IFC Poll: Hillary, Rudy Lead — With Caveats

In a blizzard of presidential polls comes a new one from IFC, the independent film channel that has plunged into political coverage this election.

It shows Hillary Clinton holding onto a commanding lead nationwide among Democrats, with Rudy Giuliani topping the GOP side.

But there are warning signs for the campaigns: Perhaps fortuitously for IFC, a majority of voters who descirbe themselves as “independents” are still not sure who they’ll vote for, and some 49% of them are dissatisified with the current field of candidates. Republicans are split on whether they like their field of candidates, but some 57% of Democrats expressed satisfaction at theirs. Mike Huckabee still trails nationwide but places better than Giuliani in a grouping of the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

The survey, conducted by E-Poll Market Research from Nov. 27 to 29, is of 1,089 radmonly selected respondents and has a margin of error of +/-3%.

Here’s some of the results:

If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

Total respondents: Clinton, 23%; Not sure, 19%; Giuliani, 13%; Obama, 12%; Edwards 7%.

Democrats: Clinton, 41%; Obama, 19%: Not sure, 12%; Edwards, 11%; Giuliani, 4%.

Republicans: Giuliani, 30%; Not sure, 23%; Thompson, 11%; Huckabee, 10%; Romney, 8%.

Independents: Not sure, 19%; Clinton, 14%; Obama, 11%; Giuliani, 10%; Edwards, 8%, Huckabee, 8%.

Iowa/NewHampshire/South Carolina Residents: Not sure, 28%; Clinton, 23%; Obama 12%; Huckabee, 10%; Giuliani, 9%.

And despite all of the attention given to the presidential race so far, a surprising number of people don’t know when their state’s primary is. When asked, only 36% of the respondents knew. Even in the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, just 56% knew, even with some candidates having literally moved there. (Chris Dodd, who moved to Iowa, but doesn’t register in these polls).

At the very least, indie film fans will soon be very well informed. IFC has enlisted Will Rabbe and Sarah Scully as political correspondents.

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