Golden Globes Race 2013: Best Motion Picture, Drama
HFPA voters will wrestle with one of the strongest dramatic fields in years, even without “Amour” and “Rust and Bone” in the mix. This category is English-language only.
Classic precursor: Reflects the lush romantic artifice of ’81 contender “The French Lieutenant’s Woman.”
If not the big one: As Karenin, Jude Law impressively shrivels into a cuckolded wretch.
Classic precursor: True-life rescue yarn grips despite known ending, like ’73 nominee “Day of the Jackal.”
If not the big one: Alan Arkin’s Hollywood schlockmeister could be recognized.
“Beasts of the Southern Wild”
Classic precursor: Takes us as deeply into the swamps as ’94 nominee “Nell.”
If not the big one: Lead moppet Quvenzhane Wallis is unforgettable.
Classic precursor: Multiplies by six the overlapping narratives of ’06 winner “Babel,” with a similar we’re-all-connected message.
If not the big one: Possible supporting mention for Hugo Weaving or Jim Broadbent.
Classic precursor: Likely to echo the crisp teamwork of ’66 nominee “The Professionals.”
If not the big one: HFPA voters are no less eager than the Academy’s to slot stars into the supporting ranks. This could be Leonardo DiCaprio’s turn.
Classic precursor: ’62 nominee “Days of Wine and Roses,” another harrowing examination of alcoholic decline.
If not the big one: Denzel’s tour de force may not be overlooked.
Classic precursor: As sly an expose of a great man’s kinks as ’04 nominee “Kinsey.”
If not the big one: Helen Mirren’s anguished re-creation of the Master’s unhallowed muse may figure strongly.
“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
Classic precursor: ’01 nominee “The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring.”
If not the big one: Greenscreen genius Andy Serkis could finally get recognition in the supporting category.
Classic precursor: Shares with ’84 nominee “The Killing Fields” the Southeast Asian locale and climactic emotional reunion.
If not the big one: Naomi Watts’ degree of suffering could be enough to propel a thesp into contention.
“Life of Pi”
Classic precursor: Goes even further than last year’s “Hugo” in applying 3-D to character and theme.
If not the big one: Esteemed Ang Lee may get his fourth helming nod for the undeniable effort.
Classic precursor: Big-budget biopic of a brooding loner wielding power and dogged by destiny? Sounds like ’04 winner “The Aviator.”
If not the big one: Daniel Day-Lewis has a fine shot at emancipating the lead actor trophy from Miss Golden Globe’s hands.
Classic precursor: Tortured Joaquin Phoenix seeks from Philip Seymour Hoffman the same kind of mentoring Kirk Douglas sought from Anthony Quinn in ’56 nominee “Lust for Life.”
If not the big one: Phoenix and Hoffman have good shots, as does supporting actress Amy Adams.
Classic precursor: The social conscience of ’79 nominee “The China Syndrome,” minus ticking clock.
If not the big one: Matt Damon, John Krasinski and Dave Eggers look likely to cop a writing nod.
Classic precursor: As in ’68 nominee “Charly,” someone disabled gets a brief, joyous glimpse of what it’s like to be “normal.”
If not the big one: John Hawkes makes placing a pure soul in a twisted body look easy.
“Zero Dark Thirty”
Classic precursor: Same helmer and scribe as ’09 nominee “Hurt Locker”; possibly greater impact because the Bin Laden caper remains so raw.
If not the big one: Scripter Mark Boal could earn recognition for managing so much technical material.