Why it’ll win: Enthusiastically received at the Toronto and Telluride festivals, pic is a classically designed revenge tale. Elements of melodrama could please voters looking for effective, unadorned storytelling.
Maybe not: Pic’s deliberate pacing won’t be to everyone’s taste. Some viewers may be caught off guard by the explicit sexual content.
Critical quote: “Elegantly spinning primal elements of guilt, revenge, faith and redemption … asking the question, ‘Whose fault is it if life doesn’t go your way?,’ the cleverly constructed script introduces some fresh and surprising twists and turns,” says Alissa Simon of Variety.