The Freakout: A Roundup

ABC News has gathered some of the reaction to President Obama’s reelection from conservative pundits and celebrities, including Donald Trump who deleted a series of egregious tweets from Tuesday night.

Last night, Jon Stewart said that Karl Rove’s on-air dispute of Fox News’ Ohio, followed by Megyn Kelly’s trek to the statisticians, will “live forever.”

 

On Fox News this morning, Rove is continuing to assess what went wrong.

There are many — not all — parallels to 2004, when post-first debate, John Kerry supporters had convinced themselves that their candidate had a genuine chance. On election day, leaked exit polling spread like wildfire, to the point where Kerry surrogates like Ted Kennedy were going on TV early in the evening as if victory was only a matter of time. In the end, the popular vote margin between Bush and Kerry was nearly the same, 50.7% vs. 48.3%, as Obama vs. Romney, currently 50.4% to 48.0%. Even the shell-shocked campaign was in the same city, Boston, as was Romney on election night. The difference is that Obama, with an expected 332 to Romney’s 206, is expected to have a much greater electoral vote victory than Bush had.

Update: CBS News has a piece on the mood at Romney headquarters, and how it went from near certainty of a win to tears at a loss. Just as Democrats selectively read exit poll data from Zogby to predict a Kerry win, Republicans were relying on anecdotal turnout figures to assume their predictions were being confirmed. In 2004, Democrats assumed that enthusiasm at the prospect of ousting Bush would carry them to victory, but were blindsided by Republican turnout, especially among evangelical voters and social conservatives. In 2012, Republicans assumed enthusiasm on their side would win the day, but they were caught off guard by the turnout of Latinos, African Americans and young voters.

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