk of the toon’s weekend gross. “Timothy Green” also will attract mostly families, but that pic is drawing interest from women as well.

Sony’s “Sparkle” should cross over to filmgoers beyond African Americans, based on appeal for the late Whitney Houston in her last screen role. The tuner, which also stars “American Idol” champ Jordin Sparks, Derek Luke and Cee-Lo Green, is a remake of the 1976 cult fave about three singer sisters in 1960’s Mowtown.

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