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Survey USA: Obama Gains in California

Barack Obama now trails Hillary Clinton by 19 points, compared to 37 points two months ago, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely voters in the Golden State.

More surprising is the the GOP side, Rudy Giuliani still leads, but his margin has thinned to 8 points. Mike Huckabee made huge gains to take the No. 2 spot with 20% of the vote. Huckabee’s support was just 8% six weeks ago.

In fact, it presumably spells out the risks of Giuliani’s strategy of concentrating on the Feb. 5 cluster called “super duper Tuesday” rather than campaigning aggressively in the early states. But he has to make sure he has a so-called “firewall” in Florida (which votes Jan. 29), California and New York to buffer any losses before then.

“If you run the last election, you’re going to lose this one. You’ve got to figure this one out. The person who wins this is going to be the one who did the best job of figuring this new one out,” Giuliani told ABC recently.

The gulf between Obama and Clinton is still large — she has 49% and he has 30%. But according to the survey, he has made gains among male voters, while she leads 4-1 among younger voters. They are tied among the youngest voters. Edwards. meanwhile, trails at 14%.

The complete results here.

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